Horses to Watch, Week Ending 1-12
HORSES TO WATCH
Week Ending Sunday, January 12
The horses listed below ran well enough in their most recent races to indicate that they are sitting on solid future performances. Bet them under the terms listed at least twice or until they win and then drop.
NOTE: Horses To Watch has now expanded and will cover the winter’s meets on the Inner Dirt Track at Aqueduct, the All-Weather surface at Turfway Park as well as Gulfstream Park and Tampa Bay. BEGINNING NEXT WEEK HORSES TO WATCH will be replacing Turfway Park, which continues to run too many lower level races with the recently opened Oaklawn Park Meet.
(Last Week’s Horses To Watch Runners)
MUCH STRONGER – WON $4.40 – As predicted the 4-year old colt continued to dominate protected upper-level claiming starter allowance foes.
SAY MR. SANDMAN – 2ND – PLACE $5.30 – Continues to show good rallying form. Chased the pace and held off all but the winning favorite. Deserves second chance.
TOURIST – OUT – Was no match for Baratti, who makes this week’s HTW list and didn’t have much left in the stretch after battling that one down the backstretch. Would give one more chance vs MSW rivals, but only at one turn.
MUASADDER – 3RD - $11.00 SHOW – Was completely ignored on bump up from dominant $16K claiming win to 30K claimers but made a sharp move to get alongside the pacesetter in deep stretch before finishing less than a length back. Can handle two turns and would be helped by slight drop. Give him his second try.
MEUSER – OUT – Off a sharp victory vs 75K maiden claimers in his prior the Eddie Plesa trainee lost all chance at the break and then put in a mild rally. Deserves another chance vs entry level allowance foes and could be a price off the troubled trip.
ANA PAVLOVA – 3RD - Battled for the lead while 3 wide vs entry level allowance/optional 20K claimers and weakened late. Bet her a second time vs he same.
MISS DYNA LEE – OUT – Got caught in a bit of traffic after a slow start in a 5 furlong turf allowance before rallying late between horses. Deserves another chance and probably would be served with added distance.
DEFOE STREET – WON $2.80 – Was much the best in race scratched down to 6 overmatched runners.
MECKE MANTLE – WON $5.60 – After indicting his best was coming with a strong second vs grassy 25K maiden claimers second time in the Peter Wasiluk, Jr. barn the gelding ran right back against the same and came through.
(Horses To Watch)
BARATTI – The breeding suggested two turns was the game for this MSW son of Medaglia D’Oro and that was exactly the fact as in his second career start last time he easily set all the pace and reeled off even fractions and gradually drew away to a 6 ¾ length victory in solid time in the mile and a sixteenth event. Gets career win number two quickly. Bet him right back vs open foes.
CONGA BELLA – Shipped in from Parx and was no match for decisive winner Pegasus in 20K claiming starter allowance but the winner freaked with a 1:09 3/5 run, which is very fast for the level so this one’s resolute second place finish (4 clear of the show horses) bears watching vs the same in next.
OTRE’ ORO – After finishing a promising third in a 6 furlong 20K maiden sprint in his debut two back this Ready’s Image colt was confidently bounced up to 50K rivals, extended to a mile and blew out his rivals by 7 ¾ lengths. Trainer Linda Rice must have seen something she liked because she grabbed the colt for the selling price. Looks like a good one.
RESOLUTE BABE – The 4-year old filly made just her third career start an easy winning one as she struck the front right out of the gate and wired 50K maiden claimers in her first start since late September. The time was fast and she should find the winner’s circle again soon against open company.
RIVERESSED – The MSW filly hit the board for the third straight time in as many career starts when she recovered sharply after stumbling at the break and after tracking in fourth made a run from the outside that got her the place in the final jump in the 6 furlong test. Gets her first win in next.
SOKITUMI SAMURAI – Following three straight bad breaks at the gate that compromised his chances new trainer John Toscano (claimed him two back for 35K) removed the blinkers in most recent and the gelding battled the pace setter, put that one away and dropped a neck decision in another 35K climing sprint. Wins one of these next time.
SONNYANDPALLY – Not sure why the previously confirmed two turn turf horse was suddenly sent sprinting in last two but the City Zip gelding ran an even third in each and good-off-the-claim conditioner Chris Englehart haltered out of the last for the 16L claiming price so he is well worth following if returned to two turn.
BOSS MAN – After a wide trip that cost the two turn MSW turf gelding at Aqueduct in mid-November trainer Bill Mott gave him a brief break and he returned in most recent to finish a solid third behind a wake-up buzz saw and the odds on favorite. He has been on the board and close up in three of four turf tries and just needs small improvement off last to break through.
CHARMING KITTEN – The Todd Pletcher trained colt shipped back from the west coast where he had been facing Graded Stakes rivals and dropped into second allowance level/optional 62.5K company to secure a well timed and clear win. The 4-year old has now won 3 times and finished second 5 times in 10 career grass starts and should handle minor stakes rivals.
CONSTITUTION – The well-bred debut MSW 3-year old was sent off as the even money favorite in his debut last time and did not disappoint. The son of Tapit was a bit hesitant at the break but rushed into contention, quickly gained composure and wore down his rivals in the 7 furlong test. It looks like Pletcher has another good one in the barn. Bet right back in conditions.
ETERNAL RULER – The 6-year old turf gelding dropped in from a second level allowance/optional claimer to open 30K claimer and rallied furiously from a tough outside post in the 7 ½ furlong test in most recent. Just needs a better post and maybe more ground and he surpasses this level or slightly better in next.
IFFRAJ PINK – In her most recent, the first start stateside and first since last July, the Irish bred filly came flying from dead last to miss by a half length in the entry level allowance/optional claiming mile turf event. Now in the barn of Graham Motion she’ll get that initial NA win soon and should appreciate any additional ground.
HEARTY CONGRATS – The Kirk Ziade trained colt made his first start off the claim, first since October, first over a sloppy track and first against winners and chased the leaders while out in the track before rallying for the place in the 20K 8 furlong sprint. He was in turn claimed by sharp next out conditioner Michael Pino so bears following.
MAGICAL WORLD – It took trainer Shug McGaughey a while to get this MSW filly to the winner’s circle, but if her last is any indication she’ll make up for lost time quickly. The daughter of Distorted Humor went a mile and a sixteenth on grass following a freshening after three even run performances in the summer and fall in New York and after being reserved while stuck in traffic early shook clear and took command before drawing off. Gets career win number two soon.
PREDICTING – First start since November for this 3-year old Visionaire colt in most recent was compromised by bumping incident at the break in the mile starter allowance/optional 25K claimer. He broke his maiden in his debut and then was a close up fourth vs better before taking the short break. Trainer Michael Matz gets him to the winner’s circle vs these next time.
START UP – After showing improved form on turf two back vs 16K claimers the Jump Start colt stayed in when the last was washed to a sloppy sealed surface and almost wired the mile test before settling for the place. Seeing that his previous off track tries were miserable the two races have tipped off his best is about to arrive…especially on grass. Bet him back at the same level going two turns.
EM ROCZ – After checking in third two back vs the same, the 15K claiming filly missed by a neck in her most recent. The Merrill Roberts trainee settled along the inside in the 6 furlong test, made a forward move on the turn, bumped with a rival mid-turn and after splitting horses in mid-stretch continued on to the wire and just missed. Gets it done next time.
GOLDEN CAUSEWAY – The veteran gelding easily dispatched his rivals when dropped in vs 5K claimers in most recent. The 6-year old stalked the pace of the mile event, went to the lead at the quarter pole and continued comfortably in front to the wire. He should continue to hold forth at this level. Bet him right back.
HOT GATES – Finished third for the second straight time when she was carried 5 wide while pressing the pace in a 6 furlong 5K claimer in most recent. The Amalio Garcia trainee has not been getting great trips of late and just needs one to get career win number two if kept at the bottom level.
PAROLED – After winning for HTW in mid December vs entry level allowance/optional claimers the 5-year old gelding stepped up to face second level allowance/optional 40K claimers in the mile event and lost all chance when he stumbled at the break. He recovered to move within striking distance but had too much to do and was beaten 3 lengths. Gets it done with a clean trip. Stay with him.
ROCKY BEAR – No one was going to beat the winner in the 5 ½ furlong 5K claimer for time condition runners in this one’s most recent but he was coming off a good second in his prior and after getting outsprinted early moved 5 wide on the turn and continued with interest late to check in 4th just a length behind the place horse. The level is right and 6 furlongs would help.
SWAYLON BRAYLIN – The 4-year old 7.5K claiming colt hit the board for the second straight time in most recent after he set all the pace while pressed throughout the mile event and gave way very late when caught by the oncoming longshot Beulah shipper. He dug in and held the place and will grab one of these soon.
CHILLIN DYLAN – Might have been best in two turn 8K claimer in most recent but was bumped hard and carried in on heels of a rival when getting to the winner when racing first off a 6.25K claim by trainer Dennis Ward. The veteran gelding was placed second and has amassed 5 wins from his last 11 starts as well as hitting the board in 12 of 22 career TB races. Beats this kind next time.
DANCEWHILEITSTORMS – Latest of a series of Indiana Downs shippers that have done well here this 6.25K claimer was well placed early in the 5 ½ furlong test in her most recent, her first since early September, and drew off when asked. The 7-year old mare likely enjoyed the class relief and will keep winning if left at the level.
DEFOE STREET – Easily broke maiden vs special weights in second try since shipping in from CD in most recent, as suggested in previous HTW document. Now stay on list as well-meant runner when stepped up into opening company sprinting vs entry level allowance foes.
DELLAROBIA – The 3-year old Tapit filly had an adventuresome trip in her career debut in most recent when she finished 5th, beaten 2 ½ lengths for it all. Well backed at 4-1 in the MSW mile turf event she broke out at the break and was repeatedly steadied through the turn before coming three wide and then ducking back in before flattening out. Should be much improved in next.
FAVORITE PATRIOT – The Jamie Ness trained sprinter stepped up in last from 12.5K to 18K and made it two in a row and 3 of 5 over the surface with unpressured front running victory. Should keep winning if kept sprinting, even if bumped up one more level. Stay with him.
RIDGE KITTEN – The Dennis Ward trained mare made it three straight vs bottom level rivals when she easily bested 5K starter handicap rivals in sprint in most recent. She has been carefully placed at the level and probably has plenty left to keep cashing tickets. Stay with her.
SUPER CHUNKY – The veteran turf gelding fell a neck short of besting open allowance/optional 100K claimers when beaten a neck in his first start since November 9. The 6-year old was subsequently DQ’d from second to fourth for bearing out a bit in the blanket finish but needed the race and should be well conditioned to win vs the same in next.
THE TEA CUPS – The 4-year old turf filly made her first start since early October at Delaware in last and after a sluggish start was allowed to settle into stride without a lot of urging. She moved up 4 wide on the second turn in the mile and a sixteenth 16K claimer, fanned even wider into the lane and settled for the show with an even late run. She need the race and with a clean trip beats 16K-20K platers next time if kept on the grass.
TSUNAMI WAVE – Solid effort in last, first off a May layoff bodes well for a next out win vs 25K claiming sprinters. It was also the first under the handling of red hot conditioner Jason Acosta. The 4-year old filly was in good position early, moved 3 wide on the turn and continued to close in before running out of race track while settling for the place in the 6 furlong test.
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