Bulletin Newsletter Volume 28 Issue 12

Volume 28, Issue 12 ~ Thursday, Nov. 8 thru Monday, Nov. 12

THE NFL REPORT - ARE FAVORITES READY TO RALLY?

No question this has been one of the strangest seasons in the NFL in quite some time: Whether it be the replacement officials, the BountyGate garbage in New Orleans or the fact that two-time Super Bowl-winning QB Eli Manning is engaged now in a month-long slump, things have been out of kilter in the league where they play for pay but perhaps the craziest part of it all was the fact NFL Betting Favorites entered last week-s action with a composite pointspread record of 43-71-4 (a dastardly low .379 winning rate) but things seemed to "get back to normal" last week.

In NFL Week 9 play, NFL Betting Favorites banged out a 10-4 ATS (against the spread) mark and that-s good for a .714 winning rate. So, is the betting pendulum now gonna swing in the favor of chalk sides?

Well, that-s always hard to say but most years - make that almost every year! - NFL Betting Favorites and Underdogs are separated by now more than a handful of games in the won/loss department and so pointspread history suggest NFL Betting Favorites will get on some sort of run - guess we all have to decide whether than "run" began with last week-s action or was that merely a blip on the 2012 radar screen.

Keep in mind the NFL Betting Favorites have experienced some truly rotten weeks this year: Like the 3-12-1 ATS mark by favorites in Week 3 or the 5-9-1 spread record in Week 4 and how about the NFL Week 6 when the chalk-eating teams went a collective 2-12 against Mr. Vig?

Guess the big question to be answered here is will the league-s heavyweight sides - that-s the likes of Atlanta, Green Bay, Houston, Chicago, Pittsburgh, New England and San Francisco - now really roll against overmatched foes the rest of the way?

And will those teams that are dying off in terms of a playoff chase chuck in the towel in the days and weeks ahead?

If folks such as Kansas City, Carolina, the New York Jets and Philadelphia (among others) don-t see that there-s any light at the end of this 2012 tunnel, than favored teams against them all will have a field day.

Right now NFL Betting Favorites are 53-75-4 against the odds - that-s a .414 winning rate - and it-s still a long way to what-s normal.

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NCAA PREVIEWS

Get all the NCAA Football Winners this week/weekend when you check in with Jim Hurley either online at www.JimHurley.com or at the exclusive toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 after 11 a.m. on Saturday mornings and than anytime after 1 p.m. ET for all the weeknight games.

JIM HURLEY SWEEPS THE NFL AND ACC
ON THURSDAY!
Colts at Jaguars
         
Fla State at Virginia Tech  

I was 14-7-2 In Weeknight Primetime Games in October, including 75% on Thursday/Fridays, and started November 2-0 with the Chargers crushing the Chiefs 31-13 and Ohio U. clobbering Eastern Michigan 45-14!   Click here to win both games for $25.
Bonus NBA TV Play of the Week Included.

 SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 10

LOUISVILLE at SYRACUSE (12 p.m. ET): No doubt one of the great stories being penned this year in college football-land is this U of L Cardinals club that hits upstate New York here with perfect 9-and-oh SU (straight-up) mark as QB Bridgewater fresh off five-TD showing against Temple - and maybe the best is yet to come with this superstar-in-the-making guy! Hey, if the 'Cuse - just a 2 ½-point home dog as of this writing - wants to land a "signature win" this year than QB Nassib needs some help from his ground game and note Orange RB Smith had 116-yard game versus Cincinnati last weekend and could be primed to gut the 'Ville interior defense. Is it upset alert time in the Big East here?

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COLLEGE STUNNER OF THE YEAR!
If you only play one game Saturday
Make it this one. 6-0 last 6 Years!

In recent weeks I won outright upsets with Georgia (+7) over Florida 17-9, Notre Dame (+12) over Oklahoma 30-13, and Texas (+6.5) over Texas Tech 31-22, I also won my Golden Game of the Year with LSU (+8.5) when they almost knocked off #1 Alabama 17-21. Now I strike even harder with this unbeaten shocker that is 6-0 over the past 6 seasons including last year when Purdue (+7.5) stunned Ohio State 26-23.
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OREGON STATE at STANFORD (3 p.m. ET): Pair of top 16 teams square off at "The Farm" and $64,000 question here is will newly installed starter QB Hogan have any stage fright after coming off the bench to throw for 184 yards with two TDs in last weekend-s 48-0 romp over lowly Colorado? Hogan has replaced ineffective QB Nunes but the reality here is the Cardinal - a 4 ½-point fav at press time - won-t win or cover if it can-t run the ball against the nation-s fifth-best rush defense and something tells us the first team to 21 points wins here in potential low-scoring affair (note the totals price sits at 47 points right now).

WEST VIRGINIA at OKLAHOMA STATE (3:30 p.m. ET): When does the pain-and-suffering end now for these WVU Mountaineers? Once upon a time this year, HC Holgorsen-s squad sat 5-0 SU with dreams of playing for that shiny BCS trophy but back-to-back-to-back losses to Texas Tech, Kansas State and TCU have wrecked this campaign and QB Smith (29 TDs and 3 INTs) is barely even mentioned by the Heisman Trophy folks anymore. Now, Smith and Company venture into always-noisy Stillwater as TD-plus pups but maybe the change of scenery will do 'em good. Note that Okie State sports country-s 20th-best rushing attack and that-s really the key here as RB Randle (116.8 yards-per game rushing) could have veritable feast here if West Virginia-s shaky defense keeps missing tackles. Tell us Randle gets 175-or-so all-purpose yards here and we-ll tell you the OSU Cowboys win by twin figures. Got it?

JIM HURLEY'S COVER CLUB
COLLEGE ROAD DOGS OF THE YEAR!
Cover Club on a 12-3 run and now a rare opportunity
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Get this: a RANKED team is getting points against an UNRANKED home favorite. What are they smoking in Vegas? The second game is even better! We-re looking at games like Northwestern at Michigan, Texas A&M at Alabama, and Vanderbilt at Ole Miss, so sign up because Jim has two dogs are ready to howl. Only $25

GEORGIA at AUBURN (7 p.m. ET): One of the country-s oldest rivalries has a new spin on it this year as Georgia Dawgs -- #5 in the latest BCS Standings - have serious shot at playing in a national title game if all shakes out well while Auburn in major spoiler role here and who ever figured War Eagle would turn into such a money-burner (7-12 spreadwise since early last season)? Key for 15-point fav Georgia here is to get out of the blocks better than it did in last weekend-s 37-10 win/cover against Ole Miss and perhaps QB Murray (four TDs in that win) will lob some deep balls against Auburn secondary that often gets caught flat-footed and out of position. If Georgia gets into double-digit lead, it-ll be tough for Auburn to play catch-up with nation-s 111th-ranked passing attack. Ugh!

NFL WEEK 10 PREVIEWS

Get all the NFL Week 10 Football Winners this week/weekend when you check in with Jim Hurley either online at www.JimHurley.com or at the exclusive toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 after 11 a.m. on Sunday mornings and than anytime after 1 p.m. ET for all the weeknight games.

 Network Cover Club

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 11

DETROIT at MINNESOTA (1 p.m. ET): Guess you-ve noticed that we-re starting to get "second meetings" or "revenge games" in the NFL mix these days and here-s one of 'em as Lions lost 20-13 as 3 ½-point home favorites back in Week 4 play against rival Minny Vikings and now Motowners are the short favs here in the dome. Hey, Detroit-s covered its last four games in a row and note that the Lions have not enjoyed a five-game spread winning streak since the early weeks of 2010. If RB LeShoure (three first-half TD runs in last week-s 31-14 win at Jacksonville) can pound out some big chunks between the tackles here, than Lions will roar with revenge but remember Vikes average 145.4 rush yards per game (fifth-best in the NFL) and in ornery mood after losing last two games.

JIM HURLEY HAS ONE NFL GAME SO GOOD THIS SUNDAY YOU DON'T NEED ANYTHING ELSE

 
Why dribble small bets on so-so games when you can make a stand on a MAJOR PLAY and get all the money. Like last week when Jim took the Seahawks (-4) over the Vikings as the top with the Dolphins (+3) against the Jets in a play and won 30-20...or two weeks ago 30-9 rout.

 

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ATLANTA at NEW ORLEANS (1 p.m. ET): This is the first of two meetings between these NFC South rivals over the next four weeks and gotta believe game plan for the visiting Falcons isn-t gonna change now: Get QB Ryan to throw plenty of darts to WRs White and Jones (they combined for 247 yards receiving in last Sunday night-s 19-13 home win/cover against Dallas) and than have RB Turner (20 carries for 102 yards against Dallas) deliver some major body blows to this weak defense than somehow managed to survive all those red-zone trips by sad-sack Philadelphia this past Monday Night.

HOUSTON at CHICAGO (8:25 p.m. ET): Best game on this NFL Week 10 card - and by far - and handicappers from coast-to-coast must be wondering how many times you-ll be able to grab the Texans at plus a price (the Bears are a 1 ½-point betting fav at press time). Fact of matter is Houston-s not been a dog since last year-s playoff loss-but-cover in Baltimore and RB Foster (111 rushing yards in last week-s 21-9 workmanlike win against Buffalo) knows he could get up to 30 carries here while AFC South crew attempts to steer clear of challenging this Bears- defense through the air more than necessary. Now that Chitowners have registered seven non-offensive TDs in their last six games, it may come down here to simple aspect that if Bears get a "pick six" or fumble bring-back, they-ll win. If not than Houston-s heavy-duty ammo could be too much for LB Urlacher and mates come the fourth quarter here.

Jim Hurley's 70% Blue Ribbon Club NFL Showdown Sunday!
Who's The Contender, Who's The Pretender? 
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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 12

KANSAS CITY at PITTSBURGH (8:40 p.m. ET): We thought you might like to know that the Steelers have been twin-figure betting favorites some 13 times since the start of the 2009 season ... and HC Tomlin-s club is a rotten 4-9 versus the vig as big-time favorites in this time span. So, even bewildered KayCee kids could have fighting chance here against the Las Vegas price tag as long as WR Bowe (53 receptions for 650 yards this year) is a factor. No doubt that Pittsburgh QB Roethlisberger having MVP-type season but it was all those rushing attempts that battered the Giants last week at MetLife Stadium and Steelers would love to run in 35-plus times again. Got a feeling we won-t know who covers this clash till the waning moments, so listen to Mr. Gruden right till the bitter end.

Jim Hurley Is 9-3-1 On Monday's, and Will Win His AFC Monday Game of the Year!
Chiefs at Steelers looks like a mismatch...but is it?

The Chiefs covered as an 11-point  Monday home dog to the Steelers last season, while Pittsburgh was looking ahead to 3 straight division games, EXACTLY the same spot the Steelers are in tonight.

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Network Cashline Basketball

  Jim is 8-3 in the young NBA season and College Basketball Starts Friday Night!

JIM HURLEY'S COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOP 10
  1. ALABAMA ... Now that the Crimson Tide escaped "Death Valley" with a win, will everything else be easy street for HC Saban-s crew
  2. OREGON ... Let-s just say that these here-and-now Ducks are purring better than ever with four straight spread covers and now they-re a four-TD fav at Cal
  3. KANSAS STATE ... The Big 12-s best bunch has the Heisman Trophy leader, the country-s best coach and one stingy "D" - does that spell national title
  4. NOTRE DAME ... Get a load of this: The Fighting Irish is now 5-and-oh in games decided by a TD or less and divine intervention has helped (see missed Pitt FG in OT last week)
  5. GEORGIA ... Sure looks like these Dawgs are putting it all together with defense holding last two SEC foes to 9 and 10 points, respectively
  6. OHIO STATE ... Okay, so the Buckeyes can-t play for all the marbles this year but hats off to new boss Meyer whose club gets a bye now before big game at Wisk
  7. FLORIDA STATE ... If the Seminoles can ravage V-Tech on Thursday and then roll Maryland and Florida, than FSU-s still got a pulse for BCS title gam
  8. CLEMSON ... How 'bout the fact these Tigers have covered their last six in a row and could wind up in the Orange Bowl if things fall just righ
  9. LOUISVILLE ... The Cards have Syracuse (at the dome), UConn and at Rutgers straight ahead but 12-and-oh is a distinct possibility prior to the announced bowl bid
  10. FLORIDA ... This Gators sked is a real joke with UL-Lafayette and Jacksonville State on deck before the road tilt at rival Florida State

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