NFL Week 14 Previews & Spread Notes
NFL WEEK 14 – RAIDERS-CHIEFS GET IT ALL KICK-STARTED BUT WE’RE BUSY TACKLING KEY SPREAD STATS … PLUS WE HAVE A PAIR OF SUNDAY PREVIEWS …
THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT: ARMY-NAVY PREVIEW PLUS THE HEISMAN FINALISTS
When the Oakland Raiders battle the host Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday Night Football, it’ll mark the first of seven division games being played in NFL Week 14 play but did you know the following?:
NFL home teams in division play this year are a composite 29-22-2 ATS (against the spread) for a solid-if-unspectacular .569 winning rate and note the only NFL team that’s a perfect 3-and-oh spreadwise at home versus fellow divisional foes are the – get this -- Baltimore Ravens!
From the strange-but-true department, the Philadelphia Eagles have yet to play a divisional home game this season but that’ll change come Sunday’s showdown against the visiting Washington Redskins.
And one other thing …
We’ll save you doing the research and let y’all know that Week 14 will offer up six “revenge games” – here’s the rundown with the first game’s home team in CAPS below:
Kansas City (- 2) defeated OAKLAND 26-10
HOUSTON (- 3) defeated Indianapolis 26-23 (in overtime)
CINCINNATI (- 11.5) beat Cleveland 31-17
CHICAGO (+ 3.5) topped Detroit 17-14
WASHINGTON (+ 3) downed Philadelphia 27-20
New York Giants (Pick ‘Em) beat DALLAS 20-19
So, you see home teams won four of the six divisional games played between this week’s opponents with home sides going 3-2-1 against Mr. Vig.
BTW, NFL Betting Favorites enter the Thursday Night game in KayCee at 89-87-8 ATS (with 8 Pick ‘Em games) for a modest .506 winning rate – but haven’t we been telling you for years that the Favorites vs. Underdogs record nearly always finishes right around the .500/break-even mark and that’s why you’ve got to turn to us here at Jim Hurley’s Network for all the NFL and NCAA Football winners!
And now hear this …
Don’t get left out in the cold – win all week and weekend long and cash in big with both Football and Basketball when you check with us here at Jim Hurley’s Network either here online at www.jimhurley.com or at our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453.
Go ahead and sign up for our NCAA Bowl Winners now and get the major discount rate from America’s #1 Handicapper – Jim Hurley!
And cash in with NFL Week 14 action beginning with the Thursday Night Football bash between the Oakland Raiders at the Kansas City Chiefs as we’ll have Side & Totals winners just for you!
NFL WEEK 14
Here’s a couple of key NFL Week 14 Previews for this Sunday …
DENVER (8-4) at TENNESSEE (6-6) – 1 p.m. ET, CBS
Just a year removed from a Super Bowl crown, here’s the Broncos looking up at two teams in their own division and safe to say this is “must-win” material for Gary Kubiak’s club that has fingers crossed kid QB Trevor Siemian (2,396 yards passing with 15 TDs) will be a go here after recent injury woes.
On the flip side, born-again Tennessee has alternated wins/losses in its past half-dozen games but coming off their bye week the Titans (yes, a one-point betting fav at last glance) sound like an invigorated bunch. Can RB DeMarco Murray (1,043 yards rushing and 8 TDs) be a stat-sheet stuffer against this gritty defense?
Spread Notes – Denver is a delicious 7-1 against the odds in non-divisional games this year while Tennessee’s 4-8 ATS overall this season and that includes just two home covers in six tries.
SEATTLE (8-3-1) at GREEN BAY (6-6) – 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox
Here’s the $64,000 question when it comes to the Seahawks and their terrific defense:
Will they truly miss S Earl Thomas right here against Green Bay slinger Aaron Rodgers (3,828 yards passing with 29 TDs and 7 INTs) or will the pass rush headed by DE Cliff Avril (10 sacks) and friends make Mr. Rodgers be spending much of this afternoon/evening on his proverbial keister?
Spread Notes – Seattle’s covered seven of its last 10 games following an ugly 0-and-2 spread start but overall the Seahawks are just 11-13-1 ATS away since the start of the ’14 season. Green Bay, meanwhile, is 6-5-1 ATS overall this season and Mike McCarthy’s crew has not been a home underdog since a 23-20 loss (as 3-point pups) in the NFC Wild Card Round back in 2013.
THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT
On Saturday, it’s …
#25 NAVY (9-3) vs. ARMY (6-5) – 3 p.m. ET, CBS
Will it be “anchors aweigh” one mo’ time or is this finally the year the West Pointers snag a big win?
No doubt that the Navy kids suffered a couple of big blows with last weekend’s season-ending injuries to QB Will Worth and slot-back Toneo Gulley – isn’t it ironic that those injuries would not have happened except Navy was playing in a first-ever conference championship game – and you’ve seen the effect in the pointspread as the Middies went from a 10-point favorite down to a six-point choice … and it could go even lower!
Spread Notes – Army’s actually covered four of the last five games played in this uber-rivalry but note the Midshipmen are 13-5 against the odds as chalk sides the past two years.
THE HEISMAN TROPHY
Okay, so we’ve been publishing our Jim Sez Heisman Trophy Watch List for the past seven weeks in a row and – for seven consecutive week,s Louisville QB Lamar Jackson has been our frontrunner.
Guess who’s gonna be hoisting the 82nd Annual Heisman Trophy come Saturday night in New York City?
Here’s how the top five figure to finish …
1—Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville … No question that this super soph came back to the Heisman pack a bit in recent weeks but he’s still the stone-cold winner with his 3,390 yards passing with 30 TDs along with 1,538 rushing yards with 21 TDs.
2—Deshaun Watson, QB, Clemson … The best quarterback in this year’s College Football Playoffs make a gallant run for the shiny trophy but he’ll have to settle for second-best even with some glittery stats (see 3,914 yards passing/37 TDs to go with 529 rushing yards/6 TDs).
3 -- Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma … Hey, glad we popped this guy onto our list two weeks ago as he gets high marks for leading the “Boomer Sooners” to yet another Big 12 title. Mayfield’s gaudy stats feature 3,669 passing yards with 38 TDs.
4—Jabrill Peppers, LB/RB, Michigan … The do-it-all guy for the maize-and-blue really never had a chance in this Heisman Trophy “race” but he gets the NYC invite though we don’t get it.
5—Dede Westbrook, WR, Oklahoma … This game-breaker finished with a flurry in a year where he posted 74 receptions for 1,465 yards with 16 TDs.
NOTE: Catch more NFL Week 14 Previews in the next Jim Sez!
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