Horses to Watch Week Ending 3-2
HORSES TO WATCH
Week Ending Sunday, March 2
The horses listed below ran well enough in their most recent races to indicate that they are sitting on solid future performances. Bet them under the terms listed at least twice or until they win and then drop.
NOTE: Horses To Watch has now expanded and made one slight change as we will cover the winter’s meets on the Inner Dirt Track at Aqueduct, as well as Gulfstream Park, Tampa Bay and Oaklawn Park.
NOTE: Remember that Aqueduct is now running 4 days a week…Friday Through Monday through March.
(Last Week’s Horses To Watch Runners)
RED MINX— WON $6.60— As suggested…parlayed an impressive debut win two back into a virtual wire-to-wire win at the first allowance level.
RUTHLESS ALLEY— WON $7.40— After showing her good speed and promise in her prior the daughter of Flower Alley used the quickness to establish the lead from the gate in the entry level allowance/optional claimer and went on to wire the field.
DAWLY— WON $3.70— Trainer Rudy Rodriguez waited another 5 weeks to find a great starter allowance spot for this win machine at the level and got the money with a dominant sweeping move victory.
SANCTIFY— 3RD— SHOW $2.40— Raced just off the pace in 6 furlong NYSB MSW test and made up a bit of ground late in quickly run race before settling for the minor honor late. Deserves a second chance vs the same.
HENRY’S GIRL— 3RD— SHOW $2.60— Was bumped at the gate and shuffled to the back of the field in NYSB allowance optional 75K claiming sprint. She had broken her maiden and then followed with a win vs these in her prior two and fell a half length short after rushing up after the bad break and weakening late. She appears to be a good one and new trainer Rudy Rodriguez must think so too as he grabbed her for the steep 75K tab. Will keep winning so bet her back.
TARPEY’S GOAL— WON $6.20— We liked the switch from turf to dirt two back that resulted in a decisive victory and suggested that the claiming horse would handle a rise in class if kept on dirt. He was bumped up from 20K to 35K and repeated.
JOLENA JO— Out— The 5-year old race mare got back on turf for her second try on the list and was flat from start to finish. Drop.
CUMMINGS ROAD— 2ND— PLACE $4.80— After winning first off a November layoff two back the son of Speightstown returned vs 50K starter allowance rivals and dropped a tough nose decision at a mile and an eighth on turf while 2 lengths clear of the 3-5 favorite. In good form and will win another so give him his second chance.
ETERNAL RULER— WON $3.20— Just missed beating 30K turf claimers first time on the list but after being haltered by Mike Maker out of that test returned to blitz the same level rivals this time.
GOODBOYCHARLIE— WON $6.00 — His blistering 50K maiden win two back gave every indication his speed would carry him past like level winners. Entered back in a 50K starter allowance he did just that.
SUNS OUT GUNS OUT— WON $4.20— Had shown more than enough to indicate he just needed the clean trip to handle top level allowance foes.
WHOOPI I KI O— WON $4.20— After falling just short shipping in from Remington two back the bottom level claiming gelding was wheeled back in just 7 days and easily dispatched the field.
DANCEWHILEITSTORM— WIN $8.00— The original Indiana Downs shipper won easily sprinting away from 6.25K claimers two back and as suggested handled the bump up to 8K platers and once again drew clear.
THAT’S ALLIE’S BABY – (NO PLAY)— Her connections decided to attempt to parlay a good main track sprint effort into a two-turn turf adventure and the gelding showed early speed before dropping out. Only use vs 25K level claimers at one turn on dirt.
PLIME BLANK - Out— Her made it to the list after getting a slow start two back after running competitively in a number of races prior to that. But in his most recent he was once again away slowly with no excuse, took a bit of time to find stride and spit the bit in the lane. Drop now.
SUPER CHUNKY— (NO PLAY)— After a good second traveling two turns on grass vs entry level allowance/optional claimer which got him on the list the connections bumped him up to a two turn graded stakes and in the last shortened him to 5 furlongs for a stakes sprint on the lawn. By now whatever form he had that might have resulted in a win vs the right company has gone sour. Drop.
EYE CAN ROAR— WON $6.00— After a pair of sharp pace setting/pressing efforts that got the place going 7 furlongs vs 8K claimers the veteran race mare shortened up a half furlong and drew clear to surpass the NW3L level.
ANALOGY— WON $11.00— After clipping heels three back and then having to check before angling to the inside and closing late for the place in a race that put the 16K claiming turf miler on the list she got the clean break vs the same level platers and wired her rivals at the same mile distance.
KIWI NOTION— 3RD— SHOW $3.20— The 4-year old MSW gelding was caught down on the rail in the 6 ½ furlong test and did manage a mild rally for third, beaten just a total of 2 lengths. Deserves the second chance to come through.
The Road to the Derby Marches On!
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HORSES TO WATCH
COBALTO— In his first effort since last May the NYSB 4-year old flashed speed out of the gate and took them to deep stretch before weakening inside the sixteenth pole in the restricted entry level allowance sprint. The Jeremiah Englehart trainee needed the race and should be much tighter vs the same next time.
JOHN’S ISLAND— The NYSB MSW gelding showed decent enough effort in his debut two back with an interested 4th and built on that in his most recent when he tracked towards the back early in the 6 furlong dash, moved out on cue and began his rally at the 5/16ths pole while 3 wide. He continued to eat into the winner’s margin and cleared the show horse in the final strides. Breaks his maiden soon.
LOVE CONTRACT— The Robert Donato trained mare was no match for the 4-5 winner last time out but showed good speed and determination in the second allowance level sprint. The daughter of Consolidator has hit the board in all 4 IDT tries after racing to the lead, battling inside two rivals, dropping back along the inside and re-rallying for the place. Eclipses this level soon.
MAXANA— The Carlos Martin trained claiming filly got caught towards the rear in a pace less 16K mile claimer over a deep IDT surface in most recent and did well to rally while 6 wide as she got the show money. She was only beaten 1 ¾ lengths for it all and is moving in the right direction. Beats this kind if kept at two turns.
PRINCE RAJA— The 3-year old ridgeling pressed the pace set by the 3-2 winning favorite all the way in their 16K claiming sprint and just after tiring in the final steps lost the place spot by a ½ length as the first three finished within less than a length of each other. It was another 6 lengths back to the next finisher and the son of Songandaprayer was haltered by new conditioner Charlton Baker. Will win at this level soon.
SHIPWRECKED— The NYSB gelding showed pronounced improvement in his third career start in most recent when he was fitted with blinkers and stretched out to a mile. He went right to the front and held the lead to the wire but was disqualified from first to second for drifting into the path of the runner-up. He has proven he can beat MSW State Breds and just needs to repeat cleanly to graduate.
STAR MAGNOLIA— Trainer Michelle Nevin is having a fantastic meet and showed her talent when she claimed this maiden filly for 16K two races back and collected instant dividends when the daughter of Flower Alley blitzed the same level rivals to sprint to a 12 length victory in her most recent. The filly is in good hands and will win again soon vs even better.
BRIDLED HEIRESS— It appears as though trainer Teresa Pompey has a nice filly in the barn after this daughter of Wildcat Heir completely dominated her MSW rivals when she won off by 5 ¼ lengths in 1:09 3/5. The filly had just missed in her only other start when she set the pace while under pressure but couldn’t get off the rail and still held the place. There is a lot of speed and talent here and she’ll win right back vs allowance foes.
DISSENSION— It appears as though trainer Bob Hess made a good choice when he haltered this time condition 25K turf claimer out of her most recent race. The daughter of With Distinction clearly prefers grass where she has compiled a 7-2-3-2 career mark after tracking the 7-5 winner throughout the mile event and continuing on for the place, well clear of the show finisher. She should pay instant dividends vs time conditioned or open claimers at the level or slightly higher. Stay with her.
EZZTHETIC— The mark Casse trained turf colt fell a neck short last out in what was his first try since July at Woodbine. The 4-year old son of Mizzen Mast was away a step slow then rushed to set the pace in the 7 ½ furlong test and held well until weakening late and dropping a neck decision while holding off the favored show horse. Should be able to beat 25K NW2L claimers soon.
HARD NOT TO LIKE— After 10 straight tries vs graded stakes company the 5-year old mare was turned out last October 6 and made her first start since in her most recent. Trainer Michael Matz brought the turf and synthetic specialist back vs third level allowance rivals and she easily handled the field as a popular 7-10 winner. She appears ready for a retry vs stakes company so follow carefully both here and when Keeneland opens in early April.
INCA SAINT— Despite making his debut in last at the tough distance of one mile and breaking from the rail in the 50K maiden claimer the Chad Brown trained 3-year old turned in a solid effort as he stalked the early pace about 5 lengths back, stayed in position until the stretch and then angled out and closed feverishly to miss by a neck of catching the favored winner while clear of the show horse. He was regarded enough to be haltered by trainer Linda Rice and won’t be a maiden long.
MOON SONG— The 3-year old MSW colt shipped in from FG and stretched out a bit to 6 ½ furlongs in career start number two in most recent. He pressed a quick half mile, put away the pace setter and then dug in to hold the place late while 4 ¾ lengths clear of the show horse. Breaks his maiden soon for sharp conditioner Graham Motion who saddled the colt for the first time in the race.
MYOSITIS DAN— The entry level allowance colt wasn’t in the least intimidated by the 2-5 winning favorite in two turn test last time and dogged that one to the end for a good place finish at a big price. The Tom Proctor trained colt chased the pace, split rivals to gain a short lead at the quarter pole and continued strongly to the wire 6 lengths clear of the show horse. It was just the second off the layoff and first around two turns since last fall. Eclipses the entry level in next.
PREVIOUS— The Bill Mott trained daughter of Empire Maker made one career start last May and following an even effort in a mile MSW test at Belmont didn’t make it back until her most recent. She looks as though she’ll make up for lost time however, as she broke just off the early pace setter in the 7 furlong MSW event, took the lead when asked and drew clear by 4 lengths. Will move through conditions quickly so bet her back.
RAPACIOUS— The lightly raced 5-year old claiming horse appeared to prefer the drop in class and in his second off the layoff rallied smartly to cut into the huge lead of the runaway wire-to-wire winner as he got the place in a 7 ½ furlong 16K NW2L turf claimer. The son of Street Sense was haltered out of the race by low percentage trainer Jena Antonucci but that should help with the price as this guy appears to now be at the right level.
STREET GEM— In the same third level; allowance race that put HARD NOT TO LIKE on the list (see above) this Kathleen O’Connel l Street Boss filly made her first start since last July at Monmouth. The 4-year old broke sharply and set the pace into mid-stretch in the mile and a sixteenth test and gave way in the final and settled for fourth. She of course needed the race and should be much better prepared to try and conquer this level next time.
TREASURY DEVIL— The lightly raced 6-year old turf gelding ran a decent 3rd in his last, the first start since mid-April of last year and should get career win number 4 soon. The son of Bernardini made just his 12th lifetime start in his last and remained in striking position throughout the 1 7/16ths mile marathon before tiring a bit and settling for the show. He ran well vs slightly better last winter and spring arriving from Europe and with the most recent under his belt should be able to beat second level allowance/top optional claimers soon at a route of ground. Follow closely.
DIXIE BANNER— The veteran claimer collected his 6th career win as he hit the board for the 25th time from 46 lifetime starts. The 8-year old wasted little time grabbing the lead out of the gate in the 6 furlong test and held a comfortable margin to the wire. He has consistently shown tactical speed at the 7.7L level was claimed by prolific off-the-halter conditioner Chris Richard and should win right back for the new connections.
MISS REDITORE— The veteran claiming mare almost made it 3-for-3 at Oaklawn when she tracked from just off the pace and missed by a neck in a starter/optional 16K claimer at a mile in most recent. Despite being in tight at the break and in traffic on the far turn she still managed to clear the show runner in a solid effort. Likes the track and will win another of these protected starters soon.
MOUNT EAGLE— The uncoupled Robertson McLean trainee was not only beaten a neck as the second choice in a 50K maiden claimer in his most recent but was beaten by his off-the-layoff Meadowlands shipper longshot stable mate. The 3-year old filly was pinched back at the start and retreated to the rear in the 6 furlong test and made a strong effort to pass all but the winner. Gets career win number one soon.
ROYAL DEHERE— The 7.5K claimer entered the NW3L sprint in his last after getting career win number two in his prior and being claimed by 36% winning conditioner Chris Richard. The gelding lost all chance when soundly bumped at the break, shuffled in and among rivals down the back stretch and forced 5 wide in the 5 ½ furlong dash. He eased up for the show late and just needs a clean trip to win for next-new-trainer David White who took his turn haltering the son of Dehere.
SENATOR DAVE— The lower level starter allowance gelding made it 3 wins and 2 seconds when he ran into a bit of traffic and settled for the place in a 7.5K level mile and a sixteenth test in his most recent. The David Vance trainee pressed the pace early from the inside, dropped back to get out in the track and was coming on too late at the finish. He’ll get back in the winner’s circle soon if kept vs the same.
SIX SPOT— The Steve Asmussen trained gelding was all business in career start number two last time as he stretched out from a 6 furlong place in his debut to one mile in the MSW affair and after pressing the pace for the first three quarters drew clear in the lane. The son of Cowboy Cal should continue to improve and move quickly through early conditions so bet him right back.
TARPY’S WISH— The Chris Hartman trained race mare was jostled a bit at the start and then carried well out into the race track when trying to rally off the far turn in a 7.5K 5 ½ furlong dash in most recent. She had to settle for the place spot and should get her second career win soon for new conditioner Lynn Chleborad, who claimed the mare out of the race.
ANGEL SOCKS— After a strong second two back when the daughter of Eurosilver just missed getting career win number two she turned in an even better performance in her last and ran away from her 8K claiming rivals by 6 ¾ lengths in a very good 1:11 4/5 for the level. She should get career win number three just as quickly if kept sprinting. Bet her back.
CHINA HOLIDAY— The mid range turf claimer was much the best when he dropped a ¾ length decision in 25K mile test in last. The Carlos Garcia trainee was bumped soundly and pinched back at the start, moved up along the inside on the turn while awaiting room and fell just short once clear while 4 ½ lengths clear of the show horse.
DASH OF DAZZLE— After making the pace to deep stretch in his career debut in a bottom level 8K maiden claimer trainer Aldana Gonzalez jumped him up to face 25K maiden rivals and the colt set the pace and carried the field inside the sixteenth pole in the 6 furlong event before giving way but holding the place spot 3 ¼ lengths clear of the show finisher. If kept at this level or dropped a notch he gets his first career win next time.
DOIMAKEYAHAPPY— After a subpar performance on dirt two back the consistent Spanish Steps gelding returned to the grass where his sharp tactical speed had garnered him three straight on the board finishes. In the most recent he faced entry level allowance foes at one mile, made the pace into the stretch, regained the lead after being briefly headed and then gave way late to the 2-1 favored winner while digging in to secure the place. Topples this level soon if kept on the lawn.
MISS WOODBURN— The 3-year old First defense filly showed dominant speed out of the gate in her first start since last August at Thistledown and carried it to a widening 4 length victory in a 25K 6 ½ furlong sprint. The Timothy Hamm filly only figures to move forward off the effort so stay with her.
PINK NIGHTIE— The 4-year old Giant’s Causeway filly showed vast improvement in her second career start in last. The Eddie Kenneally trainee was caught down on the rail in the mile MSW turf test, advanced when clear on the turn and missed by less than a length while 3 ¼ lengths clear of the show filly. Won’t be a maiden much longer.
RUN FAT BOY RUN— The 7-year old claiming gelding is in good form right now and comes off a speed clearing win over 8K sprint rivals after turning 6 furlongs in 1:10 3/5. The Gerald Bennett trained son of Malibu Moon has found his comfort zone and there is no reason to expect him to reverse that form in the near future. Stay with him at the level or vs slightly better,
TULIRA CASTLE— In a specially written allowance/optional 100K claimer that featured a number of previous stakes runners this 4-year old War Pass colt rediscovered the 3-year old form that saw him begin his career precociously as a juvenile and run a representative 4th in last year’s Holy Bull Stakes. After a March to December break and a pair of subpar performances at GP in December he was given another short break trainer James DeVito returned him in blinkers to blow out the good field. He could be ready to take his place in minor stakes races so follow closely.
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