College Football Report 11/1

A pair of outright upsets highlight a terrific night for the Hurley Network! Dolphins (+3) get the outright upset against the Bengals, 22-20!  UL-Monroe (+3) follows suit by defeating Troy, 49-37!  In the NBA, the Knicks (+8) were defeated in the waning seconds, but still covered against the Bulls in their 82-81 loss!

THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT –THE SEASON’S BIGGEST DISAPPOINTMENTS (WE’RE TALKING TO YOU, GEORGIA, N’WESTERN AND TCU!) …

PLUS THERE’S MORE PREVIEWS/FORECASTS AHEAD INCLUDING OKIE STATE at TEXAS TECH & TENNESSEE at MISSOURI …

AND IT’S THE TOP POINTSPREAD TEAMS CHART TOO!

By Jim Hurley

Okay, so we’ve turned the calendar page to read November, and so it’s officially crunch-time in the world of College Football where there are still eight teams unbeaten while heading into Saturday’s action – that’s Alabama (8-0), Baylor (7-0), Florida State (7-0), Fresno State (7-0), Miami (7-0), Northern Illinois (8-0), Ohio State (8-0) and Oregon (8-0) – but while the mass media concentrates on what still lies ahead for these teams (and rightfully so!) we figured to take a few moments in today’s Jim Sez to examine three NCAA Football squads that have turned out to be major disappointments in this here-and-now 2013 season.

Here’s our little list of great disappointments and note all three of ‘em started off the season in the Top 25 but none of ‘em are ranked there at this very moment …

GEORGIA (4-3, 3-2 SEC) – The Bulldogs began the year ranked #5 in the Associated Press Top 25 poll and with great hopes that they could snag the school’s first national championship since the Herschel Walker days (see 1980 … or way before any of these current Dawgs were even born!) but instead a suspect defense bit Mark Richt’s team right on the butt and a bevy of mental mistakes and special teams gaffes also contributed in October losses versus Missouri and Vanderbilt.

No doubt injuries have sabotaged this ’13 campaign for the Southeastern Conference crew, but truth be told there were way too many soft spots on “D” from the proverbial get-go – note that the Dawgs enter Saturday’s game against archrival Florida (see preview below) ranked 94th nationally in pass defense (allowing 253.4 ypg) and this unit simply doesn’t force many turnovers nor do they make key red-zone stands.

Don’t look now, Dawg fans, but this team could well finish 6-6 on the year … ugh-a!

NORTHWESTERN (4-4, 0-4 Big 10) – Now has anyone fallen off the college football map quite like these N’western Wildcats?

Once upon a time Pat Fitzgerald’s team was a rollicking 4-and-oh SU (straight-up), but Big 10 play began and the Evanston guys sunk like a rock in Lake Michigan with consecutive conference losses versus Ohio State, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa.

There’s a little saying that you don’t let one loss “beat you twice” and by that we mean Northwestern never did recover from that painful 40-30 loss to the Buckeyes back on October 5th but – let’s face it – you could make the case that the ‘Cats have let that particular game beat them each/every week since and shame on Fitzgerald for letting that happen!

True, there’s been injuries – RB Venric Mack (31 carries for 97 yards in just three games played this season) hasn’t been nearly what we or anyone in/around Northwestern thought he would be this year, and the quarterback spot has remained muddled with the combo of Kain Colter and Trevor Siemian teaming up for just 11 TDs with 8 INTs, while the Wildcats’ defense ranks a lowly 77tyh nationally while having allowed back-breaking scores in games against Ohio State and Wisconsin.

Can you believe that Northwestern right now is in the basement of the Big 10’s Legends Division … and it’s not as if things get any easier with the upcoming sked including Saturday’s road game at Nebraska and then back-to-back home games against Michigan and Michigan State?

Maybe this school’s five-year bowl streak’s gonna get snapped too … stay tuned.

TCU (3-5, 1-4 Big 12) – The Horned Frogs were slotted at #20 in the opening AP poll but losses to LSU, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Texas have sunk Gary Patterson’s club faster than you can say "ride ‘em cowboy"!

Okay, so TCU’s shaky stance at quarterback – both Trevone Boykin and Casey Pachall have seen action, but they’ve combined for 5 TD passes and 9 INTs – and there’s been all sorts of internal stuff going on with star DE Devonte Fields, who once upon a time appeared to be a legit star but instead has been more a distraction for this Big 12 team that nowadays is very much in danger of having the school’s eight-year bowl streak snapped, what with a road game at Kansas State (Nov. 16th) and a home game against mighty Baylor (Nov. 30th) still on the docket.

And get this: TCU ranks 100th national in rushing offense (just 127 ypg) and 99th in passing offense (192 ypg), and it’s tough to win when you’ve scored 30-plus points just twice in eight tries. Just sayin’!

Here’s a taste of what’s on tap this first Saturday in November in NCAA Football action …

GEORGIA (4-3, 3-2 SEC) vs. FLORIDA (4-3, 3-2 SEC) – at Jacksonville – 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS

The Florida Gators are out to snap a two-year losing streak in this “Cocktail Party” series and take note that the Gainesville gang’s scored a grand total of 29 points the past two meetings, so count on Will Muschamp’s crew “opening up” things a bit here behind backup-turned-starting QB Tyler Murphy (737 yards passing with 5 TDs and 2 INTs).

Those aforementioned Georgia injuries on defense could haunt the Dawgs, who have real reason to fret the downfield likes of WRs Solomon Patton (28 catches and 4 TDs) and Quinton Dunbar (22 receptions and averaging nearly 14 yards per snag) who could be real homerun hitters for the Gators.

Spread Notes – Florida has failed to cover nine of its last dozen on-the-board tilts while dating back to the middle of last year while Georgia enters this “neutral site” bash at an ugly 1-5-1 ATS (against the spread) overall this year including back-to-back-to spread losses versus Tennessee, Missouri and Vanderbilt.

#18 OKLAHOMA STATE (6-1, 3-1 Big 12) at #15 TEXAS TECH (7-1, 4-1 Big 12) – 7 p.m. ET

The arrow’s pointing up for the Okie State Cowboys these days following last weekend’s rollicking 58-27 win at two-TD dog Iowa State as Mike Gundy’s club took to the ground and rushed for a whopping 342 yards as RB Desmond Roland starred with 219 yards (on 26 carries) and four TDs, but will a slam-bang ground game get the job done here against a Texas Tech team that is looking to rebound from its first loss of the year?

The Red Raiders – who rank third nationally in passing offense (412.9 ypg) – would love to get off 100-or-so plays from scrimmage here but better believe they’re stressing more accuracy in/around Lubbock this weekend as QBs Davis Webb and Baker Mayfield have combined to throw 12 picks – Webb’s getting the start here and let’s see if he is a bit tentative in rookie coach Kliff Kingsbury’s offense or will he let ‘er rip like he did the first few times he played after the Mayfield injury opened up the door for ‘em.

Spread Notes – Oklahoma State is a decent 4-3 against the odds so far this 2013 season, but did you know the Cowboys are a sizzling 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight head-to-head games against Texas Tech since 2005? Note the TT Red Raiders will enter this affair with a tidy 5-3 ATS mark so far this season but they’re just 7-12 odds-wise at home the past three-plus seasons.

Jim Hurley's Been Picking Winners For 28 Years

None bigger than his

SATURDAY SHOCKER
OF THE SEASON

 

Last week I cashed 5 College Underdogs losing only 2...here are those 5 games.

Wyoming (+8.5) San Jose St

WON

44-51

Wake Forest (+24) Miami Florida

WON

21-24

Navy (+5.5) Pittsburgh

WON

24-21

So Carolina (+3) Missouri

WON

27-24

San Diego St (+7.5) Fresno State

WON

28-35


This Week I'm concentrating on one BIG dog and my top sources came in  ALL on the same side of a game.  You want that one Big Game...THIS Is The ONE. Just $50...

Click here to purchase

TENNESSEE (4-4, 1-3 SEC) at #9 MISSOURI (7-1, 3-1 SEC) – 7 p.m. ET

Sorry, but the Mizzou Tigers have no intention of shutting down the season just because they lost a 27-24 twin-OT thriller last weekend against gritty/gutty South Carolina:

Okay, so blowing a 17-0 fourth-quarter lead is no way to chase after a championship, but the fact remains that Gary Pinkel’s club still entertains thoughts of winning the SEC East -- and so let’s see how the Columbia kids pick themselves off the canvas here one week after usually reliable PK Andrew Baggett missed that gimme 24-yard field-goal try that would have forced a third overtime session against the SC Gamecocks.

Baggett may be a key character here for 11-point favorite Missouri – remember he nailed 5-of-5 FGs in a 36-17 win against Florida and drilled all three of his FG attempts in a 51-28 triumph over Vanderbilt – but the key to this game might well be what Missouri’s defense does against new Tennessee QB Joshua Dobbs, a freshman who is expected to step in here and start over Justin Worley, who is bothered both by a bad thumb and a suspect right arm.

Spread Notes – Missouri is a rock-solid 6-2 against the odds this year but the Tigers enter this SEC bash with a shabby 9-16-1 ATS mark in all home games since the start of the 2009 season. On the flip side, Tennessee’s a dead-even but vig-losing 4-4 ATS this year under first-year head coach Butch Jones but the Vols are just 7-15-1 against the Las Vegas price tags when placed in the underdog role the past three-plus seasons.

Note:

My handicappers and bloggers will have all the weekend winners and you can get NCAA Football, NFL Week 9 play and all the NBA action when you check with us here at Jim Hurley’s Network at the toll-free # of 1-800-323-4453 or right here online at www.jimhurley.com.

Hey, don’t forget there’s a big Pac-12 tilt on tonight’s docket as USC is at Oregon State with kickoff set for 9 p.m. ET on espn2 and we’ll have the Side & Totals winners just for you when you check in with us after 1 p.m. ET today. Okay?

COLLEGE FOOTBALL’S TOP SPREAD TEAMS

Okay, so let’s get an update on the nation’s top pointspread sides while entering play this weekend:

 

 

TEAM W-L-T PCT
Houston 7-1-0 .875
Baylor 6-1-0 .857
UCF 6-1-0 .857
Wisconsin 6-1-0 .857
Oregon 5-1-2 .833
Ball State 7-2-0 .778
Auburn 6-2-0 .750
Buffalo 6-2-0

.750

Colorado St. 6-2-0 .750
Duke 6-2-0 .750
Fla. Atlantic 6-2-0 .750
Missouri 6-2-0 .750
Arizona 5-2-0 .714
Florida St. 5-2-0 .714
Navy 5-2-0 .714
So. Alabama 5-2-0 .714
UCLA 5-2-0 .714

NOTE: There’s NFL Week 9 Previews/Forecasts in tomorrow’s Jim Sez including Saints-Jets, Vikings-Cowboys and the Sunday Night bash between Colts-Texans … so don’t dare miss out!

21
Nov

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