More NFL Wild Card Goodies
HERE ARE SUNDAY’S NFL WILD CARD PREVIEWS
FROM PITTSBURGH AND GREEN BAY
PLUS THE SB 51 ODDS TO WIN IT ALL …
THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
GAME REPORT: POINTSPREAD BREAKDOWNS
FOR #1 ALABAMA AND #2 CLEMSON
Let’s turn back the clock, if you will, to the summer of 2016:
The Las Vegas/off-shore folks put out their “Odds to Win it All” for Super Bowl LI and this is where the current playoff teams stacked up back then:
PRESEASON SUPER BOWL LI ODDS TO WIN IT ALL –
TEAM ODDS TO WIN SB 51
New England 6-1
Green Bay 8-1
NY Giants 18-1
Kansas City 20-1
Now, let’s fast forward to right here/right now and this is what the sharpies in Vegas and abroad have as Odds to Win it All while heading into this weekend’s NFL Wild Card Round:
CURRENT SUPER BOWL LI ODDS TO WIN IT ALL –
TEAM ODDS TO WIN SB 51
New England 1-1.5
Green Bay 6-1
Kansas City 7-1
NY Giants 22-1
Wow … can you imagine sitting there right now with a “laundry ticket” that shows the NE Patriots at 6-to-1 to win it all? Probably feels like you hit the lottery even before the drawing!
On the flip side, isn’t it funny that the likes of Houston, the New York Giants and Oakland (for obvious injury reasons) all have longer win-it-all prices now than they did back in August?
No doubt the “best value” ticket goes to the Atlanta Falcons: The NFC South champs and #2 conference playoff seed would’ve gotten you ridiculous 80-to-1 odds four months ago and just 7-to-1 right now!
Get the Side & Totals of this weekend’s NFL Wild Card Round games when you check with us here on game-day mornings at Jim Hurley’s Network.
And, of course, make sure you’re all aboard for the NBA and NCAA Basketball daily/nightly winners all this week either online here at www.jimhurley.com or at our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453.
Plus, the College Football National Championship Game is set – it’s a rematch between #2 Clemson versus #1 Alabama on Monday from Tampa and we’re ready to put a capper on what’s been a great College Football Bowl/Post-Season with Side & Totals winners here!
NFL WILD CARD ROUND –
On Sunday, it’s …
MIAMI (10-6) at PITTSBURGH (11-5) – 1:05 p.m. ET, CBS
No doubt about it:
The oddsmakers sure think the Pittsburgh Steelers are gonna get revenge for that 30-15 loss to Miami back in Week 6 when Dolphins’ RB Jay Ajayi had a coming-out party of sorts with 204 yards rushing – the home team is a 10-point betting favorite for this clash and that’s saying something ‘cause the Steelers were not a twin-figure fav against any team this 2016 season.
Okay, so Miami must resort to playing backup-turned-starting QB Matt Moore with Ryan Tannehill (knee) still rehabbing but remember in that Week 6 game there was Steelers’ slinger Ben Roethlisberger chucking a pair of picks (he had 29 TDs, 13 INTs this year) and if DT Ndamukong Suh and mates can both collapse the pocket here and keep do-it-all RB Le’Veon Bell (1,268 yards rushing) somewhat under check, this one could be closer than the “experts” think.
Spread Notes – Pittsburgh is 9-7 ATS (against the spread) this season but did you know the Steelers are 0-3-1 vig-wise in playoff games ever since losing the Super Bowl back in the 2010 season? Miami, meanwhile, is 8-6-2 against the odds this born-again season and the Dolphins are 6-4 ATS as pups after going a collective 6-12 ATS as underdog sides in the 2014-15 seasons.
NEW YORK GIANTS (11-5) at GREEN BAY (10-6) – 4:40 p.m. ET, Fox
So, the over-the-top New York Giants receiving corps – starring WR Odell Beckham Jr. (101 receptions for 1,367 yards with 10 TDs) – has docked its boat in South Beach and taken up at the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field and wouldn’t you know it but QB Eli Manning’s pass-catchers likely hold the key to victory here in this NFC Wild Card bash:
You see, the Giants’ offense has been – to put it kindly – MIA for much of this 2016 season while never once scoring more than 28 points in a single game and here Beckham and mates must make some chunk plays against a steadily-improving Green Bay defense that has allowed less than 19 ppg during this current six-game Packers’ SU (straight-up) winning streak.
Yes, the “run-the-table” mantra that Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers (4,428 yards passing with 40 TDs this year) was a prediction that the discount-double check guy got right on the head but can he do any downfield damage here to CB Janoris “Jackrabbit” Jenkins and a rock-solid Giants defense that may be better than any other “D” in this year’s post-season?
Spread Notes – Green Bay is a collective 9-6-1 ATS this year and note the Packers are 8-3-1 spreadwise in all post-season games the past six years. On the flip side, the NY Giants are 8-6-2 vig-wise this season and the NFC East club is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games against the Pack.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
We’ll have our #1 Alabama vs. #2 Clemson preview in the weekend edition of Jim Sez but for now let’s concentrate on some of the real hard-hitting pointspread notes from both teams:
ALABAMA (14-0) –
The Crimson Tide’s 10-4 ATS record this year has helped the Southeastern Conference champs build up a 73-55-1 spread mark under 10th-year head coach Nick Saban (.570) and keep in mind ‘Bama is 9-2 spreadwise when playing fellow bowl teams this year following last week’s 24-7 win/cover against 13-point pup Washington.
Also, Alabama has covered six-of-seven away games this season – the lone pointspread loss was a 48-43 non-cover win at 10.5-point dog Ole Miss back on Sept. 17th – and, finally, note the Tide’s 7-4 ATS overall in Saban’s bowl/playoff games.
CLEMSON (13-1) –
Okay, so the Atlantic Coast Conference champs have not exactly gotten folks rich this year with a 7-7 against the odds mark but dig a little deeper and you’ll see Clemson is 11-4 versus the vig as underdog sides since the start of the 2011 campaign and that includes last year’s 45-40 loss-but-cover tilt against 6.5-point fav Alabama in the National Championship Game … might we get a repeat performance here with another non-cover ‘Bama win? Hmmm.
Finally, Clemson is 59-48-1 ATS in the Dabo Swinney Era (a solid .551 winning rate, just slightly below Saban’s winning percentage) and that includes a rollicking 7-3 ATS mark in bowl/playoff games.
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