Network Notebook: NL Evaluation at the All-Star Break
ONLY A HANDFUL OF REAL CONTENDERS CURRENTLY IN THE NATIONAL LEAGUE
Two days ago, we used one of our pet stats, "Wins Minus Home Games Played" to get a read on the American League. As promised, we're back today to do the same thing for the National League. You regular readers know that we like to burst false media storylines whenever teams have been greatly helped by, or greatly hurt by the home/road dynamics of their schedules.
There's not too much drama in the regard in the senior circuit. But, a few surprises are coming up that should help your handicapping in the second half of the 2017 season.
NL EAST (Wins Minus Home Games)
NY Mets -4
Important for you to realize that Atlanta pretty much is "for real" as a generic .500 caliber team. Few were expecting that. So, at least we can put the Braves in the "value" category for betting when they're not getting enough respect. Washington is clearly playoff caliber, but not as good as the powerhouse Dodgers (as you'll see in a moment). Even our pet stat can't keep this division from being boring!
NL CENTRAL (Wins Minus Home Games)
St. Louis -7
This is shaping up as a very interesting race because of relative parity in the mid-section of America. And, this division brings us the first surprise sports bettors should be aware of. Look at St. Louis! The Cardinals were seen by the media as a team that was finally figuring things out in recent days. But, how much of that was due to a very home-friendly schedule that's had them play 50 at home, just 38 on the road so far. The Cards may have created an illusion that they're in the divisional race. Will they still be seen as hard-chargers once they play those dozen extra road games that are coming up? Milwaukee has also had a home friendly schedule...which has made them seem more in command of the race than they really are. At the break, the Brew Crew has played 49 at home, only 42 on the road. This pet stat of ours is suggesting Milwaukee, Chicago, and Pittsburgh are all close to being equal threats moving forward. Should be a fun race to follow and handicap, even if it doesn't feature high level baseball.
NL WEST (Wins Minus Home Games)
LA Dodgers +11
San Diego -6
San Francisco -7
Tricky call here for the Dodgers. While they are truly a great team...they're a great team that's played 10 more home games than road games! When that 50/40 ratio through 90 games evens out, there's at least a chance that either Colorado or Arizona could catch them. And, there's also a chance that Washington won't seem so far behind them in the overall NL pennant picture. Note that Arizona also has a favorable split, with 48 home games and only 41 road games through the break. Colorado is slightly road heavy (three games), which means they're better situated in the Wildcard race than your morning newspaper suggests.
Oh, quick note on San Francisco. They've played only 41 home games, with 49 road games. They are bad...but probably not as bad as the standings make it look. The Giants at least have a chance to offer value in the second half of the season if they can get their heads on straight.
For now, the playoff picture almost seems locked in stone. We know that Washington and the LA Dodgers will be there. Somebody's got to win the Central. Arizona and Colorado are well above the pack for the two Wildcard spots...and have such strong pitching staffs that it's hard to see somebody like Atlanta or an NL Central runner-up chasing them down from behind.
Today's exercise hasn't shed much light on the playoffs. But, we can at least alert you to the road-heavy schedules ahead for the Cardinals, Dodgers, Brewers, and Diamondbacks. The daily moneylines are largely based on team perceptions. Perceptions could be off for those teams by enough to create value for day-to-day bettors.
Are YOU ready to be a day-to-day bettor when the Major League Baseball season resumes Friday? It's the ideal way to build your bankroll for football. The NFL Preseason is less than a month away! Let JIM HURLEY'S NETWORK show you how it's done.
You always can purchase BEST BETS on game day right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions about longterm packages or early-bird football, please call us in the office during normal business hours at 1-800-323-4453. Now is the time to get locked in for college and pro football. And, every dollar you win in the meantime will multiply itself several times over.
Back with you Friday with a series preview of that huge NY Yankees/Boston Red Sox matchup that kicks off the second half. Next Monday, we'll be choosing from several interesting matchups in the pennant chance, including Washington/LA Angels, NY Yankees/Minnesota, Toronto/Boston, and Texas/Baltimore.
Hey...the All-Star break is a respite for sportsbooks from JIM HURLEY'S onslaught! That's about to end...so YOU'RE ABOUT TO GET THE MONEY!
Today’s Hot Plays
Network College TV Game of the Week
$19.00Purchase this nowTCU at Oklahoma State. This Game has graded out so strong I’ve made it my College TV Game of the Week. Don’t Miss This Next Easy Cover!! Pick is available now.
Network Big Ten Dynamic Duo Part II
$12.00Purchase this nowLast Saturday I released my first Big Ten Dynamic Duo, and swept BOTH games, covering by 39 points and 18 points. Two more Never-In-Doubt BIg Ten Games Ready to score Now!
Score Twice With Network SEC Double Play
Score Twice With Network’s SEC Double Play! Won Last Week’s 2-Team SEC Parlay with Tennessee & Mississippi State, two more winners available now.
Network Triple College Upset Play
Take advantage of my Top Three Underdog Plays on Saturday. These games are highly recommended by 3 of my hottest handicappers right now, and I wouldn’t be surprised if any or all win outright just like last week when I covered 5 of my 6 underdog plays, and ALL 5 WON OUTRIGHT!
Jim Hurley Saturday College Football Hotline
DO YOU HAVE A HOTLINE TO FOOTBALL WINNERS? JIM HURLEY DOES! 67% ON THE SEASON…
Hurley Sat. 4 Spot Includes Pennsylvania Derby
$20.00Purchase this nowSaturday Starts With Three Hurley Belmont Overlays And Wraps Up With The Pennsylvania Derby Play-Four-Win-Four
Network Saturday Night College Steam
Late College Steam Ready To Rock N’ Roll Saturday NightThis underdog will definitely cover and may get a shocking outright win. Plus Bonus Blowout.
Network NFL Week Three Top Totals
Jim Hurley knows HOW the Game Will be Played. That’s why he’s 18-8-1 in his last 27 Totals Plays. I’ve found two totals that should never be in doubt and make you money dutring Sunday’s games.
Network 20-Star Two-Dog NFL Parlay
$20.00Purchase this now20-STAR NFL 2-DOG PARLAY SWEEPS SUNDAY! Jim knows who’s the Lock and who will be shocked. 7-4 with NFL Dogs so far. Two more easy covers Sunday
Jim Hurley NFL September Stunner III - Won First Two
$29.00Purchase this nowI Won my NFL Stunner the first Two Weeks, with the Bears in Week 1 and Broncos in Week 2. Today’s Stunner Tops Them All