200-Unit College Basketball Game Of Year Wins Today
200-Unit College Basketball Game Of Year Wins Today
Kicks Off 9-Day Big-Game St. Valentine's Package
Texas May Be Final Four Team But Gets No Respect Longhorns An Amazing 15-4 ATS Despite Being 21-3 SU
50-Unit NBA Game Of Week Wins As Indiana Pacers (-8) Knock off Timberwolves 116-105
50-Unit NBA Parlay Sunday Set To Break Bank
By Kelso Sturgeon
There are some things in sports that simply defy explanation. For instance I will never forget the day my college football coach told me teach another player the dynamics of being a long-snapper. What? How do you do that? Isn't this one of those things that either you've got it, or you don't?
I told this player that being a long-snapper required just two things-getting the ball to the punter or the holder in a timely and perfect manner and blocking the guy in front of you. Is that all there is to it, he asked, and I told them there were certain techniques that had to be mastered but that the two elements were basic.
"If there was a third step, what would it be, he asked?
"Well", I said, when the play is over and you extract your head from your rectum (I actually used a more generic term), clear the cobwebs, try to figure out where you are and try then try not to embarrass yourself by going to the wrong sideline."
He tried but he never made it at a position that requires both skill and an instinctive mindset that makes it happen. It is hard to explain, as is the daily world of basketball. Things just happen and only a fool would try to make sense of it. That is not to suggest that handicapping basketball is a crap-shoot. Far from it.
It all goes back to my two universal rules of handicapping:
- You can do everything right and still be wrong.
- There is an exception to every rule.
The first thing I find it impossible to explain is the status of the Texas Longhorns. There is no question Texas is an outstanding basketball team-one that could easily make it to the Final Four-yet the 21-3 Longhorns are one of the most under-valued teams in the country-a fact driven home by the fact they are 15-4 against the number.
How a popular prime-time team that has won 88% of its games straight up and covered 79% of the time can exist in this information-driven world has no explanation. As a point of comparison, three other teams with the popularity of Texas offer bettors no edges.
- Undefeated Ohio State (24-0) is just 11-10 against the number.
- Kansas (23-1) is 12-10 against the spread while Pittsburgh (22-2) stands 10-9.
Don't fight it. Just accept it and ride the trend until it ends. There is no explanation.
18 College Teams That Win For Bettors
Here is the complete list of colleges and universities with basketball teams covering the spread at least 66.7% of the time. They are listed by their coverage percentage and their records are complete through last Monday.
|George Mason||Fairfax, VA||19-5||17-5-0||77.3%|
|San Francisco||San Francisco||12-11||13-5-1||72.2%|
|North Arizona||Flagstaff, AZ||14-8||11-5-0||68.8%|
|Sacramento State||Sacramento, CA||6-16||11-5-0||68.8%|
|Columbia||New York City||12-8||6-3-0||66.7%|
|St. Peters||Jersey City, NJ||14-10||12-6-0||66.7%|
|Texas-El Paso||El Paso, TX||18-5||12-6-1||66.7%|
Biggest Basketball Game Of Year Wins Today
I am kicking off my nine-day big-game St. Valentine's Package today with my biggest single play of the college basketball season-my 200-unit College Basketball Game of the Year. It goes without saying I am looking for a giant winner in this spot and am confident I will get it.
There are exactly 101 college basketball games on the schedule and included in that number is this one single game for which I have waited all season-a game in which one team has every single edge and grades out with better than a 90% chance to cover the number.
The team I am releasing is (1) ready to play its best game of the season, (2) is playing in just the right situation to get an easy win, (3) is being offered with the softest betting line I have seen in months and (4) is meeting a team that is simply out of gas and that is not as good as it records.
You can win this game-plus get three nationally televised marquee college games-for just $50, charged to your major credit card. The three TV games are contests in which I have found definite winning edges. They are Kentucky (17-6) at Vanderbilt (17-6) on CBS, Ohio State (24-0) at Wisconsin (18-5) on ESPN2) and San Diego State (24-1) at UNLV (18-6)-and I intend to win them all.
As noted, this game is just the first play in my St. Valentine's Package that runs for nine straight days. You can purchase the game for just $50 or get the entire package for just $175, charged to your major credit card. You can get this game, or the entire package, on this website, or toll free at 1-800-755-2255.
Pacers Win As 50-Unit NBA Game Of Week Play
I have released two 50-unit plays this week-one in the colleges and last night's NBA Game of the Week-and won them both. Here is how I released my 50-unit NBA Game of the Week, with the comments that accompanied it.
Personal Best Club - NBA Game of the Week
INDIANA PACERS (22-28) -8 over Minnesota Timberwolves (13-39)
Prediction: Indiana by 15-16
Final Score: Indiana Pacers 116, Minnesota Timberwolves 105
Comments: When Indiana Pacers president Larry Bird fired coach Jim O'Brien six games ago, he must have known what he was doing. O'Brien lost his job after the Pacers went 1-7 over an eight-game stretch and was replaced by his assistant, Frank Vogel. Since Vogel took over, Indiana is 5-1, playing an elevated brand of basketball and seems determined to make amends for its inconsistent past. Indiana is catching Minnesota riding a rare 2-day winning streak but it is of note the last time these teams played in Conseco Fieldhouse, it was a Pacer blowout. Indiana was up 73-45 at the half and coasted home 122-111. The Timberwolves, who are just 4-23 on the road and were really put behind the eight ball tonight when it was announced starting forward Michael Beasley, who averages 19.9 points and 5.6 rebounds per game, would miss the game with an ankle injury. With the Pacers playing outstanding basketball, and with Minnesota minus Beasley, there is every reason to look for a rather easy Pacer win in this one.
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