Looking for expert picks or help handicapping? Jim Hurley has been a sports handicapper for 26 years and in that time has built a huge network of insiders. Jim uses a team-approach to picking winners. First, there's his number-crunchers in his home office who work in tandem with computer programmers to create the sharpest simulations in the industry. Add to this his huge network of on-the-scene insider sources around the country, providing him with vital intangible information that may not be reflected in the statistical probabilities, things like who's got a nagging injury, what teams have chemistry problems, what horses are set to be turned loose. Jim's got access to the sharpest minds in the Strip. It's the kind of comprehensive approach any sports handicapper would dream of, and Jim Hurley has been doing it since 1985.
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In all my 24 years as head of Jim Hurley's Network, I have never seen anything THIS NEAT!
In the course of reviewing 2008 to see where we could have done better, our man/machine team made a discovery that's going to change the way you THINK about football, the way you BET it and the way you MAKE MONEY off it!
Here's what we found!
We KNEW something was going on with teams like Florida, Oklahoma, Texas and other high scoring offenses that we never saw before. These schools were not only winning but covering by big margins. Florida went 11-1 against the spread. Oklahoma was 10-2. Texas and California were 9-3. Penn State and Oklahoma State 8-3.
If we had taken the top ten spread winners and bet them all season, we (and YOU!) could have gone 91-30 for 75.2%! They were lying under our noses. COULD WE HAVE FOUND THEM LAST YEAR? Did we have an algorithm in our computer that could have given us those winners at the push of a button?
It turns out we had that program all along!
Our Alpha 111- one of our most "basic"programs - is a whiz at finding the hidden value of an underrated dog. But when we tested it against last year's record, game by game, the results were jaw dropping. It would have picked (and actually did pick) all these overdog winners!
The size of the covers says it all. These were not squeakers or nailbiters. These were lopsided laughers!
At $100 a game, you'd have cleared $5,800. At $500 a game, you'd have netted $29,000. You would have had ZERO losing weeks! IF WE HAD KNOWN! But we didn't. In fact, our own handicappers me included never went near those games!
Why? Because for years, we have all had it drilled into our heads that big public favorites are poor value. The public loves the Big Names so much, the sports books have to overprice them to encourage balancing action on the other side. Result: bettors who want big favorites pay a penalty while "sharps" who bet the dog get extra points. This is why most pro handicappers prefer "dog plus the points"
There's no VALUE in double digit favorites.
But Computer Overdogs have changed all that!
The numbers were so shocking we had to ask ourselves, "Are we looking at a one time fluke, or is there a long term trend involved? If so, what caused it? Is it going to be around a while? Can we count on it? Can we bet on it?" By now, thoroughly aroused and on the scent. we started looking at other seasons going back to '78 and here's what we found:
Offenses have been ratcheted up all over. But the biggest influence by far are the BOWLS, especially the BCS.
Bowls have professionalized the whole game. For example, it used to be that a team's conference record was the only thing that counted toward bowl eligibility. No more. Non-conference games now count just as much. Result: schools try to schedule beatable opponents at home in their non-conference games, then win as big as possible. Look at these four examples from Opening Day last year!
Sure, the bowl committees piously declare margin of victory plays no part in the selection process, but you and I know that's a crock. There's only one rule:
"RUN UP THE SCORE!"
Think I'm exaggerating? Ask Texas coach Mack Brown why he kept his QB Colt McCoy on the field with his team leading Texas A&M by 32 points in the fourth quarter of their Thanksgiving game!
Or ask Oklahoma's Bob Stoops why he let his starters play well into the 4th quarter in game after game, scoring 62, 66, 65, 61, and 62 points in their last 5! How else did Oklahoma get chosen for the BCS title game - ...even though Texas had beaten them head to head?
So you see what's happening. FAVORITES ARE GIVING US MORE EXTRA POINTS THAN EVER BEFORE, because for the first time in history, we have teams so good they have no apparent weakness. They can beat other very, very good teams at will!
That's why these games can be handicapped almost purely by the numbers and that's where our computer gives us the edge..
Looking at the top offensive college teams, our ALPHA 111 program which delivers a baseline result based purely on the athletic potential of the teams - turned out to be the only handicapping tool we needed. We didn't need genetic algorithms or fuzzy systems or anything fancy
And I got surprise backup from Vegas!
I was wondering, wasn't anybody else onto what I had just found? So I called the top consultant in Las Vegas, Jimmy Vaccaro,* to ask him how the top layers and players were handling these overdogs. His reply knocked me off my pins.
*Jimmy was head linesmaker at the Mirage, the Golden Nugget, MGM, Bally's and the Barbary Coast, was famous for never backing down off his own number and is considered, after Bob Martin, the top linesmaker of all time.
It was cold water in the face. It meant we didn't have this good thing all to ourselves. BUT . . it also meant I was now getting confirmation from the top bettors in the country that I was right!
I believe it will work. I've gone over the numbers a gazillion times. I've talked to our contacts inside the sports books. I've looked at all the other promising programs where OVERDOG OFFENSES predominate like Utah, BYU, TCU, Ball State, Tulsa, Boise State, California, LSU, Oregon, Missouri, Georgia, Nebraska. I've done my homework. Will YOU do YOURS? We uncovered a pattern which we think represents a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. If it works and you sign up, you will make the money of your life. And it starts right here!
P.S. PRE-SEASON GAMES ARE READY TO WIN RIGHT NOW AND THEY'RE YOURS AT NO EXTRA CHARGE!The Pre-Season is not included in the test period but you may have all our pre season games FREE to win and build bankroll with. I have 24 years of records to prove the pre-season is easier to win than the regular season.
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