Wayne Root: Stick With What Works!
Having made my living as a sports handicapper and sports bettor here in Las Vegas for many years, I’ve seen what works and what doesn’t work for the betting public. I’m a very strong believer in focusing on your strengths when it comes to making money. I live in a house that winners built! Most sports bettors don't live like kings because they make poor betting decisions.
WHAT THE PUBLIC DOES WRONG
Betting too many games
Betting too large for their bankrolls
Betting for entertainment
Thinking they’re smart when they got lucky!
That last one was omnipresent this past Sunday in the NFL. The public (and a prominent boxer who bets like a square) needed a miracle for Denver to cover against the NY Jets (a last second pick-six). They also needed a last second touchdown to salvage a push of squeak out a win on Green Bay at Miami (my Pinnacle Play on Miami +3 was robbed)! Bettors had a “see, I told you they were the right side” mentality instead of realizing they weren’t making value bets at smart prices. The public may be lucky every so often. Eventually their money goes back into sportsbook coffers.
And, that’s because of the other factors on that list. If you want to win, you really need to focus on what you know.
WHAT WINNERS FOCUS ON
Their geographical areas of lifetime expertise
The teams and conferences they know best
The weaknesses in the market they’ve always exploited
For some handicappers, that could mean SEC football, ACC basketball, and the NFL teams they grew up watching on TV. For others, it could mean specializing on underdogs (I have more upset calls than any other handicapper in documented history), or blowout scenarios where the market has underestimated the superior team’s ability to run up the score.
I constantly run into sports bettors who are basically 50/50 lifetime because they do well in their areas of specialty, but can’t resist betting too many other games because they love the action. Look, if you “chase” the thrill of winning, you’re going to constantly be losing. But, if you focus on your areas of specialty, THEN you’ll enjoy the thrill of winning! Winning comes to you when you bet correctly.
So, think about that as you study this week’s schedule. What college football conferences do you truly know well because you followed them closely growing up and still do today? Is there a conference that draws you to the TV set time and time again? Don’t bet the Big 10 if you’re watching SEC games all day Saturday. If you’ve always been great in the Big 12, focus on where oddsmakers are making mistakes.
If you’re like me and have a knack for upset calls, try to find the best dog scenarios against potentially flat favorites. If you want more chalk in your diet (not to my taste), don’t lay points in all the TV games (the public has already taken out any value)...try to find hidden mid-major spots where a lesser known team is much worse than the market realizes.
Then...bet roughly HALF the number of games you bet last weekend. You might be wishing you did that already. If you were in the group that got lucky with Denver and Green Bay, count your blessings and pocket your good fortune. You should also reduce the amount of risk per game by about a quarter to a half as well until you’ve built up a bigger bankroll.
This week’s football schedule is really in MY wheelhouse. Both New York area NFL teams are in high profile spots. The Pac 12 and Mountain West are in bankroll building locales on the schedule, ideal for priming the pump for weekend profits. Then, we have marquee matchups in both college and pro football that have been my specialty in recent years. Nothing’s more fun than watching yourself win on TV! WAYNE ALLYN ROOT has a knack for stepping out with statement victories in the games you were already planning on watching. You regulars know exactly what I’m talking about.
It’s probably best if I just quickly lay out the slate...
The New York Jets are in action on the road at their hated rival the New England Patriots. You regulars know I grew up in New York as a true S.O.B. (son of a butcher!), and I follow the Big Apple teams in all sports very closely. There’s a sense right now in the area that the Rex Ryan era is coming to an end...as is the experiment with Geno Smith. The season started about as badly as it could for both the head coach and the quarterback. Fans no longer believe Ryan can take them back to the playoffs. You won’t find anyone but a handful of people with the franchise who think Smith still has a bright future.
Just remember that none of that may matter in THIS game because the Jets always get up for the Patriots! I won’t tell you here whether or not I’ll be taking a shot on the big dog. But, I can assure you that what I’m hearing from my sources about the preparation and mindset for this particular game will be triggering a strong selection one way or the other.
I love that so many West Coast games are being showcased in these late week spots that are in prime time out here in Las Vegas. They’re being played right in my back yard!
Thursday: Utah at Oregon State in the Pac 12
Friday: Fresno State at Boise State in the Mountain West
I follow those two conferences very closely, and have enjoyed many a big play winner in those leagues in recent seasons. Something very special is planned for that Friday showdown on the fabled blue turf by the way. Seriously, if you’re playing West Coast football while building your bankroll for the weekend, who besides WAYNE ROOT would you call?!
Everyone’s talking about Notre Dame and Florida State. And, I myself may be stepping out in that game come Saturday. We’ll have to see what the line does, and if there are any late-week developments with personnel. That’s a definite possibility with BOTH of these teams! I may be looking to go back to the well with the two Mississippi schools...who have made me a fortune the past couple of weeks. I know when to zig and when to zag! I’m also thinking about Baylor/West Virginia in the Big 12, and Stanford/Arizona State in the Pac 12. I’m hot in the colleges, and I’m going to get hotter!
The New York Giants have to visit Dallas this week in their first full game without Victor Cruz. I’m working very closely with my sources to see if his absence is going to inspire an “us against the world” mentality (always a gold mine in sports), or if the team is so disheartened that they’ve mentally thrown in the towel (which clearly happened in the final third of the Eagles game this past Sunday Night). I’m also really looking forward to that San Francisco/Denver game on Sunday Night.
We’ll wrap up the weekend with Houston/Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football. It’s the biggest betting night of the week in Vegas, so you need THE KING OF LAS VEGAS to get you the winner!
Game day BEST BETS can be purchased right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions about which of my programs best suits your individual needs, please talk to one of my representatives in the office at 1-877-ROOT-WINS.
This week more than ever, it’s time for YOU to go to W.A.R. alongside WAYNE ALLYN ROOT!
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