Volume XXVII, Issue 10
Jim Hurley's NCAA PICKS & PREVIEWS are based on information obtained prior to press time and may not reflect any changes that could affect these selections. For firmed-up Game-Day selections/ratings, visit us at www.JimHurley.com or call the toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 after 9:30 a.m. ET on weekends and holidays and anytime after 1 p.m. ET for weeknight games.
WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 16
OHIO at BOWLING GREEN: It’s the final road game of the year for the Mid-American Conference’s East Division leaders and QB Tettleton (22 TD passes this year) on a real roll – plus keep in mind Ohio Bobcats have won/covered their last three in a row and they battered the BGs 49-25 last year.
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 17
NORTH CAROLINA at VIRGINIA TECH: More under-the-lights action here for the V-Tech Hokies who swatted away 2-point home underdog Georgia Tech 37-26 last Thursday Nite as RB Wilson cranked out 175 yards rushing and remember that Jim Hurley had that key Thursday Night winner along with Houston’s 73-17 win/cover against Tulane. Note that Carolina Tar Heels – idle last week – have dropped four of their last five spread verdicts since early October.
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 18
OKLAHOMA STATE at IOWA STATE: Can we cast a vote for the Okie State Cowboys as the single-most exciting football team in America? The always-entertaining Pokes now have scored 50-plus points six times en route to this dazzling 10-0 SU (straight-up) start but how about the fact HC Gundy’s guys have covered Las Vegas pointspreads this year of 31 ½ points and 19 points in a couple of Big 12 games? Now, road folks laying a bundle once again a week after rolling up 637 total yards in 66-6 win at Texas Tech – but consider that I-State Cyclones had a bye last week and so extra prep/rest time could mean something here and pressure is starting to build on Heisman Trophy candidate QB Weeden who threw five more scoring strikes last week in Lubbock. Is near four-TD price too much here … just check with us and we’ll clue you in!
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 19
WISCONSIN at ILLINOIS: Sure seems as if theIllini has “run out of gas” as now HC Zook’s crew has scored mere 42 points in the past four weeks and no bargain here despite grabbing plenty of points against Wisky Badgers team that won’t mind RB Ball getting the ball 30-plus times here.
IOWA at PURDUE: Maybe the commentators on the Big Ten Network said it best following last weekend’s 26-23 overtime win over 7 ½-point fav Ohio State … The Boilermakers really needed that “W” from a psychological standpoint and who knew that perhaps the biggest single play in this Purdue season would be blocked PAT late in fourth quarter last weekend? No doubt we’d love to see HC Hope not flip-flop QBs Bush/Marve so much but what are you gonna do now at this late stage of the year? Note we banged out the Purdue overtime winner against Ohio State last week as part of Jim Hurley’s Network big day of College Football plus we also won with West Virginia (over Cincinnati) and Michigan State (over Iowa) too.
CLEMSON at N.C. STATE: When all the BCS folks start figuring out who’s going where in early January let’s hope that if Clemson wins the ACC Championship Game it gets a real fun, high profile foe in the Orange Bowl … like Oklahoma. In the meantime, QB Boyd (343 yards passing and two TDs in last week’s last-second 31-28 noncover win against Wake Forest) and Company looking to snap mini two-game spread losing skid here.
KENTUCKY at GEORGIA: Count the Georgia Dawgs as one of the “best buys” this year ever since that sluggish 0-2 SU/ATS start as HC Richt and Company have covered seven of their last eight games with last weekend’s 45-7 beat-down of Auburn just the latest bit of domination. Did you realize that Georgia had 30 first downs to Auburn’s 9 in that slaughter and now QB Murray (224 yards passing with 4 TDs and 0 INTs last Saturday) gets to harangue another lost soul here. Note that Kentucky’s surrendered 35-ormore points four times in past seven games.
VANDERBILT at TENNESSEE: The host Vols (4-6 SU) need to win here and at Kentucky just to finish at .500 mark and safe to say HC Dooley was lost the minute his club discovered QB Bray (broken thumb) was gone for the year a few
TEXAS TECH at MISSOURI: Maybe it’s a true under-the-radar deal here but three cheers for Mizzou boss-man Pinkel who may be only .500 SU this season (5-5) but wins against Texas and Texas A&M and near-misses versus Oklahoma and Kansas State sure caught our attention. Only trouble here is Tigers likely without Big 12 rushing leader RB Josey and so deck could be stacked against ‘em here from a spread standpoint (although Tech QB Doege comes off 0-TD, 169-yard passing game and may be regressing these days). P.S., last week we used Missouri, Kansas State and Oregon as Jim Hurley’s TV Triple Crown winner and so now we’ve posted three consecutive perfect weeks for the TV Triple Crown which is a dazzling 24-9 on the year! Join us again on Saturday for another 3-0 day for $15.
LSU at OLE MISS: Let the records state that the Ole Miss Rebels have covered eight of their last 10 head-to-head showdowns against LSU while dating back to 2001 but did you realize that the Bayou Bengals are an electric 5-1 ATS when playing fellow SEC folks this season? Now, HC Miles’ crew pounds out the yards between the tackles here (keep in mind LSU scored four rushing TDs in last week’s 42-9 non-cover win against Western Kentucky) with RB Blue making major statement with his 119 rushing yards and two scores. The Rebs rolled over and played dead a long time ago, folks. LSU 49, Ole Miss 14.
ARIZONA at ARIZONA STATE: Last week’s losses by both the U of A Wildcats (a bumbling 48-29defeat at 10-point dog Colorado) and the A-State Sun Devils (see the 37-27 setback at 11 ½-point dog Washington State) showed once and for all that these two gridiron programs need to start over and fact of matter is these cactus state squads are a combined 7-13 ATS this year … ugh!
CALIFORNIA at STANFORD: Always interesting to see how a major-college team responds once their national championship dreams have gone up in smoke – and usually it’s not a pretty picture – but gotta believe high-class Stanford Cardinal club will show major gumption here with QB Luck (3 TDs but 2 INTs in last week’s 23-point
NEBRASKA at MICHIGAN: Now that Big Red survived that emotional cauldron at Penn State last week you wonder what’s in store for ‘em here as can’t like the fact that ‘Huskers nearly gagged up 17-0 lead in Happy Valley and count us among the folks who don’t care for RB Burkhead taking all those snaps under center … what gives with that silliness?
PENN STATE at OHIO STATE: No question that 2011 is a year that both the Nittany Lions and Buckeyes would like to soon forget but let’s toss aside the off-the-field garbage here and concentrate on nuts-and-bolts football and keep in mind Penn State RB Redd couldn’t pick up a key yard last week when game was on the line – maybe the “under” here?
CINCINNATI at RUTGERS: Let’s sit tight here and wait for final word on Cincy’s injured QB Collaros who was kayoed in last week’s 24-21 home loss to West Virginia. Okay?
KANSAS STATE at TEXAS: The mere mention of K-State’s 25-point home win against last year’s Texas Longhorns ought to get the Longhorns’ blood boiling for this conference clash and, really, what can be left in the tank for HC
SMU at HOUSTON: Here’s something that all Heisman Trophy voters should really think about … If UH Cougars slinger Keenum wins all his games (including the Conference USA Championship tilt) and no other valid Heisman
MISS STATE at ARKANSAS (at Little Rock): Hey, love ‘em or hate ‘em the fact is Hogs HC Petrino has his club in the hunt for a major BCS bowl and date back to early 2010 and you’ll find that Arkansas is 16-6 ATS overall. Now that deserves a wow! Petrino’s club is fresh off aforementioned 42-point win against Tennessee last weekend when Razorbacks ground game averaged haughty 8.5 yards a rush and do-it-all guy Adams made all his dazzling moves in sizzling-hot 60-yard punt bring-back for a score.
MIAMI at SOUTH FLORIDA: “The U” is on back end of Sunshine State rivalry games but gotta believe all the emotion is on South Florida’s side here and gotta admit we love fact that the Bulls are home and with the extra prep day (see last
OKLAHOMA at BAYLOR: Go ahead and look it up … The OU Sooners have beaten Baylor by 29, 26, 32 and 31 points the past four seasons and no real reason to think this will be goin’ down to the wire here. Oklahoma had bye last week and so QB Jones (3,349 yards passing with 28 TDs and 9 INTs) had plenty of time to review video of Bears defense that’s allowed 55, 59, 39 and 30 points the past four games.
USC at OREGON: Don’t look now but the Oregon Ducks – thanks to last week’s superimpressive 53-30 win at 3-point fav Stanford – have positioned themselves neatly back into this year’s BCS Championship race and now HC Kelly’s club can’t take its foot off the proverbial gas pedal here. The Ducks were powered last weekend by a ground game that averaged five yards a pop and starred RB James (20 carries for 146 yards and 3 TDs) but gotta believe that if Oregon’s gonna cover the home price tag here than QB Thomas (3 TD passes against Stanford) will have to make some big plays in the vertical passing game against an athletic USC secondary. No doubt Troy Boys have Top 10-type talent – but
BOISE STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE: Quickie memo to the guys/gals at Boise State … Don’t you think it’s high time you invested in a high quality kicker as one of your future recruits? In case you missed it, we bagged a big-time winner
The Jim Hurley Network's top play on Saturday is our November College Golden Game. We won this play last month on Bowling Green (+8) over Toledo 21-28. We won our November Golden Game in 2010 with Virginia Tech (-2) over Miami. And to top it off, we won our top play of last week on TCU (+16) over Boise State 36-35! The beat goes on Saturday! Sign up online for $50.
Jim Hurley's NFL PICKS & PREVIEWS are based on information obtained prior to press time and may not reflect any changes that could affect these selections. For firmed-up Game-Day selections/ratings, log online at www.JimHurley.com or call the toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 after 10 a.m. ET on Sundays and after 1 p.m. ET for the weeknight games.
Note: The NFL Week 11 Bye Teams Are: Houston, Indianapolis, New Orleans and Pittsburgh.
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 17
NY JETS at DENVER: No reason for the J-E-T-S to moan-and-groan regarding fact they had to play Sunday Nighter and now get short week plus travel – if HC Ryan’s club has a problem with the sked than take it up with the commish! In reality, maybe fact Jets are playing here just four nights after New England pounded ‘em 37-16 will prove to be a blessing in disguise but what’s up with QB Sanchez (see 64.7 QB Rating versus the Pats last weekend)? It’s an opportunity for NFL Network folks to check out Denver QB Tebow who completed only two passes in last Sunday’s 17-10 win in Kansas City but he’s won three-of-four since getting popped into starting lineup. We'll have the winner here, along with the aforementioned North Carolina-Virginia Tech college Thursday game as part of our Thursday Night Parlay for $15.
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 20
TENNESSEE at ATLANTA: Now that Falcons’ HC Smith has been barbecued from coast-tocoast for that OT decision to “go for it” on fourth-and-short from his own 30-yard line, you do have to wonder how the home team will be
BUFFALO at MIAMI: Fact of matter is the Bills have scored just one “meaningful” TD while losing the past two weeks to the NY Jets and Dallas Cowboys and gotta believe RB Jackson (13 carries for 114 yards in last week’s 44-7 loss in Arlington) will get steady dose of rushes here. Hey, note that Bills are a rotten 7-13 vigwise in last 20 tilts against fellow AFC East foes while Dolphins – starting to get solid production from journeyman QB Moore (see 20-of-29 for 209 yards passing in last week’s 20- 9 win against 4-point pup Washington) – on own little roll here with back-to-back wins/covers but note Fish haven’t covered four in a row since 2006.
CINCINNATI at BALTIMORE: Strange-but-true fact is the Ravens still have four divisional games remaining including a pair apiece with Cincy and Cleveland and worth mentioning that HC Harbaugh’s club failed to cover these Ohio guys in 3-of-4 meetings last year. Hey, the Ravens never did get ground game untracked last weekend in that 22-17 loss in Seattle as RB Rice rushed for only 27 yards but fully expect him to get 25-plus rushes here while Bengals hope rookie connection of QB Dalton-to-WR Green does some damage. Note that Cincinnati’s 7-2 versus the vig overall this year
OAKLAND at MINNESOTA: Short work week for the Minny Vikings here following MNF tilt in Green Bay while the Raiders have had 10 calendar days to prep for this interconference clash … just who’s making these NFL schedules anyway? No doubt Oakland slinger Palmer (299 yards passing and 2 TDs in last Thursday’s 24-17 win at 7-point favorite San Diego) is really gettin’ into a nice rhythm with old pal HC Jackson and bound to stay hot in climate-controlled dome here. It’s Oakland 26, Minnesota 20.
CAROLINA at DETROIT: Don’t want to hear any crying from Lions crew that was whacked 37-13 at Soldier Field last weekend as HC Schwartz’s guys have dropped three of their last four games overall both SU/ATS and has anyone noticed the Motowners scored less than 20 points in all three of these recent setbacks. On flip side, Carolina showing signs that this young team is starting to tread water following last week’s 30-3 home loss to Tennessee and did you happen to notice that the Panthers converted just 3-of-14 third-down plays while going rotten 0-for-3 in the red zone?
TAMPA BAY at GREEN BAY: Let’s just say the T-Bay Bucs sure seem to be heading backwards as last week’s no-show 37-9 home loss to Houston marked third consecutive SU/ATS loss. Just remember the last time these clubs clashed was back 2009 when TB was 0-7 SU at the time and than beat the Pack 38-28 and something tells us HC McCarthy’s club will hear about that one a bit this week … right?
DALLAS at WASHINGTON: The Cowboys’ 44- 7 win against Buffalo last Sunday marked the first time since early ’08 that Dallas hung 40- plus points on an opponent but will this trip into D.C. be as much fun? The Romo Show was
ARIZONA at SAN FRANCISCO: The beat goes on for the 8-and-1 Niners who managed to bang out 27-20 win/cover against 4-point dog NY Giants last weekend even though star RB Gore (ankle/knee) had just six carries. Maybe the lunch-pail approach isn’t always exciting but the 49ers sure seem en route to a playoff bye and can someone say a kind word about PK Akers who netted four FGs last week including 52-yarder … and now left-footed kicker helps to put his stamp on this game while ‘Zona won’t be able to follow up last week’s 21-17 shockeroo win at 13-point fav Philly. Call it San Francisco 27, Arizona 14.
SAN DIEGO at CHICAGO: The $64,000 question is can the SD Chargers stop this slide before it’s too late? HC Turner’s team hasdropped all four of its post-bye games including last Thursday’s bitter 24-17 home loss to hated Oakland but extra prep time here is key and so is fact “Da Bears” come off back-to- back big home wins versus Philly and Detroit and just don’t think QB Cutler and Company will answer the bell here. Look for SD slinger Rivers to steer clear of making the critical pick and count on Chargers’ S Weddle and friends making big-time red-zone stands here. Upset alert in the Windy City. San Diego 26, Chicago 21.
The Jim Hurley Network is primed for Sunday's NFL Game of the Month! The first two editions of our NFL Game of the Month have produced two never-in-doubt outright upsets! In September we hit in Week 2 with the Titans (+6) over the Ravens 26-13, a 19-point cover where we capitalized on Baltimore in a letdown spot after an opening week win over Pittsburgh. Then on October 23 we did it again with Kansas City (+4) over Oakland 28-0, a game where we knew there was no way Carson Palmer could be up to speed in his first game as a Raider. It's November's turn now and we're set to win our third straight NFL Game of the Month! Sign up online to win for $50.
PHILADELPHIA at NY GIANTS: Loved the fact the Fox-TV folks literally “put a fork” into the Eagles before last week’s home loss to Arizona but will HC Reid get his club to fight for its life here in revenge game situation against the Giants (remember that 29-16 win in Week 3)? Note that the Giants are just 1-5 spreadwise in last half-dozen head-to-head tilts and we do believe replay of that PR Jackson TD return against the G-men last year will be played a gazillion times in Gotham City in the days/hours leading up to this one. What way do you play this one? We've got the answer and it's yours for just $15.
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 21
KANSAS CITY at NEW ENGLAND: The Pats in position of laying big-time price here eight days after extinguishing the Jets thanks to QB Brady’s 3-TD showing but check up on the health of Chiefs QB Cassel (hand) and let’s see
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