Super Bowl XLIX Notebook

WE GET THINGS COOKIN' WITH OUR FINAL COMMENTS ON THE CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES PLUS A LOOK AT KEY POINTSPREAD FACTS/FIGURES

AND HERE'S A COUPLE OF KEY WEDNESDAY NITE COLLEGE B-BALL GAMES TO WATCH TOO!

Let's set the record straight: There was a whole lot more to last Sunday's NFC and AFC Championship Games than merely a botched onside kick and reports of "deflated footballs".

So, in the interest of wrapping up what happened in Seattle's still hard-to-explain 28-22 overtime win against Green Bay in the NFC Championship Game and New England's rousing 45-7 triumph over hapless Indianapolis in the AFC Championship Game, we'll put a little closure to those games right here and right now in today's edition of Jim Sez:

NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

No doubt there were plenty of Packers' scapegoats in that OT loss in Seattle last weekend but somehow QB Aaron Rodgers escaped the wrath of the media and Green Bay fans in general ... but why?
Sure, Green Bay head coach Mike McCarthy is getting verbally battered for not being more aggressive on both first-quarter drives that resulted in chippie field goals by PK Mason Crosby and poor Brandon Bostick is getting ridiculed for bumbling away the onside kick on the north side of the two-minute warning but Rodgers deserves a major heap of blame too because many of his passes were high/wide to open receivers and we're not merely gonna cut the mega-star any slack just because of that tender calf injury.

Rodgers - who is gonna win this year's Most Valuable Player award -- finished the game by completing a very ordinary 19-of-34 passes for 178 yards with one TD and 2 INT and who knows why he never "went after" dinged CB Richard Sherman who clearly was playing with one arm in the final quarter of this game!

Okay, so Seattle survived-and-advanced on a day when QB Russell Wilson aired four INT and the Seahawks turned the ball over five times in all - to say nothing of the fact Seattle receivers dropped a boatload of passes that would have made its life easier -- but RB Marshawn Lynch "willed" his team's way to the winner's circle with that herculean 157-yard rushing performance and the Seahawks - let's just say it - worked for every single break they got in the game's final three-plus minutes and OT and snatched away one of the most improbable sports wins ever witnessed.

So, cut Bostick some slack (why was he even out there if he couldn't catch a bouncing ball?), heap some blame on Mr. Rodgers and admit that the heart-of-a-champion Seahawks get straight "A's" for never saying uncle!

AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

Yes, it remains to be seen whether or not there's some "legs" to this story regarding the alleged deflation of football in New England's easy-as-pie title game win against Indianapolis but let's dig into a couple of other matters from that tilt:

The Patriots posted their second-highest point total of the season (see 51-23 win against Chicago back in Week 8 play) and yet it wasn't all because of the magical right arm of QB Tom Brady as the Pats rushed for 177 yards in all (take a bow, RB LeGarrette Blount), won the clock 37:49-to-22:11 and only turned the ball over one time on 76 offensive plays from center ... not bad, eh?

Still, what was left unsaid about New England's blockbuster win was that TE Rob Gronkowski only caught three passes worth 28 yards with one TD - and that has to slightly disturb New England because the tattered Colts' secondary battled him with aggressive CB play and so that was duly noted by Seattle's defense - plus the Colts showed major quit early in the third quarter when New England grabbed a 24-7 lead and, well, we've seen that multi-score deficits are not about to deter these Seahawks.

Toss into the mix the fact that New England didn't collect a single sack of Indianapolis QB Andrew Luck (12-of-33 passing) and you do have a little red flag here even if the Pats maintain they sent more defenders into coverage than in the direction of the opposing quarterback.

Hey, if you tell us right now that Bill Belichick's team won't get a single sack of Wilson come Super Bowl XLIX then we'll let you know who's gonna win the big game!

Finally, yes, it was a blowout and all but don't you think the Patriots need more help from WR Brandon LaFell (4 catches for 28 yards versus Indianapolis) to go along with more stats from "Gronk" ... hate to be a nit-picker in a 38-point win but it's something to watch for come SB 49.

SUPER BOWL XLIX - POINTSPREAD NEWS/NOTES

Once again we're getting a pair of #1 seeds squaring off in this year's Super Bowl matchup but one year after the Denver Broncos and the Seattle Seahawks entered Super Bowl XLVIII at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey with pretty similar pointspread runs (they both closed out their regular season with pointspread wins, then failed to cover their Divisional Playoff games and then both covered the Las Vegas price tags in the AFC and NFC Championship Games) here we have a different story:

The Seahawks had their seven-game ATS (against the spread) winning streak snapped with last week's non-cover OT win against Green Bay while the Patriots snapped a three-game spread losing streak with the one-sided win against Indianapolis.

Now consider that Seattle is 11-7 ATS overall this year including post-season play while New England is 10-8 versus the vig this year and dig a bit deeper and you'll see the Seahawks are 4-4 ATS away from CenturyLink Field this season while the Patriots also are 4-4 spreadwise away from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough.

Now, here's a game-by-game look at both the Patriots and the Seahawks (we'll repeat this later next week when we inch a bit closer to Super Bowl XLIX):

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
(Note all home teams are in CAPS below)

WEEK #

WINNER

SPREAD

LOSER

SCORE

#1

MIAMI

- 3.5

New England

33-20

#2

New England

- 3

MINNESOTA

30-7

#3

NEW ENGLAND

-13.5

Oakland

16-9

#4

KANSAS CITY

- 3

New England

41-14

#5

NEW ENGLAND

+ 2.5

Cincinnati

43-17

#6

New England

+ 1

BUFFALO

37-22

#7

NEW ENGLAND

- 9.5

Ny Jets

27-25

#8

NEW ENGLAND

- 5.5

Chicago

51-23

#9

NEW ENGLAND

+ 3

Denver

42-20

#10

Bye

 

 

 

#11

New England

+ 3

INDIANAPOLIS

42-20

#12

NEW ENGLAND

- 7

Detroit

34-9

#13

GREEN BAY

- 3

New England

26-21

#14

New England

- 4

SAN DIEGO

23-14

#15

NEW ENGLAND

- 9

Miami

41-13

#16

New England

- 9.5

NY JETS

17-16

#17

Buffalo

+ 4

NEW ENGLAND

17-9

Div

NEW ENGLAND

- 7

Baltimore

35-31

AFC

NEW ENGLAND

- 7

Indianapolis

45-7

Div = AFC Divisional Playoff Game
AFC = AFC Championship Game

 

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
(Home teams are in CAPS)

WEEK #

WINNER

SPREAD

LOSER

SCORE

#1

SEATTLE

- 4.5

Green Bay

36-16

#2

SAN DIEGO

+ 5

Seattle

30-21

#3

SEATTLE

- 5

Denver

26-20 (ot)

#4

Bye

 

 

 

#5

Seattle

- 7

Washington

27-17

#6

Dallas

+ 10

SEATTLE

30-23

#7

ST. LOUIS

+ 7

Seattle

28-26

#8

Seattle

- 6

CAROLINA

13-9

#9

SEATTLE

- 13

Oakland

30-24

#10

SEATTLE

- 9.5

Ny Giants

38-17

#11

KANSAS CITY

+ 1

Seattle

24-20

#12

SEATTLE

- 7.5

Arizona

19-3

#13

Seattle

+ 1

SAN FRANCISCO

19-3

#14

Seattle

- 1

PHILADELPHIA

24-14

#15

SEATTLE

- 9.5

San Francisco

17-7

#16

Seattle

- 9.5

ARIZONA

35-6

#17

SEATTLE

- 11

St. Louis

20-6

Div

SEATTLE

- 13.5

Carolina

31-17

NFC 

SEATTLE

- 8.5

Green Bay

28-22 (ot)

Div = NFC Divisional Playoff Game
NFC = NFC Championship Game

Okay, so now let's take a broader look at SB XLIX in terms of conferences/betting favorites: The NFC will enter this game at 25-20-3 ATS for a .556 winning rate and remember the NFC obviously cashed last year with the Seahawks (+2) bashing the Broncos 43-8;

Meanwhile, Super Bowl Betting Favorites are now 22-23-3 against the odds with dogs having won each of the last three Super Bowls - remember that the Baltimore Ravens (+ 5) topped San Francisco 34-31 to wrap up the 2012 NFL season and the New York Giants (+ 3) bested the New England Patriots 21-17 three years ago in the big game.

In a moment, we'll give you some key spread stats pertaining to the two head coaches since they arrived at their respective stops but first this key reminder ...Jim Hurley will have the Sides & Totals Winners of Super Bowl XLIX when you check with us on game-day morning plus go ahead and continue to pile up the profits all this week with loads of NBA and NCAA Basketball winners right here online or at our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 - go ahead and pound the books today!

Now, back to the head coaches:

Bill Belichick, New England - The Patriots are a collective 150-113-5 spreadwise under their 15th-year boss (that's a .570 winning rate) and that includes a shaky 1-4 spread mark in past Super Bowl games with the Pats.

Pete Carroll, Seattle - This is Year Five in the great northwest for the long-time USC head ball coach and the numbers say the Seahawks are a collective 55-33-1 ATS under Carroll  (a .625 winning percentage). Note that Carroll owns a 5-3 spread mark in post-season games during this stay with Seattle.

In case you're wondering, the Seahawks are a rousing 16-2 vig-wise whenever in the underdog role under Carroll while dating back to the midway point of the 2011 season.

One final Super Bowl-related pointspread note for now ...The last time these clubs clashed with Belichick and Carroll at the helm was back in 2012 when 3.5-point home dog Seattle won 24-23.

COLLEGE BASKETBALL'S MID-WEEK PREVIEWS

Here's some dynamite Wednesday night games to be watching for in college hoops ...

WASHINGTON STATE (9-8, 3-2) at #12 UTAH (14-3, 4-1) - 9 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network
Okay, so the nationally ranked Utes have some wounds to heal following last weekend's ugly 69-51 Pac-12 loss at 5-point fav Arizona and no doubt it all starts with "shooting the rock" as the Utes - a 49.8 percent shooting team - shot just 39 percent at 'Zona plus they were out-boarded badly 40-to-19 and so Larry Krystkowiak's club is very much in a bounce-back mode here and keep an eye on three-point specialists Jordan Loveridge and Brandon Taylor who've netted 54-of-118 three-point tries between 'em.

#15 NORTH CAROLINA (14-4, 4-1) at WAKE FOREST (9-9, 1-4) - 7 p.m. ET, espn2
Strange as it may seem, the North Carolina Tar Heels have not started off a conference sked with three consecutive road-opening wins in some seven years but Roy Williams' heavily-favored club has that opportunity here in Winston-Salem but there's lots to clean up here: The Tar Heels committed 17 turnovers in Sunday's uninspired 68-53 non-cover home win against 21.5point pup Virginia Tech and if there's anything in particular that Williams wishes to fix it's stepping up the tempo/pace of the game and so look for G Marcus Paige to get out and go here against a Demon Deacons' bunch that ranks last in the ACC in scoring defense (69.1 ppg) but it's worth watching Wake's seven-footer Konstantinos Mitoglou who poured in 26 points in last week's OT loss in Syracuse.

NOTE: Catch our Super Bowl XLIX News & Notes all this week plus get more NCAA Basketball Previews in the next edition of Jim Sez.

22
Nov

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