NCAA Begins Tonight

NCAA Begins Tonight With Ohio State Solid 7-2 Favorite
To Win It All--But At What Price To Bettors?
Tonight’s Play-In Games From Dayton
NC-Asheville vs. Arkansas Little Rock…UAB vs. Clemson
On National TV

50-Unit Knockout Play Kicks Off 32-Team NIT
Tonight And It Looks Like 15-20-Point Winner
Get On Board For My Entire NCAA, NIT Package For Just $199

Big East Deserves 11 Teams In Big Dance But It’s Joke
Highly Over-Rated Big Ten Has Seven
In Keeping With Their Annual Tradition
Most Will Go Down In First Round


By Kelso Sturgeon

The NCAA basketball tournament begins tonight with Ohio State the 7-2 favorite to win the championship, with Duke the second choice at 9-2 and Kansas in the third spot at 5-1. The tournament begins tonight with the first two of four play-in games and I will be releasing plays on both contests but my heavy action will be in the NIT tonight as I kick off that tournament with a 50-unit play.

This is the first year the NCAA has expanded to 68 teams--up from 64--and that means eight teams will be involved in play-in games, with the four winners becoming the last teams to fill out the 64-team bracket. Thirty two teams are competing in the NIT, where there is no clear-cut favorite.

Tonight’s NCAA games will be played at Dayton Arena in Dayton, OH, and will match UNC-Asheville (19-13) of the Big South Conference and Arkansas-Little Rock (19-16) from the Sun Belt in the first game while UAB (22-8) from Conference USA will take on Clemson (21-11) from the ACC will meet in the second game.

Both games will be televised nationally on truTV, a Turner Broadcasting cable network that was formerly the Court TV channel. The first game tips at 6:35 p.m. (Eastern). UNC-Asheville is a 3 ½-point favorite in the first game while Clemson is the -4 ½ choice in the second game.

There are nine NIT games scheduled tonight--six of them on nationally television--and, as noted above, I will be releasing one of them as a 50-unit play, along with two additional NIT best bets. The 50-unit play a hidden mismatch that is being offered to the public with a betting line that is as soft as it gets.

The two NCAA games and the three NIT plays, including the 50-unit play, are all part of my March Madness Package that runs through the NCAA championship game from Houston April 4 and that package--loaded with 50, 100 and 200-unit plays--is available on this site and toll free at 1-800-755-2255 for just $199, with all major credit cards accepted.
If it is more convenient, you may purchase the NCAA play-in games for just $15, while the NIT package for tonight, including the 50-unit play, may be purchased for $50. Again, all major credit cards accepted.

Bookmakers Are Going To Make You Pay

The one thing on which you can count as we head into the serious days of March Madness is betting lines that will make bettors pay a price for betting on popular teams such as Ohio State. Bookmakers are not dumb. They know the public has its favorites-and they tilt the lines to tempt the sharps and wiseguys to come in on the underdogs in order to balance their books.

It is a fact of life this happens. If you bet on Ohio State Duke, Kansas, Kentucky et al, you will lay a point or two more than you should. This is not to suggest the popular betting teams will not cover but merely to point out you do take the worst of it when you bet on them

I have worked overtime for the past 36 hours to get ready for the opening of the NCAA and NIT and here are a few of the things I uncovered that might help you to win a bet.

--Good coaches have their teams ready to play their best every day and good coaches win 90% of the close games.

--Depth is vital. It is physical drain on the winning team in most games and the further a team advances in the tournament the tougher it is to keep going. A deep bench will cover a lot of sins against teams that play just six-seven players a game.

--Experience is a powerful tool for tournament bettors, often enabling a less-talented team with veteran players to get it done. For instance lesser-known teams such as Northern Colorado, Utah State and Wofford have the ability to stay in tough games because of their experience. Each starts four seniors and a junior.

--The most under-rated teams in the tournament are George Mason, Old Dominion, Belmont and Utah State.

--Just remember the harder a team has to play to win a game, the less gas it will have in its tank for the next one.

--The Big East deserves to have 11 teams in the tournament(although a strong case could be made to send Villanova to the NIT) but it has become an annual joke that half the Big Ten gets invited to the big dance and then most teams get buried in the first round. It all has to do with the fact the chairman of the selection committee is from the Big Ten--and it happens every year.



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