Super Bowl Bonus Coverage & Thursday Basketball
Cashline Basketball 3-0 Wednesday with Missouri State, Indiana State, and San Diego State. NOW 5-0 last 2 days and on a 13-4 run!
OUR SUPER BOWL XLVII BONUS COVERAGE ROLLS ON AS WE TACKLE SOME KEY SUPER SPREAD STATS ...
PLUS THE COLLEGE B-BALL UPDATE: WE PREVIEW TONIGHT'S UCLA-ARIZONA BATTLE ROYALE PLUS GET YOU THE SKINNY ON MORE TV ACTION
By Jim Hurley:
Quick: Who owns a winning pointspread mark in Super Bowl history ... The Favorites or the Underdogs?
Well, if you said the chalk sides, than you'd be right ... but just barely.
The fact of the matter is while we head into Super Bowl XLVII on Sunday, February 3rd in a showdown between the favored San Francisco 49ers and the underdog Baltimore Ravens it's the "favs" that own a slight 22-21-3 ATS (against the spread) advantage for a .512 winning percentage.
Last year the 3-point underdog New York Giants trimmed the New England Patriots 21-17 to help close the gap for Super pups that now have notched spread covers in four of the last five Super Bowl games.
As you can see below, we decided to go back to the start of this here-and-now century to uncover the game-by-game Super Bowl history and notice that dogs are a solid 8-4 vig-wise in the last dozen Super Bowl tilts and that includes five outright winners (see New York Giants in 2007 and 2011, New Orleans Saints in 2009, Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2002 and New England Patriots in 2001) and three other underdogs who slipped under the Las Vegas number (see the 2008 Arizona Cardinals, the 2004 Philadelphia Eagles and the 2003 Carolina Panthers).
Just thought you might like to know!
It's also worth mentioning here that the NFC (or the old NFL) is 24-19-3 overall against the odds in Super Bowl history -- that's a .558 winning rate and it includes the NFC's current five-game spread winning streak ... who knew the last time the AFC covered a Super Bowl game was back in the 2006 season when the 6 ½-point favored Indianapolis Colts beat the Chicago Bears 29-17 in the rainiest Super Bowl game of 'em all!
Hey, more Super Bowl spread stat goodies in a moment but first here's that chart of SB games from 2000 through the present:
SUPER BOWLS, 2000-PRESENT
|2011||NY Giants||+ 3||New England||21-17|
|2010||Green Bay||- 2.5||Pittsburgh||31-25|
|2009||New Orleans||+ 4.5||Indianapolis||31-17|
|2007||NY Giants||+ 12||New England||17-14|
|2004||New England||- 7||Philadelphia||24-21|
|2003||New England||- 7||Carolina||32-29|
|2002||Tampa Bay||+ 4||Oakland||48-21|
|2001||New England||+ 14||St. Louis||20-17|
|2000||Baltimore||- 3||NY Giants||34-7|
Okay, so what else have we all learned about handicapping the first 46 Super Bowl games?
Well, just to refresh the memory, SB Betting Favorites are one game above .500 against the Underdogs in the big game's history but if you've wagered $100 on the chalk side all these years than you're actually down $110 based on the 11-to-10 vig (of course) while a $100 per-play wager on all the Super Bowl dogs would have cost you some $320.
Plus, note that six of the last nine Super Bowl games have been decided by six points or less and that includes four of the last five Super Bowl games but overall the average margin of victory in these last 12 Super Bowl games is 9.75 points a game as that figure was shaded greatly by Tampa Bay's 27-point win against Oakland back in the now-controversial 2002 Super Bowl game and Baltimore's one-sided 27-point win against the Giants back in 2000.
Hey, we know he's not here for this game but did you know that the Betting Favorites have failed to cover all five previous Super Bowls that involved the New England Patriots? Really!
Editor's Note: We will get into Super Bowl XLVII game strategy and the like in the coming days, so don't miss out on all the Jim Sez columns!
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers will be there to bang out the Super Bowl XLVIII Side & Totals winners on game-day morning come Sunday, February 3rd plus get all the NBA and NCAA Basketball Winners each and every day too with America's #1 Handicapper scorching-hot on the hard courts these days. So don't get bummed out by the fact we'll soon be putting this 2012 Football Season to bed -- get all the hoop winners this wintertime as the round ball fun is just heatin' up! Check in with us on Game Days either right here online or at our exclusive toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 for all the winners and note the check-in times are after 1 p.m. ET for weeknight action and after 10 a.m. ET on Saturdays, Sundays and holidays.
THE COLLEGE BASKETBALL NOTEBOOK: THE THURSDAY NIGHT MENU FEATURES A PAC-12 TUSSLE FROM TUCSON
What should be on your Thursday night TV menu? Here's some hoop suggestions starting with the marquee matchup inside the better-than-you-think Pac-12.
UCLA (15-4, 5-1 Pac-12) at #6 ARIZONA (16-1, 4-1 Pac-12)- 9 p.m. ET, espn2
Hey, both the UCLA Bruins and the U of A Wildcats began the week looking up at Oregon in the league standings- we'll see how long that lasts!- but the first of their two head-to-head matchups (the other one will be played at Pauley Pavilion on March 2nd) figures to be a doozy especially when you consider the 'Cat fans will be mucho loud because 'Zona has not been home since a January 5th win against Utah.
If the Wildcats have an extra bounce in their step here than maybe it's because of last weekend's 71-54 win at Arizona State in which Sean Miller's team drilled 14-of-25 field goals after intermission as guard Mark Lyons (24 points in 31 minutes of play) and fellow backcourt mate Nick Johnson (19 points in 36 minutes) shined but you know this UCLA team will be bound-and-determined to play better defense.
Did you realize the Bruins rank 10th in the Pac-12 in points-per-game yield while allowing 68.3 points a game? Hmmm. That's not a Ben Howland-like team, if you ask us!
Two things to watch here in this prime-time bash: The visiting Bruins need to hoist up- and make- more triples here as G Jordan Adams leads the team in "threes" with 28 trifectas and he must step to the forefront from downtown here.
Finally, Arizona committed only nine turnovers in that aforementioned win at Tempe last weekend and that marked the fourth time this season the 'Cats committed less than 10 miscues- tell us right now that 'Zona will turn it over fewer than 10 times here and the Bruins are likely toast.
In other TV tilts to check out this evening ...
TENNESSEE (9-7, 1-3 SEC) at #23 OLE MISS (15-2, 4-0 SEC)- 7 p.m. ET, espn2
Is there a team in the land getting more "buzz" than these Ole Miss Rebels? The high-scoring squad from Oxford- averaging a Southeastern Conference-best 82.4 ppg- has won its last seven consecutive games and note the last six consecutive wins all have been by twin-figure margins. Keep an eye here on Ole Miss F Murphy Holloway who registered 15 points and 11 rebounds in last Saturday's 76-64 home win against Arkansas- a victory that gave Ole Miss its best start in conference play since the 1936-37 season. Rebel yell!
BYU (15-5, 5-1 WCC) at #10 GONZAGA (17-2, 4-0 WCC)- 11 p.m. ET, espn2
The third leg of this juicy espn2 triple-header comes from the West Coast Conference where currently four teams sport 4-1 (or better) marks in league play with both Saint Mary's and San Diego at matching 4-1 marks in the WCC- and you thought those late-night games on the tube were there just to fill in programming needs! The fact of the matter is Gonzaga must prove here that it's not reeling after last Saturday's bitter 64-63 loss at 2-point home dog Butler and we still want to know what that final out-of-bounds play was before the Butler steal-and-hoop that won it ... don't know about you but Zags head coach Mark Few isn't always at his best in those tight, crunch-time games and so watch here as do-it-all BYU guard Tyler Haws (21.6 ppg and 5.1 rebounds-per-game) looks to spring the upset here.
NOTE: More Super Bowl 47 coverage plus NCAA and NBA notes/previews too all this week right here in Jim Sez!
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