NFL Thursday Preview…Washington at NY Giants
Considering team perceptions entering the 2015 season, it’s almost impossible to think that the Washington Redskins are suddenly the team to beat in the NFC East. But, they enter Thursday Night’s nationally televised showdown with the NY Giants looking surprisingly good just two weeks into the season.
*Washington’s defense has significantly upgraded, and may be a real force
*Dallas just lost Tony Romo for up to two months with a fractured collarbone
*Philadelphia is off to an 0-2 start, and looks lost on offense most of the time
*The NY Giants are off to an 0-2 start, and don’t seem to have improved from last season
We’re not going to suggest that Washington is now some kind of NFC power. The offense has issues…which is why they’re only 1-1 out of the gate despite playing great defense. But…that 1-1 start is looking pretty good if Dallas has to go without Romo and Dez Bryant for half the season! Maybe the NFC East is the new NFC South and somebody will make the playoffs with a losing record. Maybe the Giants will win Thursday…and we’ll be looking at four NFC East teams all tied at 1-2 three weeks into the season.
Let’s review JIM HURLEY’S key indicator stats to see just “for real” the Redskins might be…and how this divisional race may play out in the coming weeks...
Won-Lost Records (Strength of Schedule)
Washington: 1-1 (split at home vs. Miami and St. Louis)
NY Giants: 0-2 (lost nailbiters at Dallas at home vs. Atlanta)
Washington dominated St. Louis, catching the Rams in a letdown spot off the Seattle upset. The home opener was a competitive loss to Miami. Washington won stats but gave up a punt return touchdown. Of course, Miami would then lose to Jacksonville…and Seattle would fall at Green Bay. So, it’s possible Washington is just looking decent against a very easy schedule. The Giants absolutely blew the Cowboys game…and were positioned to take out Atlanta in the fourth quarter. Tough call. Washington has the better record, but the Giants may still be the superior team.
Washington: 5.3 on offense, 4.6 on defense
NY Giants: 5.4 on offense, 6.1 on defense
You can see what we were talking about regarding Washington’s defense. It’s been elite so far. Maybe that’s a reflection of an easy schedule. But, sharps and other close followers of the league liked the offseason upgrades they saw on that side of the ball. The Giants didn’t catch any breaks drawing Tony Romo and Matt Ryan out of the gate. For now…the YPP data is pointing to Washington being the better team even after you adjust for the schedule.
NY Giants: +2
The only strike against Washington’s defense is that it’s not forcing turnovers. Forcing punts is great. But, taking the ball away is even better. Tough to ask Kirk Cousins to win a game for you until he shows he’s capable. The Giants only lost the ball once vs. Atlanta…but it was an important one that probably cost them the victory. The Giants should probably get the nod in this category Thursday all things considered. Cousins has to prove he can play clean football on the road. That may be the difference maker in a tough-to-call affair.
Washington: 1-1 ATS
NY Giants: 1-1 ATS
Both teams have split vs. market expectats. But, Washington was clearly underpriced to start the season. They were +4 at home against Miami in a game that was a dead heat if not for the punt return. They were +3 against St. Louis and won comfortably. The Giants needed turnovers to hang with Dallas, and were near the number until blowing the end of the Atlanta game. The market probably has a pretty good read on NYG.
Current Line: NY Giants by 4, total of 44
Home field advantage is usually worth about 2.5 points in divisional games. Visitors all know the environment so the full three may not be in play. Clearly the market sees the Giants as the slightly superior team right now. Washington has risen in the Power Ratings from being down near Jacksonville…but still isn’t seen as even a .500 caliber team. If you believe Washington’s defense is legit…then this could be a steal! If you believe their good stats are the result of facing mediocre (or worse) teams at home, then this is the night they turn into a pumpkin.
JIM HURLEY’s New York sources are the best in the business. He’ll make sure his clients get the right play Thursday Night. You can get the Game FREE by enrolling is his Blue Ribbon Football Club or Purchase it separately on Wednesday night.. If you’re reading this in advance, build your bankroll with Tuesday and Wednesday BASEBALL as you gear up for the new football weekend. You can always purchase the Best Information from Jim Hurley right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions about extended service, call us in the office at 1-800-323-4453 during normal business hours between now and Thursday’s kickoff.
Don’t forget to check on special rates that get you baseball through the World Series and the NFL through the Super Bowl!
Our TV previews will continue later in the week. Coming up soon in the NOTEBOOK…
*College Football TV Preview…#9 UCLA at #16 Arizona
*NFL Sunday Night TV Preview…Denver Broncos at Detroit Lions
*NFL Monday Night TV Preview…Kansas City Chiefs at Green Bay Packers
*NFL Thursday Night TV Preview…Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Congratulations to all of you who won our big COLLEGE SHOCKER on Stanford (+) outright over USC and our NFL PARLAYS on Sunday (including Green Bay and Under Sunday night!). Our exclusive TEAM HANDICAPPING approach is on another roll. Be sure you keep getting all those BIG, JUICY WINNERS from JIM HURLEY’S NETWORK!
Be sure to follow:
Jim Hurley on twitter @vsm_hurley
Vegas-Sports-Masters on twitter @vsmasters
Today’s Hot Plays
Network Plunders The NFL Playoffs
$25.00Purchase this nowWE BASHED THE BOWLS NOW WE’RE PLUNDERING THE PLAYOFFS. 8-1-1 in the Wild Cards and Divisional Playoffs!It’s Like Found Money!
Network Blue Ribbon Basketball Club
$25.00Purchase this nowBLUE RIBBON is not just team work… IT’S LEGWORK, SPADEWORK AND HOMEWORK… Tons of it.
Hurley NBA Consensus Play Of Week Scores Tuesday
$10.00Purchase this nowWent 2-1 On Monday’s MLK Dy Triple Play! Won with Hawks & Warriors. There are only 4 games on the NBA Schedule Tuesday night, but one side is on every one of Jim’s Hoop’s Guru’s Top Play lists. Join Jim With His Consensus Game Of The Week.
Hurley’s DOG OF THE WEEK Inflates Your Tuesday Hoops Profit
$15.00Purchase this nowIS YOUR BASKETBALL SEASON DEFLATED? IS YOUR BANKROLL WEARING THIN? Let Jim Hurley pump up your winning and your money.