Tough Week For Favorites, Big Week for Me
Wayne Root: Tough Week For Favorites, Big Week for Me!
I didn’t quite win them all this past weekend in pro and college football. The Houston Texans disappointed me against the Kansas City Chiefs in the Wildcard opener. But, from that point on…nothing but winners for clients of WAYNE ALLYN ROOT!
Cincinnati +2.5 covers and should have won outright vs. Pittsburgh
Minnesota +5 covers and should have won outright at Seattle
Green Bay +1 covers by double digits at Washington
Clemson +7 covers vs. Alabama
I think my read on that Clemson game from my online preview came through pretty well…
“I think Clemson is MUCH better suited to scoring points than Michigan State was. They have a versatile offense with explosive weaponry. MSU had mostly a plodding offense that was ill-suited to making big plays vs. a great defense. Clemson is potent, varied, and unpredictable.
Most importantly on this side of the ball, quarterback Deshaun Watson can beat you in the air or on the ground. He’s very tough to contain. Who does that sound like? Do you remember a quarterback for Texas A&M who gave Alabama fits a couple of times? Johnny Manziel. Watson is the kind of player Alabama will have to chase all night. They hate that!
You regulars know that I want offenses who can SCORE if I’m going to call for an outright upset. Clemson can score.”
I couldn’t go to all-out Pinnacle mode because I noted later in the preview that Alabama is so strong that they’ve become a juggernaut that is difficult to beat outright. The points offered value. Clemson’s ability to move the ball easily at least gave them a chance to win outright, and insurance on the other end of the spectrum if a back-door cover was needed.
This is what handicapping and winning money in Las Vegas are all about. Try to find value. Look for the rare spots on the schedule that deserve very serious investment. Step in and make your move when it’s justified.
It’s amazing how close we came to three outright winners in the NFL. Cincinnati only had to avoid a fumble or not implode defensively in the final moments to survive. Instead, they’ll be home watching the Divisional Round with the rest of us. Minnesota only had to kick a very short field goal (after making three field goals earlier in the game). Our tickets cashed for an 80% weekend in the big football games. That’s what matters here in Vegas!
I won’t talk about this upcoming weekend’s games until our next visit. I wanted to spend today recapping that 80% performance and talking about “the public.”
Generally speaking, “the public” though Seattle would kill Minnesota…thought that Washington was a “hot” team ready to embarrass the slumping Packers…and thought that Alabama of the SEC was going to outclass Clemson. I first made my name in this industry fading the public back in the 1980’s on the Score Network out East, and then on various handicapping shows based out of Vegas. It’s always been the hallmark of my approach. You can see that it’s just as strong now as it’s ever been.
Why is the public so often WRONG about pro and college football teams? Among the reasons…
*TV networks (and, even online newspapers today) hype players and teams because they’re pushing product. It’s like anything else. Pizza’s often aren’t as good as they look on TV. Nor are hamburgers, or cars, and certainly not a lot of the movies you see commercials for. The sport is “selling” you their product. The public buys what’s being sold, while smart bettors go the other way! (We don’t eat much junkfood at home in “The House that Winners Built!”)
*Selective memory looms large over the public…meaning that they remember the great performances of top teams…while thinking off-weeks were just flukes. They always assume they’re going to get the best a favorite has to offer. But, frankly, oddsmakers already price high profile teams at a level that represents the best they have to offer! Probably the worst thing that could have happened to “square” bettors last week was to see favored Kansas City win the playoff opener so easily. That happens way less than half the time, but “selective memory” makes it seem more common to TV viewers.
*Post-game coverage tends to highlight rare big plays rather than the nuts and bolts fundamentals that actually win football games. You see more offense than defense, even though defense wins championships. You see long pass plays, but not the attempted long pass plays that turned into interceptions, sacks, fumbles by the quarterback, or holding penalties. The “biggest” plays of the game might be third down conversions in the middle of the field at key turning points. All of this causes the public to overemphasize big plays while missing out on the true keys.
Something for you to keep in mind as you get ready for the rest of the NFL Playoffs, and as you transition to basketball betting here in January. These keys are true in ALL sports, not just football. And, these keys are what made WAYNE ALLYN ROOT the undisputed KING OF LAS VEGAS!
You can purchase my BEST BETS in all sports right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions about which of my services best suits your individual needs, please talk to one of my representatives in the office at 1-877-ROOT-WINS. Be sure you check on combination packages for both football and basketball that go through the Super Bowl or March Madness.
See you again at the end of the week to talk more specifically about this weekend’s NFL: Kansas City at New England, Green Bay at Arizona, Seattle at Carolina, and Pittsburgh at Denver. Will I be on any favorites this time around? You’ll have to sign up to find out. An 80% showcase football weekend makes it very clear that it’s time for you to go to W.A.R. alongside WAYNE ALLYN ROOT!
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