Jim Sez NBA Game 6 Preview and Draft Report
THE NBA FINALS - DOES THE HOOP SEASON END TONIGHT IN A GAME 6 OR DO THE CAVS HAVE MORE FIGHT IN 'EM AS HOME COUR ADVANTAGE NO REAL FACTOR LATELY ...
THE NBA DRAFT REPORT: WHAT TEAMS WITHOUT A CURRENT 1ST-ROUND PICK ARE IN MOVER-AND-SHAKER MODE TO GET INTO THE TOP FIVE?
It's safe to say this year's NBA Finals has been somewhat streaky when it comes to the so-called home-court advantage:
The home sides won/covered the first three games of this series; the road teams won/covered the last two games of this NBA Finals set and now you wonder what's in store this evening when the Golden State Warriors - a 2-point road underdog - go for the repeat against the host Cleveland Cavaliers.
Note the playoff history for both teams in home/away scenarios:
Golden State enters tonight's clash with a 4-5 ATS (against the spread) mark in road playoff games this year and, when the Warriors are road dogs this post-season, they have covered two-of-three games including that 108-97 triumph in Game 4 (see our chart below).
Cleveland heads into this evening's game at 7-2 ATS at home and also 7-2 ATS as home betting favorites. The only other non-cover home game for the Cavaliers this post-season - aside from the aforementioned Game 4 of these Finals - occurred in Cleveland's playoff-opening 106-101 non-over victory against 11.5-point underdog Detroit.
In all, the Warriors are 14-8 versus the vig this post-season (a solid .636 winning rate) while the Cavaliers are 11-8 ATS overall in these playoffs (a .579 winning percentage).
One final pointspread note here: NBA Playoff Betting Favorites are a collective 49-33-0 spreadwise with two pick 'em games (a .598 winning percentage).
Our NBA Finals Game 6 follows this key reminder:
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers will continue to rake in major profits in this year's NBA Finals in Thursday's Game 6 from Cleveland - hope you've been with us right from the very start of these pro hoop playoffs, folks, because we've absolutely cashed in big-time! Go online right here at www.jimhurley.com or call our exclusive toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 each/every day of these NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Cleveland Cavaliers and remember to cash in too with all the Major-League Baseball winners as Jim stays red-hot heading into summer!
Tonight, it's ...
NBA FINALS GAME 6: GOLDEN STATE at CLEVELAND - Warriors lead series 3-2; 9 p.m. ET, ABC
Think about it for a moment or two:
Here we have a series where two-time NBA Most Valuable Player Stephen Curry has played well below expectations - both his own and the public at large - and yet his G-State Warriors remain just one win away from back-to-back championships. Save for Curry's stirring 38-point performance in Game 4, he's been spotty at best as a shooter and his defense has left a whole lot to be desired, right?
Well, now Curry has been hearing the criticism in recent days and he - maybe more than anyone else on the floor - has the benefit of nearly three full days to recover from his lackluster 8-of-21 field-goal showing in Game 5 and one would think if he's gonna have a bust-out game for the ages it would come tonight ... don't 'ya think?
Gotta believe the Cavaliers feel the same way and so fully expect LeBron James to shadow Curry from start to finish here in Game 6 and so that's a major storyline tonight and so is the loss of Warriors' big man Andrew Bogut (hyperextended knee) who won't play again this post-season.
Hey, that's no small thing as Bogut can be an inside force as rim protector, rebounder and underrated passer and so the return of bad boy Draymond Green (see one-game suspension served) is critical 'cause he likely needs to play 40-plus minutes for Steve Kerr's crew and he better be a stat-sheet stuffer, or else!
One major key for the Cavs here:
Don't stand around and expect "The King" and sidekick G Kyrie Irving to score 41 points apiece once again as they did in Game 5 - okay, both guys are capable of an offensive explosion but if Tyronn Lue's club wants to force a Game 7 on Father's Day then the likes of J.R. Smith (3-of-9 FG shooting for just 10 points in Game 5) and/or F Kevin Love (2 points in 33 minutes of play in Game 5) must bang home some big baskets. Tell us right now that Smith and Love are gonna combine for just a dozen points between 'em here and we'll obligated to say "season's over"!
Hey, keep in mind that teams with three games-to-one series leads are 32-and-oh lifetime in NBA Finals ... if the Cavs win on their own home floor here tonight than that stat's gonna hang in Golden State's brain cells all weekend long.
Now, here's the Warriors-Cavaliers NBA Finals series in game chart form (all home teams are in CAPS below):
|6-2||GOLDEN ST.||- 6||Cleveland||104-89|
|6-5||GOLDEN ST||- 6||Cleveland||110-77|
|6-8||CLEVELAND||- 2||Golden St||120-90|
|6-10||Golden St||+ 2.5||CLEVELAND||108-97|
|6-13||Cleveland||+ 6||GOLDEN ST||112-97|
NBA DRAFT REPORT
Here's something that might surprise you:
There are 10 teams without a first-round pick in the NBA Draft set for Thursday, June 23rd and word is a handful of 'em are vying to make a major splash on Draft Night ... here's a few scenarios that are making the rumor mill rounds:
NEW YORK - The woe-be-gone Knicks actually are without a first- or second-round draft pick but there's some stirring that claims a blockbuster three-team deal will come down the pike with Carmelo Anthony heading to Cleveland and the Knicks securing the draft's fourth overall choice (from Phoenix) that NYK allegedly would take either Kentucky G Jamal Murray or Oklahoma G Buddy Hield.
HOUSTON - The Rockets may be ready to raze this whole roster and make it in the image of newly-hired head coach Mike D'Antoni and now Houston's shooting to get its hands on a first-round pick ... might the Rockets deal future picks and some body (or bodies) in order to get a top five pick? Providence PG Kris Dunn is said to be on the team's radar.
WASHINGTON - The Wizards don't own either a first- or second-round draft pick (for now) but the D.C. crowd would love to change that and might be willing to trade a "name" and a future pick to get a top five pick - could Bradley Beal be a goner? - with the Wizards (a mere .500 team this season) among the many NBA squads said to be eyeballing Marquette's one-and-done 6-foot-11 star F Henry Ellenson.
NOTE: Remember we'll recap Game 6 of the NBA Finals in the next edition of Jim Sez plus there's NBA Draft news and more Baseball News/Notes too comin' soon!
Today’s Hot Plays
Jim Hurley Saratoga Service
$20.00Purchase this nowSARATOGA. "Graveyard of Favorites" for losers..."Longshot Heaven" for winners. And the difference is INFORMATION. Jim Hurley’s Network Has The Information!
Network Monday Hit and Run Double Play
6-2 Over the Weekend! 3-1 Saturday and 3-1 Sunday! Our Hit & Run Baseball Club wouldn’t be enjoying another successful season without our stat gurus, who are notorious for running the numbers and digging deep into the hidden sabermetrics to find favorable situations to get the money like we did over the weekend. We’ve found two more standout plays Monday that fit the winning mold.
Network Saratoga Monday Jackpot
On Monday Hurley Eyes 3 Race Jackpot. Double Digit Workout Hotshot. Longshot Form Reversal Plus Backup Exotic Runners.
Network MNF IS Back - Giants at Browns
I’ve looked at this game from every angle and am sure we’ll be on the winning side, just like I’ve been on Monday nights over 65% of the time the past 5 years. Watch and Win with me tonight.