Underdog Ohio State Looks For Revenge, Respect In Ice Cold East Lansing Saturday Night
Florida State Goes For 25th Straight Win Against Virginia Team That Is Looking At 10th Straight Road Loss
TCU Solid 6-Point Favorite Over Kansas State In Classic Offense Vs. Defense Battle
By Kelso Sturgeon
The march to the first-ever NCAA football championship playoffs might clear up a bit this weekend but in the process make handicapping all games involving teams with a chance to be one of the final four a major league challenge. It’s Ohio State (7-1) at Michigan State (7-1), with the latter a 3.5-point favorite, and only a fool would suggest it is easy to lay or take the number - and that is just the beginning of what is a true showdown Saturday.
What does one do with Kansas State (7-1) at TCU (7-1), or Baylor (7-1 at Oklahoma (6-2), or Alabama (7-1) at LSU (7-2), or Ohio State (7-1) at Michigan State (7-1)or Oregon (8-1) at Utah (6-2) or Notre Dame (7-1) at Arizona State (7-1)? The loser of the K-State-TCU game is going to be out of the picture as will the loser of the Notre Dame-ASU game and the loser of Ohio State-Michigan State contest A loss by Baylor, Alabama or Oregon will send these outstanding teams to the showers.
For certain there are no gifts in any of these games.
In looking at the three marquee games involving playoff hopefuls, here are some facts that might help you pick a winner while explaining why all are difficult calls.
Kansas State at TCU - Kansas State leads the Big 12 in total defense and defense against the score, giving up just 321.1 yards and 18.6 points per game. In their last two games, the Wildcats have given up just 14 points, beating Texas 23-0 and Oklahoma State, 48-14. Kansas State has lost only to nationally 3rd-ranked Auburn, 20-14. TCU leads the Big 12 in offense, rolling up 361.9 yards per game and is ranked 2nd nationally in scoring, putting an average of 48.0 points on the board and 3rd in total offense, averaging 550 yards per game. TCU’s only loss was a 61-59 downer at nationally-ranked Baylor - a game in which the Horned Frogs blew a big league in the 4th quarter. TCU is a 6-point favorite.
Ohio State at Michigan State - There is no question this is the biggest game in the Big Ten this season and it is no stretch to say either side could win it. Complicating the handicapping process will be the weather with game-time temperatures in the 20s. Things will be even touchier if afternoon rains and gusty winds do not make an expected exit. For Michigan State the win is a giant step towards the final four while for Ohio State it will help make the championship selection committee forget that 35-21 loss to Virginia Tech in the second game of the season and put the Buckeyes right back into the title picture. Michigan State’s only loss this season was at nationally-ranked Oregon in its second game of the season, 46-27. As noted Michigan State is a 3.5-point favorite.
Alabama at LSU - This matchup is one of the most heated in the South and neither team is in the habit of taking any prisoners. A win by Alabama could vault the Crimson Tide into the final four but things are never easy in Baton Rouge. While Alabama is a 6-point favorite in this spot, it must be noted that while the Crimson Tide won 38-17 in Tuscaloosa, the three previous games were decided by an average of 3.3 points and LSU won two of them straight up as an underdog. LSU’s two losses this season came at home against #1-ranked Mississippi State, 34-29, and at 3rd-ranked Auburn, 41-7. Alabama suffered its only loss at then #1-ranked Mississippi, 20-17.
In a couple of other handicapping notes, 2nd-ranked Florida State, a 20-point favorite over Virginia, will attempt Saturday to be the 5th team in college football history to win 25 straight games...Baylor, a 5-point underdog at Oklahoma, has never won a football game in Norman, standing 0-11 there. It is of note Oklahoma is 27-1 at home in November under Coach Bob Stoops. . .Auburn, a 23.5-point favorite over Texas A&M, will be going for its 15th straight win at home.m Nobody ever said it would be easy.
The Saturday Betting Menu
100-Unit Big 12 Game Of Year
This is a day of consequences in the Big 12 Conference and it has presented an outstanding opportunity to win a big bet. Some teams are playing for the conference championship and a possible chance to play for the national title, others are trying to become bowl eligible and some are just trying to get a rare win and regain a little of respect a bad season has caused them. First, the Big 12 Schedule.
Iowa State (2-6) at Kansas (2-6)
West Virginia (6-3) at Texas (4-5)
Baylor (7-1) at Oklahoma (6-2)
Kansas State (7-1) at TCU (7-1)
The betting lines on each of these four games are tighter than a dead heat but I have found that one of these teams has four hidden edges that might result in an unexpected blowout and I am releasing it as the winner of my 100-Unit Big 12 Game of the Year. I will get the cash and you can join me for just $75.
Giant Big Ten Battle Tops 3-0 Saturday - Buckeyes at Spartans
The Saturday college football schedule is loaded from top to bottom with marquee TV games and included in that group is the showdown in East Lansing between Ohio State (7-1) and Michigan State (7-1) that Saturday night contest will be the 15-unit highlight of a 3-0 Saturday. The betting line on this one is rock-hard and a major challenge but I do believe I have found one thing that will get it done for one of these teams. Get the 15-unit play on this game, plus an additional two 10-unit plays, for just $25, charged to your major credit card. For the record, I went 2-1 in the colleges last Saturday, winning a 15-unit play on Kansas State (-12.5), a 48-14 victor over Texas Tech, and winning a 10-unit play on Wisconsin (-12.5) that crushed Rutgers 37-0, while losing a 10-unit play on TCU which won but did not cover at West Virginia.
It’s Right Back With Another 50-Unit Blowout Game Of Week
Last Saturday, I said my 50-unit Game of the Week play on Baylor (-34.5) over Kansas would be a blowout and BLOWOUT it was as the Bears crushed the Jayhawks, 60-14. Today is the encore. I am releasing as the winner of this week’s 50-unit College Football Game of the Week a team that has almost as great an edge as Baylor had over Kansas and I am looking for another blowout win. Get all the cash with me today on this 50-unit release for just $50.
Today’s Hot Plays
Jim Hurley Saratoga Service
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Network Monday Hit and Run Double Play
6-2 Over the Weekend! 3-1 Saturday and 3-1 Sunday! Our Hit & Run Baseball Club wouldn’t be enjoying another successful season without our stat gurus, who are notorious for running the numbers and digging deep into the hidden sabermetrics to find favorable situations to get the money like we did over the weekend. We’ve found two more standout plays Monday that fit the winning mold.
Network Monday MLB Blue Ribbon Shocker - Now 11-6
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Network Saratoga Monday Jackpot
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Network MNF IS Back - Giants at Browns
I’ve looked at this game from every angle and am sure we’ll be on the winning side, just like I’ve been on Monday nights over 65% of the time the past 5 years. Watch and Win with me tonight.