Bulletin Newsletter Volume 28 Issue 6

Volume 28, Issue 6 ~ Thursday, Oct 4 thru Monday, October 8

THE HURLEY SEZ NFL REPORT
WHY THE LIONS & EAGLES ARE (STILL) WINLESS VERSUS MR. VIG

Hey, you could have made a proverbial pretty penny this past summer had a buddy offered you odds on which two NFL teams would have entered Week 5 still without a pointspread "W".

The fact that the Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles are a combined 0-7-1 ATS (against the spread) is shocking stuff when you stop to consider that these teams were among the "vogue" picks to get to Super Bowl XLVII this year - okay, so one of 'em could still get there, we know! - as the Motowners have bumbled along to a league-worst 0-4 ATS mark while Philly's "push" in last Sunday Night's 19-17 back-and-forth game with the New York Giants kept 'em from being an embarrassing 0-4 spreadwise.

But why the many troubles so far in cashing bets for these two teams?

Well, for one thing the Lions just have not been able to get this high-octane offense in synch despite the fact Detroit leads the league in passing offense (322 yards per game). Just look at the real numbers here and they tell you that Detroit's actually scored less than 20 points in two tilts this season (losses to San Francisco and Minnesota) and they've relied way too much on PK Jason Hanson who has nailed 12 FGs to Detroit's 9 touchdowns. Throw in the usual debilitating penalties and more than a few questionable sideline decisions by head coach Jim Schwartz and here sits this NFC North team without a single spread win while heading into its Week 5 bye.

Hey, did you realize even with Detroit's gridiron renaissance last year the Lions still only finished 7-10 versus the vig in 2011?

As far as the Eagles go, Andy Reid's gang should consider itself lucky to be 3-1 SU (straight-up) following the well-documented 1-, 1 and 2-point wins against Cleveland, Baltimore and the NY Giants, respectively, but too many turnovers and too many sacks of QB Michael Vick has sabotaged this NFC East squad and you -- the bettor - has paid for it!

If the Eagles are gonna start banging out pointspread wins than beginning here with this week's in-state battle in Pittsburgh the mantra is set: Ball security and more big-time downfield passing plays are needed - and it would help matters if the Philly secondary got its collective act in order too.

One spread stat on the Birds: They've failed to cover all three of their non-divisional games so far this young season after going a collective 7-14 ATS in non-NFC East games the past two years ... not good!

SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL TV CLUB TRIPLE
Won 2 out of 3 last Saturday, and now 7-2 the past 3 weeks!
With marquee TV matchups, Network takes advantage of inflated numbers and misguided public perception and keeps WINNING! That's our TV Club.
Three games so good, at 6-1 odds, it doesn't pay NOT to bet them!

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NCAA PREVIEWS

Get all of the NCAA Football Winners for the remainder of this 2012 season when you check in with Jim Hurley either online at www.JimHurley.com or at the exclusive toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 after 11am on game-day mornings and after 1pm ET for the weeknight games.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 6

ARIZONA at STANFORD (3 p.m. ET): No doubt the folks in Palo Alto have reason to be concerned with QB Nunes following his shabby 18-of-37, 170-yard passing performance in last Thursday's 17-13 prime-time loss at Washington and hope you saw that Stanford HC Shaw shot down any "QB controversy" in an earlier-week press conference. Now, Nunes must get his act in gear against Arizona team that has allowed 38, 49 and 38 points in three of its first five games this season. If the 9 ½-point dog 'U of A 'Cats are gonna be there at the proverbial finish line than RB Carey (averaging 108 ypg with 7 TDs) must bust a few big ones against Cardinal defense that ranks fourth in the country in rush defense (65.3 ypg). Will it be bounce-back time for the kids from "The Farm" ... or will the Nunes slump continue here?

OKLAHOMA at TEXAS TECH (3:30 p.m. ET): Hey, here's another ranked team coming off a bitterly disappointing loss as the Oklahoma Sooners - once upon a time the #4 team in the country (now #17 in the AP poll) - have had two weeks to stew over that 24-19 loss to 15 ½-point pup Kansas State and now HC Stoops' club in revenge mode as Techsters beat 'em 41-38 last year in Norman. Tell us right now if Oklahoma QB Jones will steer clear of making boneheaded plays and we'll tell you whether the Sooners win/cover this 5 ½-point price but keep in mind flip side is T-Tech QB Dodge can chuck it with the best of 'em and looks like the Red Raiders are - finally - playing some defense too! One major key in this Big 12 clash is whether or not Oklahoma has success with "Bell-dozer" offense it implements in goal-line situations (see key lost fumble against K-State in that situation two weeks ago) ... so stay tuned.

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GEORGIA at SOUTH CAROLINA (7 p.m. ET): Best game on the menu as #5 Georgia Dawgs (5-0) invade stingy SC Gamecocks (also 5-0) and did you realize that HC Spurrier's crew is yielding a meager 11.2 points per game this year? No doubt that Carolina defense better bring its sledgehammers here against well-balanced Georgia attack that last week featured a pair of 100-plus yard rushers in frosh Gurley (the SEC's leading rusher) and fellow freshman Marshall in that wild 51-44 non-cover win against Tennessee. Note that six of the last eight showdowns in this rivalry have been decided by a touchdown or less and so one mistake here or there could be the ball game and so pay special attention to Georgia kicking game that last week missed two PATs and blundered a couple of kick returns.

MIAMI vs. NOTRE DAME (at Chicago - 7:30 p.m. ET): Maybe it doesn't quite feel like the "good old days" when these programs used to collide with lots on the line but fact of matter is Irish are #9 in the land and movin' up the polls quickly and HC Kelly's club had two weeks to prep for this shindig and so here's hoping (for ND's sake) that the quarterback situation has been resolved! QB Golson hit the pines in recent 13-6 win against Michigan as QB Rees saved the day late but here the main focus will be on Notre Dame defense starring LB Te'o as they must contain playmaker WR Dorsett (team-high 28 catches) and explosive 'Cane attack that busted loose for 44 points in drama-filled win last week against N.C. State. Don't look now but if the Irish win by more than the "margin" plus get some outside help than it could ges 'em into the top 5!

KICK BUTT RIVALRY GAME WINS SATURDAY
We know who's out to kick butt, and who's playing not to lose?
Get the answer & the money Saturday Night!

We won our Sunshine State play last Saturday night with South Florida (+17) against powerful Florida State 17-30...we knew the line was to hot for the 'Noles to cover vs. an up-and-coming state rival. Similar situation tonight, except this time it's the favorite that gets the easy cover.
Just $25 - Click Here.

NFL WEEK 2 PREVIEWS

Get all of Jim Hurley’s NFL Week 5 winners when you check with him on game day Sunday after 11 a.m. ET and after 1 p.m. ET on Monday for the MNF game either online at www.JimHurley.com or at the exclusive toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7

ATLANTA at WASHINGTON (1 p.m. ET): Just in case you're wondering the last time these Atlanta Falcons lost a football game it happened in last week's NFC Wild Card action (see the humbling 24-2 loss at the NY Giants) and now scoring's not been a problem for this 2012 team that's averaging 31 ppg and has a true MVP candidate in WR White who hauled down monstrous 59-yard bomb from QB Ryan to help set up game-winning FG that beat Carolina last Sunday. Now, Falcs know they may need to score 30-or-so points to beat high-octane 'Skins crew and so we know why you're eyeballing that totals price! If Washington QB Griffin III (323 yards passing and one TD run in last week's wild 24-22 win in Tampa Bay) doesn't take too many hits here, than Falcs may finally fall for first time in '12 campaign but HC Smith's gang does have major mojo, don't they?

BALTIMORE at KANSAS CITY (1 p.m. ET): It's nice to see the Ravens playing a traditional Sunday afternoon tilt after playing Monday, Sunday and Thursday Night games for your national TV viewing pleasure but might HC Harbaugh's gang be walking into a real hornet's nest here at Arrowhead? Keep in mind KayCee Chiefs turned the ball over six times last Sunday in dreadful 37-20 home loss to rival San Diego and afterwards HC Crennel was spitting mad! Now, RB Charles looks to scoot free against "oldish" Baltimore stop unit and gotta feeling that AFC West club will play spirited game here - but is that enough to swipe the cover at current Ravens minus 5-point price? Check with Jim Hurley on Game-Day morning and he'll set you straight!

NFL POWER PARLAY SCORES SUNDAY!

Two more off lines where we have a serious shot at double odds.
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DENVER at NEW ENGLAND (4:25 p.m. ET): Hard to believe that an NFL team could score 45 points in one half but that's what the Pats did in last weekend's 52-28 rip-job in Buffalo and maybe best part of that win for the Belichicks is that kid RB Bolden (137 yards rushing) smash-mouthed his way to cool 7-yard scoring run and Foxboro folks won't be shy about turning him loose here against Denver defense that still has lots of question marks despite that 37-6 win against Oakland last Sunday. In the latest Manning vs. Brady tussle, something tells us the four-time MVP-winning Manning won't complete 30-of-38 passes (see last week) against an assortment of "D" looks here.

LATE RELEASE NFL GIFT GAME OF THE WEEK
The number is bent out of shape by one-way action...
and it's the wrong way on one of Sunday's five late games!

Few analysts can spot mismatches that will affect the final score like my Network can. Our database has the info to predict to within a few points what the final will be. Last week, our computers forecast St. Louis to prevail as a 3-point home dog vs. Seattle, who was coming off a short week after that controversial last-second "win" vs. the Packers on Monday night. Everything pointed against the Seahawks and we cleaned up when the Rams won 19-13. We have a similar situation lined up here today, where all indicators are on one side of a late game. $50 gets the play of the day.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 8

HOUSTON at NY JETS (8:40 p.m. ET): Safe to say that the 4-and-oh Texans have learned to win in comfy fashion these days as HC Kubiak's gang already has posted triumphs this year of 20, 20 and 24 points and now banged-up Jets team (no CB Revis and no WR Holmes - both lost for the year) don't know where to turn for the answers to their many problems ... and don't tell us it's Tebow Time, okay! If the home-dog J-E-T-S want to snap up this prime-timer than QB Sanchez (completing less than 50 percent of his passes this year) must get some help as overrated O-line has been brutal and WRs/TEs simply don't catch everything thrown their way. If you wish to zoom in on one Jets-related item here than let's see if pass rush can make Houston QB Schaub (fresh off 20-of-28, 202-yard, two-TD showing against Tennessee last week) uncomfortable at all ... but don't hold your breath!

MAKE NO MISTAKE MONDAY! Texans (-9) at Jets (ESPN)
JIM HURLEY is 4-1 on Mondays and has the answer again tonight for just $20.

NCAA FOOTBALL BETTING TRENDS
(All figures below are against the spread)
  • Arizona is 2-6 vs. Stanford
  • Auburn is 6-10 since the start of 2011
  • BYU is 0-4 vs. Utah State
  • Colorado State is 5-14 overall
  • Connecticut is 6-2-1 vs. Rutgers
  • Georgia is 1-7 vs. South Carolina
  • Georgia Tech is 5-9-1 away
  • LSU is 8-3 vs. fellow SEC teams
  • Maryland is 7-3 vs. Wake Forest
  • Michigan is 5-16-1 away
  • Michigan State is 7-1 vs. Indiana
  • Miss State is 12-7 as betting favorites
  • Northwestern is 5-0 overall this season
  • Notre Dame is 5-5-2 as twin-figure favs under HC Kelly
  • Oregon is 7-1 vs. Washington
  • Syracuse is 3-7 vs. Pittsburgh
  • Texas A&M is 6-12 away
  • UCLA is 11-19 in league play
  • Virginia is 0-4-1 vs. Duke
  • West Virginia is 7-3 away

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NFL WEEK 3 BETTING TRENDS
(All figures below are against the spread)
  • Chicago is 3-0 this year in non-division games
  • Cleveland is 8-5-1 as dogs the past 1+ years
  • Denver is 1-4 as underdog sides
  • Houston is 11-3-1 as favs the past 1+ years
  • Jacksonville is 4-8 in non-AFC South games
  • Miami is 12-7-1 as dogs
  • Minnesota is 1-7 as betting favs
  • New Orleans is 12-3 as hosts
  • Philadelphia is 7-17 in non-divisional tilts
  • San Diego is 7-2 overall since late 2011
  • San Francisco is 10-5-1 as favorites
  • Tennessee is 1-4 as dogs
JIM HURLEY’S COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOP 10
  1. ALABAMA
  2. OREGON
  3. LSU
  4. FLORIDA STATE
  5. SOUTH CAROLINA
  6. GEORGIA
  7. KANSAS STATE
  8. NOTRE DAME
  9. WEST VIRGINIA
  10. TEXAS

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Toll free at 1-800-323-4453 or direct at 1-516-749-8094

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