Volumne 27, Issue 5

Volume 27, Issue 5 ~ Tuesday October 5 thur Monday, October 11

A MEMO TO THE COLLEGE KIDS:
CONFERENCE PLAY IS ALL AROUND
AND SO LOOK OUT FOR MORE
OF THOSE WASHINGTON-LIKE UPSETS AHEAD!

You can't sit there and tell us the College Football kids treat conference games just like the non-league tilts:

No way!

Last Saturday night you saw 9 1/2-point road underdog Washington topple unbeaten USC 32-31 on a last-second field goal --yes, the second straight year that's happened --and so nobody should be shocked in the days/weeks ahead when you have some prohibitive underdog sides jump up and bite the big, bad bullies from their own conference.

Make sure you're in the winner's circle for loads of Conference Winners this Saturday where I'll be releasing my ACC & SEC Games of the Year... Just $35 Click Here or Call 1-800-323-4453. Or Also get Baseball Divisonal Playoffs.

Here's an important note: The check-in times are after 10a.m. ET for the weekday afternoon Baseball Games; then anytime after 1 p.m. ET Monday thru Friday for all the NFL, NCAA Football and MLB weeknight games; and then anytime after 10 a.m. ET on Saturdays and Sundays.


 

NCAA PICKS & PREVIEWS

Jim Hurley's NCAA PICKS & PREVIEWS are based on information obtained prior to press time -- to get all the firmed-up Game-Day selections/ratings, just check with us anytime after 10 a.m. ET on Saturdays and whenever there are weekday afternoon games and also after 1 p.m. ET for the weeknight games either online here at www.jimhurley.com or at our exclusive toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453. 

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 8

CONNECTICUT at RUTGERS: Note that it's double-revenge time here for the UConn Huskies who've actually dropped four of their last five head-to-head showdowns versus Rutgers and now the solution is easy to snag this under-the-lights Big East duel ... make sure RB Todman (190 yards rushing and two TDs in last weekend's 40-21 win/cover against 8-point pup Vanderbilt) sees the pigskin plenty here. Got it, HC Edsall? Get this Touchdown Club winner for just $15

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 9

MINNESOTA at WISCONSIN: Annual battle for the Paul Bunyan Axe has lost some major luster with Wisky coming off last weekend's 34-24 loss at Michigan State while Minny Golden Gophers blew another one in 29-28 loss-but-cover versus Northwestern ...  On the flip side, Wisconsin last week forced three early-game turnovers and still trailed 20-10 as the Badgers' special teams broke down on that 74-yard punt return for a score by Sparty's Martin and, yes, we noticed Wisconsin converted on just 3-of-11 third-down plays. Wisconsin 39, Minnesota 17.

ILLINOIS at PENN STATE: Both of these teams haunted last week by poor decisions by their respective head coaches (yes, JoePa should have been more gutsy on Iowa's side of the field in that no-contest 24-3 loss in Iowa City) while Illini's Zook blew it by opting for FG try in game's final five minutes with his guys down 17-10 at the time against Ohio State. Penn State 27, Illinois 17.

INDIANA at OHIO STATE: Forget about 'style points' as last week's closer-than-it-looked 24-13 non-cover win by the Buckeyes at Illinois showed that HC Tressel's team is far from perfect  O-State laying a bundle here and we say tread carefully. Meanwhile, Indy Hoosiers had the ball for a whopping 98 offensive plays last week (for 568 yards) and still lost to Michigan and QB Chappell (45-of-64 for 480 yards passing) better not assume he'll be standing tall in the pocket all game long here. This is our BIG 10 Game of the Week and get it for just $15 + 2 Bonus knockout plays.

MARQUEE MATCHUP

MICHIGAN STATE at MICHIGAN: Hats off to these pair of 5-and-oh squads who've managed to overcome their own bouts with adversity (see State HC Dantonio and his health issues and Michigan QB Robinson's knee woes) and now this clash in Ann Arbor should be as good as advertised!  QB Robinson continues to be early-season Heisman Trophy leader. The kid's numbers last week in that wild 42-35 last-minute win at Indiana featured 277 yards passing and 217 yards rushing plus Robinson accounted for five TDs and sure feels like an 'over' here. This game to us is a piece of cake, you'll be taking it to the bank just $15 + 2 standout best bets.

COLLEGE COMPUTER CRUNCHER OF MONTH SCORES SAT.

The Jim Hurley Network beats pointspreads and wins bets a lot of ways, and one of them is the use of technology to sharpen our numbers to a razor's edge. We did just that last week when we released Iowa (-7) over Penn State. A lot of handicappers didn't want to give that many points to Joe Paterno on the road. We understand the logic, but our numbers said something different. They were run on the most sophisticated simulation programs in the industry 10,000 times and the trends were clear--the Hawkeyes were easily the superior side and Penn State's freshman quarterback Robert Bolden wouldn't produce any offense on the road. The 24-3 Iowa win spoke volumes as to the accuracy of our computer. The system is pointing to another big win on Saturday--in fact one that grades out even stronger! It's our College Computer Cruncher Of The Month and you can click here to win for just $50!

 

CLEMSON at NORTH CAROLINA: Gotta believe that Clemson QB Parker (sacked three times and had costly INT and lost fumble last week in 30-21 home loss to Miami) won't be able to handle the Carolina pass rush here but --again --we're not getting involved in any Tar Heel games these days because one never knows who's playing and who's suspended!

VIRGINIA at GEORGIA TECH: The spread stats show that the GT Yellow Jackets have failed to cover four of their first five games this year but they still get a gold star for major comeback in 24-20 win at Wake Forest last Saturday night (see 18 fourth-quarter points that featured a pair of TDs and key two-point conversion play). QB Nesbitt remains a whiz on fourth-down plays and simply not counting on him to fold here. Georgia Tech 30, Virginia 20.

TENNESSEE at GEORGIA: There's more subplots and storylines than you can shake a stick at here as Vols' boss Dooley better take some of the blame for last-second fiasco loss at LSU while Dawgs HC Richt sees writing on the wall following dreadful 1-4 start as even return of WR Green (7 catches for 119 yards and two TDs including one-handed circus reception) couldn't save Georgia last weekend in 29-27 loss at Colorado. If you must, it's Georgia 34, Tennessee 22.

ALABAMA at SOUTH CAROLINA: Now that ultra-physical 'Bama bunch has dunked Florida in the trash can with that thorough 31-6 beat-down last Saturday night, here comes a road challenge against a Gamecocks club that drew a bye last weekend. Will the extra prep/practice time help mistake-prone QB Garcia here (see three lost fumbles in recent 35-27 loss at Auburn)? Not likely as RB Ingram (two TDs against the mighty Gators last weekend) gets back to busting tackles and hearts. We've got the answer and really like a side here yours just $15 + 2 Bonus plays. 

LSU at FLORIDA: No matter what the Gators may be saying publicly, fact is QB Brantley is a not-ready-for-prime-time player despite cannon arm and so it's road folks (yes, even with clock-management challenged HC Miles and Company) here or nothing at all. Look for RB Ridley --he scored that no-time-on-the-clock TD against Tennessee last weekend --to be a red zone menace here. Grab the points, ladies and gents! This contest is part of our SEC Parlay of the Month  Just $20 for Both plays.

ARIZONA STATE at WASHINGTON: Now the 'master of the obvious' selection here would be to grab the road dogs and ask no questions following on the heels of the UW Huskies' shocker win at USC last Saturday night but this does mark second straight road game for the Sun Devils and asking 'em to slow QB Locker (313 yards passing and 111 yards rushing versus Troy Boys) here is tall order.

UCLA at CALIFORNIA: Maybe the Cal Golden Bears are just one of those snake-bit teams ... after all, they usually find a way to blow a game or two each year under 9th-year boss-man Tedford and even here when everything looks just right (Homecoming, off a bye, etc.) it's tough to trust the Berkeley bunch. Note that PK Tavecchio missed two FGs in recent one-point loss at Arizona and he could be busy here but be careful laying those points. California 26, UCLA 21.

PITTSBURGH at NOTRE DAME: No doubt ND Fighting Irish boss-man Kelly showing more and more faith in QB Crist (203 yards passing in last Saturday's easy 31-13 win at Boston College) and unless Pitt's pass rush comes alive here the Golden Domers will win by a margin --hey, check the status of injured Pitt RB Lewis here. It's Notre Dame 26, Pittsburgh 17.

BAYLOR at TEXAS TECH: Tough to know what the TT Red Raiders' mindset will be here after getting roasted for 52 points in loss at Iowa State last Saturday --don't you just know that the locals would do anything to get former HC Leach back in the fold! --and now here comes multi-faceted QB Griffin into town. Last week Griffin threw for career-best 380 yards as the Baylor Bears swamped Kansas 55-7 and it's road folks or bust here. Baylor 33, Texas Tech 28.

TEXAS A&M vs. ARKANSAS (at Arlington): This 'now annual' showdown at Cowboys Stadium will be a lot closer than last year's 47-19 win by the Hogs even though QB Mallett is the best player on the field here and point-grabbing Aggies are still reeling over that 38-35 last-second loss at Oklahoma State last Thursday night --we told you about the 'over' in that one, folks! This our Big 12 Game Of Week just $15 + Bonus action Too.

OREGON STATE at ARIZONA: Here's the third tough game in a row for the O-State Beavers (fresh off a 31-28 win against Arizona State following that 37-24 loss-but-cover at Boise State) and gotta believe the tank's running a bit dry here for HC Riley's gang. No question that laying points with oft-undisciplined 'Zona bunch is a risky matter but it's the favorite or bust here as WR Criner (see gigantic catch late in 10-9 win against Cal two weeks ago) is crunch-time performer here. It's Arizona 27, Oregon State 18.

AUBURN at KENTUCKY: The Auburn Tigers have pull out 2 late wins against S. Carolina & Clemson.  Kentucky play a physical game and has pulled out a pair of late-game wins against Clemson and South Carolina and now looks to QB Newton (245 yards passing last week in walkover win against UL-Monroe) to put 'em over the top here. Hey, Kentucky really played a physical war in 42-35 loss at Ole Miss last week --one of the hardest-hitting games we've seen this year! --and HC Phillips' crew just get the big defensive stop here. Will Kentucky play with the same intensity this week.. Get the right side for only $15 + Bonus Conference shockers.

Pac-10 Play of the Week 

USC at STANFORD: The bubble really burst on the Stanford Cardinal last Saturday night in Eugene as 21-3 lead flickered away en route to 52-31 loss to the 'Quack Attack' a winner on the Hurley phone lines.  Now here comes USC into town with major revenge in mind (remember last year's 55-21 win by the Cardinal). The USC passing attack has run hot-and-cold this year but QB Barkley (only 186 aerial yards and no TDs against Washington last Saturday) should dissect this worn-down Stanford secondary here. After last Saturday the Stanford D shoiuld be thrilled facing a convential offense.  Do you give the points or take them....We have the answer and it screams a W  Just $25.

JIM HURLEY'S NCAA FOOTBALL TOP 10

  1. ALABAMA
  2. OHIO STATE
  3. BOISE STATE
  4. OREGON
  5. NEBRASKA
  6. TCU
  7. OKLAHOMA
  8. AUBURN
  9. MIAMI
  10. FLORIDA
  11.  OCTOBERAMA!

    How would you like the one game you bet your maximum on each Saturday & Sunday? The one game you know has been so thoroughly handicapped, so thoroughly vetted by on-scene sources that it's a virtual can't miss. It's a game with every edge and as close to a lock as one will ever find. The Jim Hurley Network has been finding games like that for 24 years and we did it again last weekend. We advised clients to bet big on Iowa (-7) on Saturday night and the Hawkeyes routed Penn State 24-7. We came back again on Sunday with the Redskins (+5.5) and they beat the Eagles 17-12, a game in which they jumped to an early lead and the cover was never in doubt. Now in this month of October we're set to do it again this weekend! It's an Octoberama of winning on Saturday & Sunday! Get the best game of each day and bet the house!
    Saturday Conference Computer Crusher
    Sunday our Steam of the Month

    Win one day for $50! Or win both days for $75!
    Click here to sign up online


NFL PICKS & PREVIEWS

Jim Hurley's NFL PICKS & PREVIEWS are based on information obtained prior to press time. To get the NFL Week 5 Side & Totals Winners, just log online here at www.jimhurley.com or call our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 anytime after 10 a.m. ET on Sunday and after 1 p.m. ET on game days for Monday Night Football.

The NFL Week 5 Byes: Miami, New England, Pittsburgh and Seattle

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 10

DENVER at BALTIMORE: Now that the Ravens have put the ghosts of Heinz Field in their proverbial rearview mirror thanks to last Sunday's epic 17-14 last-minute win, a Blue Ribbon Club Winner, it's time to tackle a Broncos bunch that's shown some real chutzpah the past couple of weeks --remember that Denver could have beaten Indianapolis two weeks ago if they had kicked a couple of FGs instead of getting greedy and then last week snagged a 26-20 victory in Tennessee. another Blue Ribbon Club Winner.... The Denver defense deserved bows after that one (held explosive RB Johnson to just 53 yards rushing) but can they contain QB Flacco-to-WR Boldin combo here for a full 60 minutes? Not likely. Baltimore 27, Denver 20.

PREFERRED PICKS

KANSAS CITY at INDIANAPOLIS: Pointspread historians will tell you that the Indy Colts have covered 13 of their last 21 games when in the favorite's role and we'll look for HC Caldwell's club to batten down the hatches on 'D' and allow QB Manning (352 yards passing last week in 31-28 loss at Jacksonville) to deliver some key on-the-money strikes here. Folks, the Chiefs may be the last NFL unbeaten team standing but they still lack a vertical passing game and the O-line could be headed for major trouble here when pass-blocking for QB Cassel --let's say five or six sacks combined for DEs Freeney and Mathis. It's Indianapolis 30, Kansas City 14.

ATLANTA at CLEVELAND: Gotta ask a question here ... are the Falcons a 'sleeper' to go all the way this year? The NFC South co-leaders made it three in a row last Sunday with high-wire 16-14 non cover win against San Francisco (another Hurley Winner) and now hero PK Bryant (game-winning 43-yarder with no time left last week) now bangs home a few more treys here against Browns bunch that surrendered 371-yard passing game by Cincy's Palmer last week. Browns got the cover and so did Hurley clients.  Atlanta 26, Cleveland 17.

TAMPA BAY at CINCINNATI: It's been a long two weeks for the TB Bucs who were walloped 38-13 in their pre-bye game against Pittsburgh and now kid QB Freeman hopes all the study time pays off here against a Bengals defense that is feeling overworked because Cincy's offense remains stuck in neutral  Maybe Cincinnati QB Palmer (371 yards passing with 2 TDs and 0 INTs against the Browns) steers clear of making the bonehead play here but still this one's closer than 'they' thin. Call it Cincinnati 22, Tampa Bay 20.

BEST BET

GREEN BAY at WASHINGTON: Loved the fact that Packers' QB Rodgers (only 181 yards passing and 12 completions last Sunday) was quite annoyed following that hang-on-for-dear-life 28-26 non-cover win against Detroit --and now we'll look for the NFC North crew to come alive here against 'Skins club that likely spent a major chunk of this week celebrating that divisional win in Philly. Okay, so Washington QB McNabb took his verbal shots at his old team following that clash but here he will be running for his life with Packers' LB Matthews piling up the sacks. Green Bay 29, Washington 16.

NEW ORLEANS at ARIZONA: The defending champs ain't what they used to be as last week's ugly 16-14 non-cover win against winless Carolina proved that HC Payton's guys have mucho work to do on offense ... We went against Arizona last week and won big time. Did you realize that N'Orleans offense is averaging slightly less than 20 points a game? QB Brees (275 yards passing against Carolina) will feast against this sluggish 'Zona secondary, to be sure. New Orleans 33, Arizona 17.

SAN DIEGO at OAKLAND: Here's a quick note to send your general direction ... The Raiders are a collective 30-86 SU (straightup) ever since they made their last Super Bowl appearance (that's a ridiculous .259 winning rate) and only one of these 'W's' came in head-to-head battle with the SD Chargers. So, do you really think the silver-and-black is gonna get our backing here, especially with star RB McFadden either out or slowed by a bad hammy (check status) The Chargers, were a easy winner with us against Arizona last Sunday San Diego 31, Oakland 20.

 NFL INTERCONFERNCE
GAME OF THE YEAR

Interconference games always represent a unique challenge to handicappers, even at the NFL level, as statistical production must be evaluated against a different set of competition. The Jim Hurley Network has always been up to the task, including last week when one of our top sources insisted that San Diego (-8) would blow out Arizona. They did just that, to the tune of 41-10. Now we won't say our game this week will cover the number by 23 points, but we can tell you this--it actually grades out stronger than the San Diego play did prior to the game. You can be perfectly comfortable betting your limit on this one. There's six AFC-NFC matchups on the sked, including good showdowns like NYG-Houston, Tennessee-Dallas, Cincinnati-Tampa and Atlanta-Cleveland. One of these is a betting blockbuster, so good that it's our InterConference Game of the Year! Click here to win it for just $50!

 

TENNESSEE at DALLAS: There's no margin for error for these well-rested Cowboys who get games at Minnesota and then home to the Giants on deck and so mark this one down as 'must-win' material ... got it? Dallas did plenty right in that 27-13 win at Houston back in Week 3 play as WR Williams (two touchdowns and 118 receiving yards) was terrific and no doubt he noticed how last week Denver WR Lloyd piled up 11 catches and 115 yards. Still, the visitors are in foul mood after losing at home to Denver and so this one could get dicey for HC Phillips' men.

SUNDAY NITE

PHILADELPHIA at SAN FRANCISCO: Life in the NFL can be truly crazy and last week's McNabb vs. Vick showdown instead turned out to be all about Eagles QB Kolb --he was awful while subbing for the injured Vick (chest/ribs) and never did look to hook up with speedy WRs Jackson and Maclin downfield --a winner for Hurley clients --but what's the QB situation here for HC Reid's guys? Check with Jim Hurley on game-day and he'll clue you in with a prime-time winner Just $15  Click here to get listed today!

MONDAY, OCTOBER 11

MINNESOTA at NY JETS: It's gonna be a real circus at the New Meadowlands Stadium as one-time, one-year Jets QB Favre returns to face the AFC East leaders and don't you just know that the negative chants will be reining down from the rafters? The truth is Favre and Co. needed last week's bye to get their act straightened out plus the down time enabled hard-charging RB Peterson to rest up. If Peterson gets 25-or-more totes here, than the Vikes will find selves in the winner's circle but we'll all be keeping an eye peeled on born-again Jets RB Tomlinson (19 carries for 133 yards and two TDs in last Sunday's easy 38-14 win in Buffalo). Find out what gives here with the Side & Totals Winners plus all the Baseball Playoffs too when you check with us by clicking here. Just $15

NFL BETTING TRENDS
(Note all figures below are against the spread)

Atlanta is 15-8 vs. non-divisional foes
Dallas is 10-5 at home
Green Bay is 23-12 away
Indianapolis is 5-1 as home favorites
Minnesota is 8-11-3 as an underdog
New Orleans is 16-7-2 vs. non-NFC South
NY Giants are 13-7 as dogs
San Diego is 14-6 vs. Oakland
Tampa Bay is 8-13 as pups
Washington is 6-11-1 at home

 

23
Aug
24
Aug

Today’s Hot Plays