Virginia Tech visits Miami on ESPN

Sports Handicapping News: Virginia Tech visits Miami on ESPN

The race for the ACC Coastal Division is coming right down to the wire. And, sports bettors will have multiple chances to cash in between now and the end of the season if they can make the right reads. The fun starts tonight when Virginia Tech visits Miami in a game that will be nationally televised by ESPN.

Look at the crowded standings heading into tonight's game...

ACC COASTAL STANDINGS
Duke 3-2
North Carolina 3-2 (but ineligible, on probation)
Miami 3-2
Virginia Tech 2-2
Georgia Tech 2-3
Virginia 0-4

Everyone's going to play eight league games...so even somebody like Georgia Tech has a chance to rally and steal the automatic bid to the ACC Championship game. Miami controls its own destiny because they still play Virginia Tech and Duke. Virginia Tech controls its destiny even from the .500 mark because they own a tie-breaker over Duke thanks to a one-sided head-to-head victory.

Yes Duke...who sits at the top of the heap for now...still has plenty of work to do!

The ACC Coastal division has provided some extreme headaches for oddsmakers and sports bettors. The group as a composite has been stunningly horrible outside of league play. It's not just one or two embarrassments. But...it's as if they're all trying to outdo each other to see who can have the worst losses.

  • Duke's only top non-conference opponent was Stanford, and the Blue Devils were obliterated in Palo Alto.
  • Miami's played two teams in the BCS rankings picture, losing to Kansas State 52-13 and Notre Dame 41-3. Heck, those two 2012 surprises might end up playing for the BCS title in January. Miami gets no rub from losing 93-16 on the scoreboard. ACC contenders are THAT far away from the nation's elite!
  • Virginia Tech was stunned by a Pittsburgh team that had mostly embarrassed itself up until that time; and also lost to Cincinnati. Virginia Tech has two losses in the ACC (Clemson and North Carolina), and two losses in the Big East!
  • Georgia Tech was waxed as a home favorite last week by BYU, and was humiliated not too long ago in a bad home loss to Middle Tennessee.

The ACC has often been overrated by the nation's media and computer types. This is easily the worst the league has ever done BY A MILE in terms of matching up with the rest of the country...particularly once you get past Florida State and Clemson over in the superior Atlantic Conference. A stunning development that caught oddsmakers and the rest of the world by surprise.

Let's look at Miami for a great example of this. Yes, the Hurricanes were dominated by Kansas State and Notre Dame. Those results led many sports bettors to fade Miami whenever they took the field. Here are Miami's other major board games this year outside of the BCS blitzes:

MIAMI'S 5-0 ATS IN THE ACC
Miami -2 beat Boston College 41-32
Miami +14 beat Georgia Tech 42-36
Miami -2 beat NC State 44-37
Miami +7.5 lost to North Carolina 18-14 (still a pointspread cover)
Miami +21 lost to Florida State 33-21 (still a pointspread cover)

Miami is 5-0 ATS in conference action (though they did fail to cover a non-official board non-conference game against Bethune Cookman in a 38-10 victory against a higher spread). Vegas is having HUGE troubles getting its number near Miami's actual final results...missing by a mile in one direction when they step up in class against talented outsiders...then missing badly in the other direction within the surprisingly weak ACC.

Does that mean Miami is a lock tonight at +1 or +2 against Virginia Tech? How can you be sure when the Hokies are showing the same volatility. Tech has shown poorly vs. class, yet crushed Duke in a must-win divisional game two weeks ago. Sports bettors have their work cut out for them this evening...yet finding the right answers from that work could yield a string of winners as the ACC race plays itself out in the coming weeks.

21
Nov

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