Network Bulletin October 10-14

Volume 29, Issue 5 - Thursday, Oct 10 thru Monday, October 14

CHECK OUT THE NFL "MARQUEE TEAMS" THAT HAVE REALLY ROASTED THEIR BACKERS

PLUS OUR FIRST HEISMAN TROPHY LOOK WITH QBs RUNNING 1-2-3 (SO FAR)

How about if someone came to you prior to the start of this 2013 NFL season and said you have the Atlanta Falcons, Houston Texans, New York Giants, Pittsburgh Steelers and Washington Redskins for the first five weeks of the year? Hey, you'd have to figure you would be turning a profit ... right?

Not quite, my friends.

In fact, following Atlanta's 30-28 loss to the 9 ½-point underdog New York Jets last Monday Night, this aforementioned quintet of teams is a collective 2-21 ATS (against the spread) for an .087 winning percentage ... say what!

The Texans, Giants and Steelers are a composite 0-14 versus the vig and that's hard to believe - especially when this trio was 7-6-1 ATS at this same exact stage a year ago.

Hey, what about the college kids?

It's time to finally pop up our first Heisman Trophy short list for this '13 season and here's how we have 'em stacked up when it comes to #1, #2 and #3 guys ...

1 - TAJH BOYD, QB, CLEMSON - The 5-and-oh Tigers are averaging 44.2 ppg and this strong-armed senior is the unabashed leader with 1,449 yards passing to go along with 14 TDs and 2 INTs. If he lights it up against Florida State on Oct. 19th then he could be a runaway winner.

2 - JAMEIS WINSTON, QB, FLORIDA STATE - Speaking of the 5-0 Sems, this freshman whiz doesn't have to take a backseat to Boyd when it comes to his numbers: Winston's thrown for 1,441 yards with 17 TDs and 2 INTs and some folks say he's the college version of Ben Roetlisberger when it comes to trying to get 'em down.

3 - JOHNNY MANZIEL, QB, TEXAS A&M - We didn't forget you, "Johnny Football" as last year's Heisman Trophy winner has eerily similar stats to Boyd and Winston: The Aggies mega-star has thrown for 1,489 yards with 14 TDs and 4 INTs in his club's 4-1 start.

Honorable mention goes to Oregon QB Marcus Mariota and Louisville QB Teddy Bridgewater.

NCAA PREVIEWS - Saturday, October 12

Get all of the NCAA Football Winners for Saturday, October 12th and the remainder of this 2013 season when you check in with Jim Hurley either online at www.JmHurley.com or at the exclusive toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 after 10am (ET) on game-day mornings and after 1pm. ET for the weeknight games.

OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS (at Dallas): Annual Red River Rivalry Game could help sink Longhorns boss Brown once-and-for-all and need we remind y'all the Sooners have won the last two meetings 63-21 and 55-17?

USF at CONNECTICUT: First game in the saddle for UConn interim boss Weist and he finds self as near-TD favorite even though Huskies are 0-4 SU (straight-up) and 1-3 ATS (against the spread). Maybe switch to new QB Boyle from turnover machine Whitmer will help the Connecticut cause ... do stay tuned!

TEXAS A&M at OLE MISS: The all-too-mouthy Ole Miss Rebels are sinking fast in the SEC West standings (see back-to-back losses to Alabama and Auburn) and now Aggies QB Manziel will wing it here in TD-plus road triumph. Gotta say that Texas A&M wide-out Evans (averaging 24.7 ypc on his 28 receptions) might be the most dangerous non-QB in college football right now. It's Texas A&M 35, Ole Miss 26.

FLORIDA at LSU: These aren't your big brother's Bayou Bengals as this year's crew is averaging 45.5 ppg with QB Mettenberger a real/live stat-sheet stuffer (see 1,738 yards passing with 15 TDs and 2 INTs) but pointspread mavens know the Gators covered all three of their underdog games a year ago. Is 6 ½ points "too tall" here? Give Jim Hurley a game-day call and we'll send you straight to the winner's circle.

OREGON at WASHINGTON: The average pointspread lay for the Oregon Ducks this year is a whopping 39 points and so now giving up 10 ½ points or so doesn't seem like a big deal, right? Host Huskies really need another dynamic game from QB Price (350 yards passing and two TDs in last week's loss-but-cover at Stanford) just to hang 'round here!
 
** BEST BET ** BEST BET **
NORTHWESTERN at WISCONSIN: Hate to kick the Wildcats when they're down but that 40-30 gut-wrenching loss to Ohio State is gonna be sticking to their ribs for a while. Note Wisky Badgers are neat 4-1 spreadwise under new boss Andersen and nation's sixth-ranked rushing attack (300.6 ypg) will wear down roadsters even before they play "Jump Around" on the stadium's PA system! It's Wisconsin 43, Northwestern 21.

MICHIGAN at PENN STATE: Erratic play of maize-and-blue QB Gardner had Wolverines turn conservative in his last game - a 42-13 eventual blowout of distracted Minnesota - with no attempted passes till midway of second quarter. Hmmm. Maybe laying short road price at Happy Valley is not in your best interests here.

BOISE STATE at UTAH STATE: No doubt you're well aware Utah State slinger Keeton is gone for the year (knee) and that's too bad 'cause his 18 TDs and 2 INTs had been all the talk in the Mountain West Conference. Note Boise State's 24-10-1 spreadwise away since the start of 2008 season.

THIS WEEKEND WE HARVEST ALL THE CASH!
JIM HURLEY'S NETWORK GOLDEN HARVEST FESTIVAL
A FULL 5-DAY WEEKEND OF THE HIGHEST RATED FOOTBALL - OCTOBER 10-14

The Midpoint of the season is when the information trove is PURE GOLD. Jim Hurley's Network is Harvesting the Data from all games played up to this point. History shows, this is the time of the year when all our connections, information & back data are at their strongest... Just look at this lineup:

Thursday, October 10: Thursday Night Gold Game of the Year Plus Bonus NFL Giants at Bears
On October 4, 2012, almost exactly 1 year ago, the College Gold Thursday Night Game of the Year destroyed the line. Central Florida was installed as a 12 point favorite over East Carolina. Our"information combine" had already tabbed UCF as a rising mid-level power. They demolished the Pirates 40-20. This year's game is just as highly rated. And, as a bonus, you get the Giants-Bears game on the NFL NETWORK.

Friday, October 11: Mid-America Mauling
Temple on a tear to turn its season around goes west to face a Cincinnati Bearcats squad that has shown brilliance at times such as their opening game wipeout of Purdue and at other times looked like a door mat, especially in their double digit loss to Purdue. The line will be high. Can the Bearcats cover or will Temple spring the upset. Jim Hurley's national connection has the inside scoop on this game.

Saturday, October 12: Golden Crown Triple College Parlay
Last year, the Fall Golden Triple Crown swept the board as Toledo (+5) beat Cincinnati straight up 39-23, Stanford (-1) hammered Cal 21 to 3 & BYU (+11.5) kept it close in a 14-17 loss to Notre Dame. This year advance handicapping and early information points to 3 more games that should win as easily if not more so than last year's 3-0 sweep. You get great odds of 6-1 on the 3 team parlay. And, you can cash in more by mixing and matching the games for 3 two team parlays and teasers too. There are big TV games on the schedule such as Oklahoma vs. Texas, Florida vs. LSU and Oregon vs. Washington. We can assure you we are looking at these games very closely.

Sunday, October 13: Sunday Key Game - NFL Gold Parlay of the Month
The NFL schedule is entering a key period. Over the next few weeks, The Divisions will sort themselves out. Elite teams will try to distance themselves from the pack. It is now that contenders have to start cementing playoff run and possible home field advantage in the post season. There are many matchups on this schedule that can make or break a team. The Packers invade Baltimore to play the Ravens.

Having already lost to the Bengals and the Niners, the Pack cannot afford another loss this early. The Ravens offense has struggled and will have to keep up with Aaron Rodgers and company. Can they? And the late night showdown between the Cowboys and the Redskins has taken on more urgency for both teams with the Giants almost comatose and the Eagles grounded. Dallas had hoped to run away with the division, but a loss in San Diego put them back into a dog fight. Other key games include the Saints at the Patriots and the new and more confident Lions against the even more shocking Browns. Two of these games are absolutely golden for us. Cash both and the parlay too.

Monday, October 14 Gold Side/Total Parlay - Colts at Chargers
The very solid Colts (with Andrew Luck making his MNF Debut) take on the up and down San Diego Chargers, with a rejuvenated Philip Rivers, in a key midseason AFC battle. One thing my scouts and handicappers have shown me looks like the difference maker, and we'll cash the side and total for another prime time sweep to end another winning week.

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NCAA FOOTBALL TIDBITS

Speaking of quarterbacks, the Ohio State Buckeyes made a huge decision a couple of weeks ago to re-install once-injured QB Braxton Miller back into the starting lineup and he promptly powered the 'Eyes to wins against Wisconsin and Northwestern - maybe Miller (49-of-75 passing for 609 yards with 6 TDs and 2 INTs so far this season) won't be mentioned among this year's leaders for the Heisman Trophy but his rifle right arm, improved decision-making and overall leadership skills might just make him the most important QB in the land this side of Texas A&M's Johnny Manziel.

In fact, if you wished to spend a moment or two deciding on the most important signal-callers in the land, this is the way we'd see it at the almost midway point of this College Football Season:

1 - Johnny Manziel, Texas A&M
2 - Braxton Miller, Ohio State
3 - Teddy Bridgewater, Louisville
4 - Aaron Murray, Georgia
5 - Brett Hundley, UCLA
6 - Marcus Mariota, Oregon
7 - Jameis Winston, Florida State
8 - Sean Mannion, Oregon State

Finally, we've already witnessed a pair of College Football head coaches "walk the plank" this year with USC's Lane Kiffin and Connecticut's Paul Pasqualoni getting pink-slipped and - while we hate talking any kind of "coach-killer" stuff here, if there's any more in-season casualties than Texas' Mack Brown, North Carolina's Larry Fedora and/or Hawaii's Norm Chow could be KO'ed sooner rather than later.

From the fearless prediction department: If Brown loses this weekend's Red River Rivalry game to Oklahoma by another lopsided score (lost by 42 and 38 points the past two meetings) than look for him to go while Fedora (1-4 SU/ATS so far) could be gonesville if he loses two of his next three and one of 'em versus down-the-block rival N.C. State.
Chow already is "dead man walking" and so it's a matter of when and not if for the boss of the 0-5 Warriors.

JIM HURLEY'S COLLEGE TOP 10

1 - ALABAMA (5-0) ... Tide's not allowed a TD in last three games and even boss-man Nick Saban knows this group is jelling.
2 - OREGON (5-0) ... The Ducks average 59.2 ppg and never let up and how about fact these Pac-12 guys are 3-0-2 spreadwise?
3 - CLEMSON (5-0) ... And QB Tajh Boyd should be #1 or #2 in your Heisman Trophy ballot. 'Nuff said!
4 - OHIO STATE (6-0) ... No real challenges left on the Buckeyes' sked till that "at Michigan" deal on Nov. 30th.
5 - FLORIDA STATE (5-0) ... QB Jameis Winston is that "other guy" at #1 or #2 on your Heisman ballot right now.
6 - STANFORD (5-0) ... We admit it: Backdoor cover by Washington last weekend dropped the Cardinal a single spot in our poll.
7 - LOUISVILLE (5-0) ... The Redbirds have not exactly played a "who's who" schedule but now they get prime-time exposure Thursday night versus Rutgers.
8 - GEORGIA (4-1) ... Now the Dawgs have played a "who's who" sked but wide receiver injuries could cripple this here-and-now season.
9 - UCLA (4-0) ... Don't sleep on these Bruins who happen to be 4-0 spreadwise heading into this weekend's game against lowly Cal.
10 - TEXAS A&M (4-1) ... Right now we've got "Johnny Football" running third in the above-mentioned Heisman chase.

JIM HURLEY'S NCAA BETTING TRENDS
Here's a look at some NCAA Football Betting Trends as they pertain to the games of Oct. 10-11-12 (all figures below are against the spread)

  • Clemson is 20-10 overall since start of 2011
  • Indiana is 2-6 vs. Michigan State
  • Northwestern is 9-4 vs. fellow Big 10 teams
  • Stanford is 17-4-1 away
  • Washington is 9-2 overall in last 11 games
NFL WEEK 6 PREVIEWS

Get all of Jim Hurley’s NFL Week 6 winners when you check with him on game day Sunday after 11 a.m. ET and after 1 p.m. ET on Monday for the MNF game either online at www.JimHurley.com or at the exclusive toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 13

OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY: History buffs know the KC Chiefs have not started off a season at 5-and-oh in some 10 years (see the electric 9-0 start back in 2003) but everything's clicking for HC Reid's new team including key goal-line stand in 26-17 win/cover at Tennessee last Sunday. Now, Chiefs try to contain ultra-mobile QB Pryor who simply drove San Diego nutty in last Sunday night's wire-to-wire 27-17 win. This one's closer than the "experts" think here. Kansas City 26, Oakland 23.

GREEN BAY at BALTIMORE: Possibly lost amidst all the hoopla of last weekend's 22-9 win/cover against short-handed Detroit was the fact the GB Packers scored only one offensive touchdown as PK Crosby booted a handful of FGs. So, if Packers' slinger Rodgers (274 yards passing and no picks last week) wants his NFC North crew to climb above the .500 mark for the first time this year then throwing deep to WRs Jones, Nelson and Cobb is key - hey, did you know the Ravens last week held Miami to just 3-of-16 on third-down plays and still needed a late FG to win it?

WHEN YOU'RE THIS GOOD, YOU DON'T NEED HYPE...
AND THE FACTS SHOW WITHOUT A DOUBT THAT...
JIM HURLEY'S NETWORK GOLD KEY CLUB
CONTINUES TO OPEN THE DOOR TO FOOTBALL RICHES

  • 28-10-1 September & October College & Pro Combined Record
  • 73.7% Winners  (75.6% Since 2011)
  • 12 Underdogs That Won The Game Outright
  • WITH THE AVERAGE WINNING MARGINS 10 POINTS OVER THE POINTSPREAD!

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PITTSBURGH at NY JETS: Maybe you've noticed the J-E-T-S have alternated wins/losses this year but hang a little gold star next to the 30-28 MNF triumph in Atlanta as rookie QB Smith (3 TDs and 0 INTs) was superb and underrated ground game averaged healthy 5.4 yards a pop. Short week, however, could be a detriment here and especially when you consider Pittsburgh comes off its bye week. The 0-4 Steelers returned to the states following recent loss in London ranked 31st in the NFL in rushing and with QB Roethlisberger having been sacked 15 times but gotta believe they get their act together here - finally! Pittsburgh 24, NY Jets 17.

** PREFERRED PICK ** PREFERRED PICK **
TENNESSEE at SEATTLE: Not often that we'll recommend a two-TD-or-so betting favorite but gotta believe the Seahawks (4-1 versus the vig this year) will show major bounce following last weekend's 34-28 loss in Indianapolis. Maybe the most alarming part of that road loss was the fact HC Carroll's club converted just 2-of-12 third-down plays and rang up 85 yards in penalties. If Seattle RB Lynch (17 carries for 102 yards) can handle a 25-tote work load here, we say the 'Hawks win by 20 points or more! Call it Seattle 34, Tennessee 14.

ARIZONA at SAN FRANCISCO: Maybe the SF 49ers are about ready to go on a prolonged run (that's what NBC analyst Collinsworth predicted in last week's 34-3 win against Houston) but we'd still like to have everyone back (see LB Willis, pass-rusher Smith, WR Crabtree and others) before we lay thick double-digit price in a divisional home game.

On Sunday Night, it's ...
WASHINGTON at DALLAS: The NBC-TV prime-time affair figures to be major slam-bang tilt with visiting 'Skins off their bye week (note last year HC Shanahan's team beat Philly 31-6 off the bye) while Cowboys licking their wounds after 51-48 shootout loss to Denver that featured franchise-record 506 yards passing by QB Romo. Did you realize that Dallas averaged whopping 9.7 yards-per-play in that tilt and that 'Boys had serious shot at winning even though they yielded 34 first downs? Even if Griffin III and Romo are a "wash" here on the old stat sheet, do you really think Dallas will go 5-of-6 in the red zone here? Make sure to check with Jim Hurley at 1-800-323-4453 for the game-day Side & Totals winners.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 14

INDIANAPOLIS at SAN DIEGO: We love to dish out eyebrow-raising spread stats all the time here and so how 'bout the fact the Indy Colts have covered 11 of their last 17 non-divisional tilts? If second-year QB Luck - who started slowly but finished fast in last weekend's six-point win against Seattle - can make some first-down conversions with his legs (like Oakland's Pryor did against San Diego in Week 5 action) than HC Pagano's crew will bang out a fourth consecutive pointspread "W". Flip side says the Bolts (3-1-1 ATS this year) have plenty of playmakers to make this one a shootout as WRs Brown and Allen went for 117 and 115 yards receiving, respectively) last Sunday in Oakland. No wonder this is a toss-up game! Get your winner on game-day afternoon plus we'll feed you the day's MLB Playoffs too!

NFL ODDS & ENDS

Here's a question we gotta pose to you: Is it a "fire-able offense" that Atlanta Falcons head coach Mike Smith opted not to have his team attempt a chip-shot field goal at the end of the first half this past Monday Night in that eventual 30-28 loss to the 9 ½-point underdog New York Jets?

Heck, right after Smith had his club's offense stay on the field and then come up short on a dive play into the line we thought that if the Falcons lost, Smith should indeed get fired.

The chippie field goal was a no-brainer but - then again - Smith's been a glutton for red-zone punishment all year long with close-and-late losses to New Orleans, Miami, New England and the aforementioned Jets and that's one way a team allegedly destined to be a Super Bowl favorite instead goes to 1-4 to start the campaign.

The failed try for a touchdown energized the Jets - to us that was Coaching 101 stuff and Smith failed miserably.
Maybe Falcons owner Arthur Blank can go shopping for a new head coach this week 'cause Atlanta's got a bye on deck before a Week 7 game against Tampa Bay.

One other NFL-related note ...The return of QB Josh Freeman to the NFL's Minnesota Vikings was an intriguing hire the other day - yes, we know Vikes head coach Leslie Frazier is giving himself some "insurance" in case starting QB Christian Ponder can't come back close to full strength after a recent rib injury - but sometimes there is magic in the air when a quarterback gets a change of scenery.

Don't be shocked if Freeman gives Minnesota a little boost come the second half of this here-and-now season and we wonder aloud whether or not newly-cut QB Matt Flynn (the Oakland Raiders just waved bye-bye) could be an improvement for a team such as the winless Jacksonville Jaguars or perhaps the Buffalo Bills or maybe even the Houston Texans.

Flynn might well have been a "one-game wonder" for the Green Bay Packers a couple of years ago but he's gotta be better than some of the rotten quarterback play we've seen the first five weeks of this NFL season.

JIM HURLEY'S NFL BETTING TRENDS
Here's a look at some Pro Football Betting Trends as they pertain to the games of NFL Week 6 (all figures below are against the spread)

  • Cincinnati is 10-3-1 since mid-2012 season
  • Houston is 0-5 this year
  • Oakland is 9-1 at Kansas City
  • Philadelphia is 5-18 vs. non-NFC East foes
  • Washington is 13-3 vs. Dallas
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