Preview of TCU vs. LSU
Preview of TCU vs. LSU
By Vegas Highroller Tony Salinas:
I'm very interested in the TCU Horned Frogs this season. I can't wait to get a good look at them Saturday Night when they take on LSU at Cowboys Stadium in a game that will be nationally televised by ESPN. Part of me wants to pick them as a sleeper in the Big 12 conference. But, the realist in me recognizes that TCU is much more likely to score a few big wins here and there than they are to run through the conference as a surprise BCS representative.
GREAT REASONS TCU IS A SLEEPER
- They had the best defense in the Big 12 last year
- They return 9 starters from that defense!
- They have a defensive minded head coach
Great defenses win games...and they win bets for you if you're a Las Vegas gambler. The public loves loading up in offensive-minded teams that create a bunch of highlights. I swear...the public would be happy going 1-2 on every three bets if that winner was of the 52-10 variety where they could high-five their buddies after every touchdown. Betting on defense puts you in position to get the best of it because they generally get less line respect.
- Casey Pachall returns at quarterback after serving a suspension
- The team is sick of hearing that the Big 12 is a three-team race
Everybody in Big 12 country is talking about Texas, Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State fighting for the conference championship. TCU beat Texas last year, and might have taken out Oklahoma too if the team had a better offense. Pachall is a playmaker who has a chip on his shoulder. I love betting on guys and teams who have a chip on their shoulders!
If everything goes right...TCU is going to matter in the Big 12.
CAUSES FOR CONCERN
- You can't assume the offense will be fine until you see it
- The schedule is stacked against TCU early in league play
Here's TCU's early conference schedule:
Oct 5: at Oklahoma
Oct 12: vs. Kansas
Oct 19: at Oklahoma State
Oct 26: vs. Texas
They have to play all three of the projected powers within a four-week period. Two of those three games are on the road too. I would have been much more likely to pick TCU as a sleeper to win the conference if their biggest challenge games were more spread out...and if two of the three were at home. Do you know how tired TCU is going to be for the Texas game if they just won on the road at Oklahoma and Okie State in two of the prior three weeks?
I'm very interested to see how TCU's offense fairs against the hard-hitting defense of LSU. This is going to be a slobber-knocker for sure. If the Frogs can hold their own...then they'll at least have a chance of taking two out of three from OU, OSU, and UT in October. If not....then 2013 may be a replay of the defensive dog season where the Frogs could only go 7-6 with a low scoring bowl loss to Michigan State 17-16.
What about LSU? The Tigers should have beaten Alabama last year. They did beat Texas A&M in College Station. A regular season loss at Florida, then a flat bowl effort vs. Clemson were the only other blemishes. They'd be getting more respect in the polls this year if they didn't lose so much experience on defense. Only three starters are back...though this team is a proven power on that side of the ball.
I may be playing this game for my customers and I may not. Frankly, I was hoping for a few more points when the openers were announced. My final slate may feature better graded underdogs or some blowout possibilities on small favorites. You'll have to purchase my games to find out who made the cut!
You can do that here at the website with your credit card. I also hope you'll check out my full season rates when you get a chance. You get the most value on a per-play basis at those very affordable prices.
Enjoy TCU-LSU and all the other big Saturday games. Don't take the worst of it betting your own picks in Las Vegas. Make sure you're GETTING THE BEST OF IT with TONY SALINAS!
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