Bulletin Newsletter Volume 28 Issue 5

Volume 28, Issue 5 ~ Thursday, Sept 27 thru Monday, October 1


Sorry, but if we see one more TV replay of that game-ending Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks interception/touchdown than we might blow a fuse!

So, we'll turn our Hurley Sez focus on the college kids for a few moments here and so let's get you some random pointspread-related thoughts ... okay?

It's nice to see the likes of Terry Bowden (Akron), Charlie Weis (Kansas), Bob Davie (New Mexico) and Mike Leach (Washington State) all back patrolling the sidelines after varying hiatus periods but did you know that the Zips' Bowden has been the "best bet" of'em all so far with his Mid-American Conference club sporting a dandy 3-1 ATS (against the spread) mark?

Conversely, the controversial Leach - who made more preseason promises to Wazzau Nation than a politician - has his Cougars staring at an 0-4 ATS log while heading into this Saturday's game against four-plus TD favorite Oregon ...

Forget David Letterman's punch lines! The late-night TV star's alma mater has been a major cash machine to start off this 2012 NCAA Season with a 4-0 ATS log that includes back-to-back outright upset wins against Indiana and South Florida.

In case you were wondering the last time Ball State started off a season with such spread magic was back in 2008 - yes, the Brady Hoke Era -- when the Redbirds began that season at 6-0-1 versus the vig ...

Speaking of underdog sides, did you realize that the Kansas State Wildcats - fresh off last weekend's 24-19 win at 15.5-point fav Oklahoma - now have covered eight of their last 10 dog appearances dating back to the start of last year but better yet the'Cats have won seven of those games in outright upset fashion.

Don't know exactly the dollar amount but "money line" bettors really have raked in the greenbacks with K-State the past year-and-change and can't remember any other major-college team being such a smash hit in this regard dating back 25 years or so ...

Finally, as we enter play on this final weekend in September there are 10 teams that are still perfect against the Las Vegas odds so far. Here's the alphabetical "role call" with their accompanying won/loss mark spreadwise:

  • Ball State (4-0)
  • Fresno State (4-0)
  • UL-Monroe (3-0)
  • Northwestern (4-0)
  • Oregon State (2-0)
  • Purdue (3-0)
  • San Jose State (4-0)
  • Texas Tech (3-0)
  • Utah State (4-0)
  • Western Kentucky (4-0)

See'ya next week!

5-1 the past 2 weeks!

With marquee TV matchups, Network takes advantage of inflated numbers and misguided public perception - and WINS! That's our TV Club. 
Here are some of this Saturday's premier matchups we're looking at...

Penn State at Illinois Noon (ESPN)     Ohio State at Michigan State 3:30pm (ABC)
Tennessee at Georgia 3:30pm (CBS)     South Carolina at Kentucky 7:00pm (ESPN2)
Texas at Oklahoma State 7:50pm (Fox)      Oregon at Washington St  10:30pm (ESPN2)

All times Eastern



Get all of the NCAA Football Winners for Saturday, September 29th and the remainder of this 2012 season when you check in with Jim Hurley either online at www.JimHurley.com or at the exclusive toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 after 11 a.m. on game-day mornings and after 1 p.m. ET for the weeknight games.


TEXAS at OKLAHOMA STATE (7:50 p.m. ET): Interesting to note that both of these Big 12 powers were idle last weekend but bye week may come back to haunt visiting Texas Longhorns who had scored 45 and 66 points in their tilts prior to the break time. Now,'Horns playing their Big 12 opener and did you realize they're 6-11 SU (straight-up) and 6-11 ATS (against the spread) versus fellow conference foes the past two years? Now, QB Ash looking for second consecutive road win following that recent 66-31 smack down of Ole Miss in which Ash completed 19-of-23 passes for 326 yards with four scoring strikes while the Okie State side isn't saying - yet - whether or not Cowboys QB Lunt (leg) will get green-lighted for this Fox prime-time affair. Check with Jim Hurley on game-day morning and we'll set you straight!

BAYLOR at WEST VIRGINIA (12 p.m. ET): It's time to welcome the WVU Mountaineers to the Big 12 Conference and this battle of ranked teams (Baylor is #25; West Virginia is #9) could be a closer-than-the-experts-think deal here. Note that Bears slinger Florence has thrown for at least 300 yards and three TDs in fancy 3-and-oh start and so maybe the successor to Heisman Trophy winner Griffin III could match stats here with'Neer QB Smith who is averaging 357.3 passing yards per game this year to go along with his 12 TDs and 0 INTs. Okay, so "totals" price right now stands at whopping 78 points but you just want a winner and stat fact here is West Virginia's 17-23-1 spreadwise as chalk since the start of 2008 season. Just sayin'!

ARIZONA STATE at CALIFORNIA (4 p.m. ET): Hey, maybe first-year A-State boss-man Graham finally has found a home as 2011 "pit stop" at Pitt was utter disaster but these here-and-now Sun Devils have won three of first four games and the newfangled offense is averaging a haughty 41.3 ppg. Graham simply didn't have a top-flight slinger last year in his brief Big East stay but QB Kelly (1,000 yards passing with 6 TDs and 2 INTs this season) is an efficient sort and could hand Cal its third consecutive loss if he's got time to survey the field. Note that Arizona State's defense has posted 14 QB sacks so far and now comin' after erratic Bears slinger Maynard (4 TDs and 4 INTs). If Graham is gonna be a keeper for this Tempe team, a win will get'em a round of applause even from his many detractors!

WISCONSIN at NEBRASKA (8 p.m. ET): No real reason to be surprised that Big Red is a double-digit betting favorite here'cause Wisky Badgers really have been out of synch for most of this 2012 campaign. Note that HC Bielema's club is 0-4 vig-wise and averaging a mere 21.5 ppg so far and how about the fact Wisconsin ranks 107th nationally in passing offense and 83rd nationally in rushing offense ... egads! Throw into the mix the fact that one-time Heisman Trophy candidate RB Ball (head injury for the second time this year) had to be removed from last week's non-cover home win against UTEP and you see why Husker Nation expects to win this prime-timer. On the flip side, the return last week of Nebraska RB Burkhead (119 yards rushing and two TDs in 73-7 win against Idaho State) from an early-season knee injury boosts this already-rich backfield. Feeling okay, Bo

Sat. September 29 Is My  

Wisconsin at Nebraska (-13) 8:00pm (ET) ABC-TV 

Cornhuskers have struggled in the Big 10. But now, they have had time to acclimate and get athletes that better suit that conference as opposed to the Big 12, where they resided for decades.

But Wisconsin's a perrenial national power, but has not looked sharp in their 3-1 start. Can the "Husker Nation" finally smile again, or will the Badgers pull the upset?
I've got the answer to this primetime riddle, and it's yours for just $25.


Get all of Jim Hurley’s NFL Week 2 winners when you check with him on game day Sunday after 11 a.m. ET and after 1 p.m. ET on Monday for the MNF game either online at www.jimhurley.com or at the exclusive toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453


CAROLINA at ATLANTA (1 p.m. ET): Love these cable TV shows that rank the NFL top teams as these here-and-now Falcons were #1 on a lot of folks' boards but - than again - wasn't that the case last week with the SF 49ers before their visit into the Twin Cities? Gut feeling is HC Smith's squad has all the goods this year and already Birds are tidy 3-and-oh against the odds with covers against Chiefs, Broncos and Chargers but now Carolina QB Newton had extra time to digest ugly 36-7 prime-time loss to the Giants last Thursday Night and so something's telling us this may have a doozy ending in sight. Note that Falcs turned the ball over just once in last Sunday's 27-3 win at San Diego but will they be so fortunate here?


Win early with a 1 P.M. (Eastern) matchup and then come back and double up late with a mid-afternoon national TV play. Last year, our September parlay was a double dog hit as the Colts (+10.5) beat the spread against the Steelers 20 to 23 and the Raiders (+3) hammered the Jets 34 to 24.


Just last week we swept our NFL Blue Ribbon Parlay with the Cardinals (+3.5) dominating the Eagles 27-6, and the Raiders (+4) beating the Steelers 34-31.

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TENNESSEE at HOUSTON (1 p.m. ET): Here's hoping that Texans' QB Schaub doesn't lose any body parts in this AFC South clash at Reliant Stadium but $64,000 question is what's left in the Titans' tank after wild 44-41 OT win against Detroit in Week 3 battle royal? No doubt Tennessee RB Johnson (just 24 yards on 14 carries last Sunday) has endured rough start to this current campaign and no way will double-digit dog road folks be in the mix here unless he heats it up but gotta believe Texans LB Cushing (among others) will be spying him all over the field and so WRs Wright/Britt (13 receptions between'em last weekend) must step it up. P.S., did you know that Houston now has covered its last six games in a row while dating back to last year?

NEW ORLEANS at GREEN BAY (4:25 p.m. ET): Think there's enough storylines to make the Fox-TV telecast rounds here? The Packers - fresh off Monday Night's robbery in Seattle - must put that zebra-botched result in the rear view mirror but how about protecting QB Rodgers who was your basic human pin cushion against Seahawks defense in that Week 3 clash? On the flip side, New Orleans now has lost its last four games in a row dating back to NFC Divisional Playoff setback in San Francisco and among last week's truly troubling stats in the 27-24 OT loss to KC was fact TE Graham accounted for mere 16 receiving yards ... say what!

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CHICAGO at DALLAS: Great spread stat to feed you here is that the Cowboys are now 5-12 against the odds at home since the start of 2010 ... so what's going on, Jerry? Now, Dallas laying FG-plus here against Bears bunch that sorely missed RB Forte in last week's 23-6 win/cover against St. Louis - or didn't you notice the fact Citowners rushed the ball 34 times for only 103 yards (a 3.1 yards-per-carry average)?  If Bears defense can score again here - DB Wright raced 45 yards with pick six against QB Bradford and the Rams last week - than this could be upset alert time in Arlington but odds are Cowboys will send an extra pass rusher or two against immobile Cutler and keep close eyes on his sideline "chats" with O-linemen!

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Okay, so three weeks into the 2012 NFL season and there are only four teams that sport 3-and-oh spread marks and they are ...The Arizona Cardinals, the aforementioned Atlanta Falcons, the Houston Texans and - drum roll please - the Tampa Bay Bucs.

(All figures below are against the spread)
  • Air Force is 4-1 vs. Colorado State
  • Ball State is 4-0 this year
  • Clemson is 18-10 vs. ACC teams
  • Duke is 5-2-1 vs. Wake Forest
  • Houston is 2-5-1 vs. Rice
  • Iowa is 1-4-1 vs. Minnesota
  • Kentucky is 9-5 as hosts
  • Louisiana Tech is 13-2 overall
  • Louisville is 11-3 away
  • Michigan State is 2-5 vs. Ohio State
  • Nebraska is 3-0 at home this year
  • Oklahoma State is 13-4 vs. Big 12 foes
  • Oregon State is 8-2 vs. Arizona
  • San Jose State is 7-2 away
  • TCU is 2-7 vs. SMU
  • Tennessee is 1-8 vs. SEC teams
  • Texas Tech is 3-0 as favorites this year
  • UCLA is 4-11 away
  • Virginia Tech is 4-12 as chalk sides
  • Western Kentucky is 12-2-1 away
(All figures below are against the spread)
  • Arizona is 10-3 overall
  • Atlanta is 10-4-1 in last 15 games
  • Buffalo is 3-8 vs. New England
  • Cincinnati is 7-3-2 away
  • Dallas is 4-17-1 as favorites
  • Denver is 3-9 vs. Oakland
  • Green Bay is 18-10 as favs
  • Minnesota is 4-8 in divisional duels
  • NY Giants are 1-6 vs. Philadelphia
  • NY Jets are 4-8 outside the AFC East
  • St. Louis is 1-9 vs. Seattle
  • Tampa Bay is 3-8-2 as betting favorites
  • Tennessee is 1-5 vs. AFC South opponents
  3. LSU

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