Horses To Watch

JOHN PIESEN'S "HORSES TO WATCH LIST"
Selected List Of Horses Ready To Win Now
With John, It's not Horses to Watch...But Winners To Watch

NOTE: Below is a list of ready-to-win horses that have run recently at Aqueduct and Gulfstream. You should play these horses in their next two races, as long as they do so under the conditions noted and stop on them after they win or fail twice.

AQUEDUCT

GOTOGOBYE - The Anthony Dutrow trained 14K claimer was more than a match for his rivals as he made his first start since early November at Delaware Park. The 3-year old colt set the pace right out of the gate, stayed off the rail in the 6 furlong dash and when asked off the turn drew away under urging. Given that form there is no reason he shouldn't step up a notch and sprint to another victory soon.

IDLE AMERICAN - Second good effort in a row last time out for the NYSB gelding. The Pat Kelly trainee got away in mid-pack and was then steadied on the first turn of the mile and seventy yard restricted entry level allowance. He continued to move up while 3 wide moved outside coming off the far turn and rallied 4 wide through the lane to grab the place spot well clear of the third place finisher. Clears the level soon.

MONEY IN MOTION - The 3-year old gelding turned in his second straight good effort in a seven day period in most recent when he raced 3-4 wide throughout the mile and seventy yard 35K claiming test and was beaten just a length after getting the lead briefly in the stretch. A week earlier he was caught wide vs the same level claimer and rallied for the show in a six furlong attempt. He was claimed out of his most recent by Anthony Dutrow and should have it come together soon going two turns vs the same or slightly better.

OFF THE JAK - Much improved effort by the Bisnath Parboo trained gelding as he set a solid pace vs upper level starter allowance/optional claimers in most recent. The 4-year old raced of the rail, put away one challenger through a rapidly run half mile in the 6 furlong contest and then battled gamely to take the show while between horses. He was well clear of the fourth place finisher and was beaten less than a length for it all so is definitely sitting on a win vs the same 50K starter allowance types.

NEFERTINI - Top notch return to racing for the 4-year old filly as she made her most recent effort a winning one. The Alan Goldberg trained daughter of Empire Maker was racing for the first time since the Labor Day weekend and broke just off the leaders in the entry level allowance/optional 25K claimer run at a mile and seventy yards. She was 3 wide down the backstretch, moved to put her head in front at the quarter pole and wore down the 4-5 favorite. She should be even more fit in next and will win going two turns at her next allowance level.

RUSH NOW - The Anthony Dutrow colt ran into a monster in Well Positioned (3 straight and 4 of 5) in his most recent but dug in gamely to drop a ½ length decision in a NW3X allowance/optional claimer at a mile and seventy yards last time out. It was the first race since December at PARX and the 4-year old gave every indication he belongs with this level group on this circuit as he outran all but the 2-5 winner, finishing 4 ¼ lengths in front of the show horse. His turn next.

SING DIXIE SING - After a bit of a tough trip to finish second two back, the daughter of Dixie Union put it all together in her last to destroy NYSB MSW foes. There was never an issue as the James Jerkins trainee broke out to set the pace, widened throughout the 6 furlong dash and won off by 10 ¼ lengths in solid race horse time. This one should have little trouble moving right through sate bred allowance conditions. Stay with her.

SRUMDIDDLYUMTIOUS - Any effort at all and this filly had to run better than the name she was given. That being said, the daughter of Roman Ruler made a nice return to the races in her most recent as she grabbed her MSW win. Entered off a June layoff following a try at Monmouth Park she sprinted right out to set the pace along the inside, turned back her lone challenger and drew clear for trainer Kelly Breen. Her time was equal to entry level allowance NYSB males later on the card so the effort bodes well for a repeat soon as she sprints vs winners.  

VERBOSITY - Last time out the 4-year old gelding was clearly the best when he came up a length short of beating NYSB peers in an entry level allowance sprint. The Michael Hushion trainee was bumped big time leaving the gate and was shuffled towards the back of the pack early on. He was quick to recover, moved up on the turn and after engaging and putting away a pair of front runners got tired late and fell a ½ length short of winning while well clear of the show horse. Just needs a clean trip to eclipse the same next time.

THE ROAD TO THE DERBY...THIS IS "MY TIME" TO WIN
I MEAN...JUST LOOK AT WHAT I'VE DONE THE LAST THREE WEEKENDS...
8 DERBY PREP WINNERS IN A ROW - AT LEAST ONE TICKET CASHED IN EACH RACE

Mar 3 - Gotham Stakes: Hansen - WIN - $3.60...My Adonis - 2nd Exacta $17.60
Mar 3 - John Battaglia Stakes:
Ill Conceived - 2nd Exacta $36.00 - State Of Play - WIN $6.00... Dynamical - 3rd Trifecta $137.40
Feb 26 - Fountain Of Youth Stakes: Union Rags - WIN - $4.40

Feb 25 - Risen Star Stakes: El Padrino [2nd choice] - WIN - $3.60
Feb 20 - Southwest Stakes - (Division I): Castaway [3rd choice] WIN - $15.40
Feb 20 - Southwest Stakes - (Division II): Secret Circle - WIN - $3.20
Feb 19 - San Vicente Stakes: Drill - WIN - $9.60
Feb 18 - El Camino Real Derby: Lucky Chappy - 2nd Exacta $38.80 - Daddy Nose Best - WIN - $10.20

Three More Prep Races Go This Saturday
YOU CAN COLLECT ON THE SWALE STAKES (Gulfstream), TAMPA BAY DERBY (Tampa Bay Downs) & SAN FELIPE STAKES (Santa Anita)

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GULFSTREAM

FRANK'S HOPE - Solid effort by the 4-year old Nick Canani trained MSW filly. Off a series of solid drills she broke a step slow but raced to set the pace from her inside post in the very quickly run 6 furlong test. She carried her speed past the sixteenth pole and gave way late to the winner while finishing well clear of the 9-10 favored show filly. Equally impressive was her 1:10 4/5 clocking. A repeat of the effort makes her a maiden breaker next time out. Any improvement and she romps.

GOLDEN RIDGE - The Mark Casse trained MSW colt was completely ignored in his debut last time out and came within ¾'s of a length of pulling the 25-1 upset. The 3-year old was held in hand along the inside during the early going of the mile and a sixteenth turf event, moved out 4 wide when asked on the far turn and came alongside the leaders before weakening a bit late and settling for the show spot. Casse isn't known for having them fully tuned at first asking so this guy has plenty of upside. Breaks his maiden soon under the same conditions.

KUJAA - The 3-year old claiming filly from the Dale Romans barn turned in a promising effort vs 15K NW2L rivals in most recent. Entered following her maiden breaker in her prior race she rated off the pace in the 6 furlong dash, made a move to the outside in the stretch and closed well to get nosed for the place. If she remains with the same she gets her second win soon.

POINTING NORTH - The veteran turf runner made his first start since last June as he faced 5 furlong turf rivals in an upper level allowance/optional 65K claimer in his most recent. The 8-year old gelding was reserved at the back of the field early on, picked up 5 lengths over the final two furlongs to get fourth and continued on well past the wire. The James Baker trainee definitely needed the race and it looked like a tune up for going a bit farther vs the same next time. Will win one of these with the expected improvement so stay with him.

ROARING CONQUEST - The veteran turf router ran into all sorts of trouble vs 30K claimers in his most recent. The Bob Reinacher trained 5-year old gelding failed to break alertly in the 9 furlong turf test and began to fins his best stride as he circled 5 wide into contention before being steadied and almost knocked down. He recovered enough to continue on for a non-threatening 4th of 11. An alert break and a clean trip wins one of these soon.

SAINT OF SAINTS - Dale Romans unveiled yet another promising youngster as he sent out this 3-year old MSW contender ready to run in a 7 furlong test March 3. The colt willingly chased the 1-2 winner right from the start while kept off the rail throughout. Though he couldn't catch the impressive winner he never backed off and was 4 ½ lengths clear of the experienced show horse as he got the distance in 1:23 1/5. No reason this guy doesn't wheel right back to break his maiden in next.

SPECIAL EXCHANGE - In a turf sprint last out the Tampa Bay shipper was away a few steps slowly but rushed up to press the pace of the wire-to-wire favored winner and chased that one to the finish line in the 30K claimer. Trainer Joan Scott has the 4-year old gelding in good form right now and the runner should be able to beat this kind soon if kept at one turn on the grass.

TANAZANA - The 4-year old claimer was nicely spotted by conditioner Bob Dibona in his last and came within a half length of catching the even money favorite. The gelding entered off a second place finish vs open company two back and this time made a strong stretch run from well back in the mile turf starter allowance. He made up 5 lengths during the final quarter in :23 4/5 so with a little better start and maybe a little more ground wins one of these soon.

THE RAHY ANGEL - The 4-year old Rahy filly made it two in a row as she followed up a MSW score in late January with a victorious NW2L 50K claiming win vs turf routers in her most recent. The David Fawkes trainee broke sharply, crossed to the rail and set the pace to hold a comfortable margin throughout the mile and a sixteenth test. The win under mild urging indicates she should have plenty left to repeat even vs entry level allowance runners. Follow closely.

THE WEST RIM - Trainer Bisnath Parboo gave the 5-year old race mare a break in class in her most recent and the front running effort came within ¾ of a length of grabbing top honors. She vied for the lead early on while along the rail, continued strongly on the front end around the turn and through the lane before yielding very late in the 40K mile and a sixteenth turf affair. Will win soon if kept running vs the same.

MANY OF THESE "WATCH LIST" HORSES SHOW UP REGULARLY
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RECENT RUNNERS FROM HORSES TO WATCH...

The Horses To Watch Feature began three weeks ago so it is about time for us to begin seeing those on the list begin to run back.

AQUEDUCT

CAT IN THE FOREST - Tracked and outran starter allowance optional claimers first try after making the list a week back. PAID $5.00
CROWN THE CHIEF - Regressed with little excuse in 25K starter handicap. REMOVE from list.
MARK IT MAN - Despite moving up from 14K claimers to a NYSB allowance the colt ran a strong second and PAID $5.20 to place. Stay with him as he definitely wins soon.
MISS WOODS - Raced above recommended level and lost all chance when away slowly. Deserves another chance if run against correct level foes.
MORGAN'S GUERILLA - Easily broke maiden vs special weights. PAID $4.90
PISTOLS AT DAWN - Got caught very wide when he couldn't clear the field from the extreme outside post. Definitely deserves another chance.

GULFSTREAM PARK

FILM SHOT - set the pace from the extreme outside 11 post in an 8 ½ furlong entry level turf allowance and gave way in the final furlong. It was a good effort which confirms her good form. Deserves a second chance with a more reasonable post position.
HEAVENLY BREATH - Left little doubt was as good as advertised as he followed up a previous win by repeating with a blowout of entry-level allowance foes. PAID $3.80

NOTE: You should print this list and keep for your records...plus return to these pages next Wednesday for an updated list.

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