NFL Sunday Report
Cover Club 2-0-1 Saturday Winning with Missouri and Texas State outright!
Closed Circuit 2-1 and Gold Key Sweeps 2-0 with Texas over Kansas and NC State covering vs. Fla State
THERE’S MORE WEEK 4 PREVIEWS INCLUDING SAINTS-COWBOYS ON SUNDAY NIGHT PLUS KEY PAST POINTSPREAD STATS THAT WILL WOW YOU!
To our knowledge, nobody’s ever covered each/every game they’ve played in an NFL season and not likely it’s gonna happen this year … or anytime soon.
Still, here’s the San Diego Chargers entering Sunday’s home game against the woe-be-gone Jacksonville Jaguars and the Bolts are 3-and-oh ATS (against the spread) right out of the proverbial starting gate and facing a team that’s already 0-3 versus the vig (now maybe this Jags team will go 0-16 spreadwise when all’s said and done this 2014 season!).
Still, we did a little investigative reporting while going back the past 10 years and we discovered – among other juicy items – that the 2004 Chargers finished 13-2-2 ATS (they lost in a first-round playoff game to the 6 ½-point underdog New York Jets 20-17).
Who’ve been some of the other NFL teams to bang out superb spread seasons the past 10 years?
The 2008 Baltimore Ravens went 14-5 odds-wise and lost in the AFC Championship Game in Pittsburgh while failing to cover the 6-point Las Vegas line 23-14;
The 2007 Cleveland Browns registered a 12-4 ATS ledger under then head coach Romeo Crennel but note the Brownies didn’t even make the playoffs at 10-6 SU (straight-up);
The 2010 Detroit Lions racked up a nifty 12-4 ATS mark but the Motowners were one-and-done in playoff action that year after getting battered 45-28 at 10 ½-point favorite New Orleans;
The 2007 Green Bay Packers banged out a 13-4-1 ATS mark and did win one post-season game before losing the NFC Championship Game in OT to the New York Giants;
The 2008 New Orleans Saints rock-n-rolled with an 11-4-1 ATS mark but only finished .500 SU and thus didn’t make it to that year’s post-season.
So, you get the idea.
The best single-season spread records in the last 10 years of NFL play didn’t equate into a Super Bowl championship or even an appearance in the Super Bowl for the likes of the ’04 Chargers, the ’08 Ravens, etc.
Finishing 16-0 against the odds would be something else, for sure, and only the SD Chargers and the Cincinnati Bengals (who have a bye this weekend) can accomplish that nearly impossible feat this season but perhaps that shouldn’t exactly be a “goal” of theirs. Right?
Jim Hurley’s Handicappers and Bloggers will continue to rock-n-roll into the winner’s circle with loads of Football winners on this NFL Week 4 card that includes Green Bay at Chicago, Philadelphia at San Francisco and the Sunday Night game between New Orleans at Dallas – and the Monday Night Football Game between the New England Patriots at the born-again Kansas City Chiefs. Check with the Jim Hurley Network right here online or via our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453.
NFL WEEK 4
DETROIT (2-1) at NEW YORK JETS (1-2) – 1 p.m. ET, Fox
Good thing that New York Yankees’ icon Derek Jeter took the entire Big Apple sports spotlight off the NY Jets … after that 27-19 loss to banged-up Chicago this past Monday Night the second-guessers out there have been somewhat muted by the guy who wore #2 in The Bronx.
Still, the second straight Jets loss to an NFC North team – will this be the unfortunate “hat trick” for the Jets here? – had plenty of negative storylines attached such as why did NYJ stop handing the ball off to bullish RB Chris Ivory who has helped the Jets rank second in the NFL in rushing yards (472) this year and why can’t second-year QB Geno Smith be more efficient in the red zone?
The Lions, meanwhile, may sport a winning record while heading into this Week 4 bash but Detroit’s scored a grand total of just 26 points the past two weeks and don’t look now but the Detroit rushing attack is ranked a lowly 24th in the league and WR Calvin Johnson – following an epic 164-yard, two-TD game against the New York Giants back in Week One – has registered 164 total receiving yards the past two weeks.
Now QB Matthew Stafford must get him out in the open against a battered and talent-thin Jets secondary that likely ranks among the bottom two or league defensive backfields in the league – that’s even with CB Dee Milliner in the lineup.
Spread Notes – Detroit is 9-17 ATS away since the start of the 2011 season and that includes the 24-7 loss at 1-point fav Carolina back in Week 2 action this year. The New York Jets enter this matinee tilt at 0-2-1 ATS this year and did you know the J-E-T-S are a rather average 18-16 ATS as underdogs in the Rex Ryan Era?
ATLANTA (2-1) at MINNESOTA (1-2) – 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox
Now, who would have thought that “Johnny Football” would be the one rookie quarterback left out of the starting lineup as we headed to Week 4 play?
The 2014 campaign began with the Oakland Raiders anointing second-round pick Derek Carr as their starting signal-caller (okay, so we’d be kind to say that’s come with “mixed results”) but then came the announcements that Blake Bortles will start for Jacksonville this weekend and that Minnesota would start Teddy Bridgewater after last week’s season-ending foot injury to Matt Cassel.
We’ll get back to Johnny Manziel at some other point this year – maybe he can continue to hide near the sidelines and look to catch downfield strikes, we’ll let you know – but right here the focus is on Bridgewater who last week in relief completed 12-of-20 passes with no TDs and 0 INTs in that 20-9 loss at 10-point fav New Orleans.
Bridgewater – who was sacked twice in that game – might have to use his legs at times here to escape the Falcons’ pass rush that’s truly refreshed after getting off the past 10 days.
Atlanta’s 56-14 beat-down of hapless Tampa Bay back on Sept. 18th featured a pair of non-offensive touchdowns but keep in mind QB Matt Ryan did complete 21-of-24 passes with three TDs and so far the only defense that’s been able to stop “Matty Ice” was the one in Cincinnati and – this just in – the Bengals may have the best defense in the whole National Football League.
Key here: Ryan must get some help from other than WR Julio Jones (23 catches for 365 yards) as both WRs Roddy White (hamstring) and Harry Douglas (foot) are iffy here and part-time wide-out Devin Hester has his own injury-related woes.
Spread Notes – Atlanta has not been a road betting favorite since late in the 2012 season when the 3-point favored Falcons beat Detroit 31-18 and note they’ve split their last 10 spread verdicts as road chalk. On the flip side, Minnesota has covered eight of its last dozen games overall while dating back to late last season.
On Sunday Night, it’s …
NEW ORLEANS (1-2) at DALLAS (2-1) – 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC
Maybe the whole Dallas Cowboys secondary should have gone AWOL once they knew QB Drew Brees was coming to town!
No doubt you heard earlier in the week that an upset/unhappy CB Morris Claiborne bolted from the team facility after learning he had lost his starting job to Orlando Scandrick (this despite the fact Claiborne’s late-game pick iced last week’s 34-31 come-from-way-behind win at St. Louis).
Claiborne returned one day later and will get playing time here but dealing with this Saints’ pass-catching corps won’t be any fun – Brees has the Saints sitting fifth in the NFL in passing offense while averaging 281.3 yards a game and TE Jimmy Graham sports a team-leading 24 receptions worth 254 yards but it’s worth noting he has not scored a single TD against the Cowboys in three prior head-to-head meetings.
On the flip side, Dallas is keeping fingers crossed that QB Tony Romo is okay after he missed Wednesday’s practice with on-going back problems – last year Romo completed just 10-of-24 passes for 128 yards in a resounding 49-17 loss at New Orleans … perhaps you remember that one, Cowboy fans?
Spread Notes – Dallas is a sour 10-13 vig-wise in non-NFC East games since the start of the 2012 campaign and the Cowboys are also a crummy 8-17 ATS at home the past two-plus seasons. New Orleans, meanwhile, has covered four of its last six head-to-head spread decisions against Dallas while dating back the past 10 years and note the Saints are 26-15 ATS as favorites (a solid .634 winning rate) since the start of 2011.
NOTE: Catch all the NFL Week 4 re-caps plus the Monday Night Football Preview – again, that’s Tom Brady and the NE Patriots at Kansas City – in the next edition of Jim Sez.
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